
bartekhl
@t_bartekhl
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bartekhl

Multiple uptrend confirmation (VTL, phasing, FLD) Bitcoin price have just brought us a massive confirmation about concluding the first nominal 40W cycle after a major nest of lows that we had in the fall 2022. Phasing analysis suggested us to wait for this cycle conclusion, that is bringing us now to the deciding phase of the first half of the major 36 month wave. You can see on the picture that the Valid Trend Line Has been broken too, giving the second confirmation. The last to check regarding Hurst theoy is the Future Line of Demarcation (moving average moved forward in time for the half length of the anylised wave). As we clearly see - FLD was broken the same day. Here comes the last part of Hurst's approach which says, that once the FLD is broken, it will get higher to the point same distance from the line of breaking as the last low. You can see the prediction on the following picture:

bartekhl

Hello everybody. The situation develops dynamically. Expected correction seemed to be less serious than expected. But - the paranoid people leave longer. We have concluded 10D cycle without going further into lower values. The upper trend that is underlying has pushed the chart upwards, which led to update of waves' phasing.For this moment we expect to see farther upwards move as next 10D cycle is starting just today. We should notice a nice move up next 5 days.The correction seems to get postponed. After 5th march we should see time for a little breath just to get the final attack between 10-20th march.https://www.tradingview.com/x/gecccjVF/

bartekhl

As predicted yesterday - the link to analysis is attached BTC has broken out finally confirming we concluded the first 10W of a major 40W cycle.The value for BTC should continue the growth until 1st week of March, to be followed by the middle bottom of 40W cycle around 20th March. Quite a few weeks that we have now of strong upward moves just regularly pausing for small retractions. We expect BTC to break 30k this month. The above statement is just an opinion. Trade on your own responsibility and do not overuse leverage, which turns your smart trades based on good analysis into gambling.

bartekhl

Recent confirmation of leaving the bottom of 40W cycle behind has started fast pace of raise for BTC and other important altcoins.As drawn on the chart we have got first estimation of local target, mid way of the bull run that has started just now.By extending moving averages of recently confirmed cycles, we estimated the point where bitcoin should top off and have some retrace before next stage of this 40W.We estimate the top at 33k by 26th of December along with the top of first 10W cycle. Of course adding some standard deviation is essential for managing the risk level.Bitcoin is getting more and more stable along with the influx of huge institutional funds.It is getting out of being just a speculative asset but a serious instrument so we would not expect some 10k moves but rather a steady up trend. Then we should see some trace back in January, that would lead us to the proper high of the major 40W cycle somewhere between February and March 23. Precise numbers we can estimate after we top off this first 10W cycle that we are riding now.

bartekhl

Although XRPUSD showed some impressive gains latest month, it is clear we are approaching a cool off period now.On the chart, its more than clear we have a major 24W cycle ruling the price movement of this crypto.we have topped at the middle of this cycle at $0.55, but recent days confirmed we are approaching a local low, which may be quite dramatic and below $0.40. We should see the bottom around 28th Nov 2022. Stay safe!

bartekhl

So we got it finally! After today 10W Valid Trend Line break - we are 100% sure that the major bottom of 40W and all shorter cycles (20W, 10W, 5W, 20D, 10D) is the pastWe will be watching closely next week, shortly should we get first estimation for some new target. Good luck!

bartekhl

As you can see on the attached chart last week got 40W VTL broken. It was touched from the bottom but it is consider it as a trend lne break. It is actually a confirmation that's the nest of lows og 40W cycle is behind us and that the bottom for recent drop was 17K. Now someone is pushing a little last drop to happen butstand still and don't Use too much leverage 5 times leverage is the most higher using now to protect against so called Chinese 10% drop.

bartekhl

We are very close to break a major 40 weeks cycle Valid Trend Line. The whole setup follows our forecast like a swiss watch. We have been expecting this to happen just now since a long time, which you may confirm on our previous charts.Many shorter range cycles have been already concluded but we need to break this 40W line to be 100% of strong major uptrend for next 10 weeks.We need to break 24300 TODAY level to confirm - that I found less propableBut on Monday this treshold will lower to 23,400 which is more natural and this is what we expect. Our bags are filled.Stay sharp!22,3k just now, it is looking very good.We are still under 40W VTL though. I wouldn't say we pass 23,7k today.I would rather bet that we cross 23,2k on Thursday.I am all in.

bartekhl

We have just broken a Valid Trend Line for a first 20 day cycle after big nest of lows, suggesting we have passed the big bottom of 20W major wave.What is more, at the bottom of the 20D cycle we see a triangle forming, suggesting a strong move to the next band.As we are expecting longer wave (40D) now starting to lead, we have opened some long positions on BTC now.Once we get the 20D VTL crossed for good, we pump up our volumes as the increase will going to be massive.

bartekhl

Today we saw a very dramatic decline in the #BTC value. Interestingly it occurred precisely at the date we had had marked expected as 'nest of lows' date to happen - lows of many synchronised bands up to 10M - 20M cycle. Whatever the drop value is going to be - we should not expect any longer drama drop imo. However the highway up might be strong and fast;]We open small UNLEVERAGED longs https://www.tradingview.com/x/1JE8cU2U/Next weeks will give us confirmation wether our phasing analysis model is working so well.Shall we get that confirmation early - lets hope to be the first bulls for the real run.
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