Wavervanir_International_LLC

📈 Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) – Multi-Year Fibonacci Expansion Outlook Timeframe: 1M | Horizon: 2025–2027 🔍 Technical Overview Alphabet (GOOGL) has maintained a strong monthly uptrend after reclaiming the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $202.39. Price action is showing higher lows since late 2022, signaling accumulation and long-term institutional positioning. Key Fibonacci levels plotted from the 2022 low to the 2025 projected swing high suggest: 61.8%: $216.98 – Key breakout confirmation level. 78.6%: $237.77 – Strong resistance zone, potential partial profit area. 100%: $264.24 – Medium-term bullish target. 127.2%: $297.89 – First major expansion target into 2026. 161.8%: $340.69 – High-probability target for late 2026/early 2027 if macro tailwinds remain. 200%: $387.95 – Stretch target under euphoric conditions. 📊 Macro & Fundamental Context Earnings Resilience – Alphabet continues to deliver double-digit revenue growth, fueled by Search, YouTube, and Google Cloud. Margins remain robust despite AI-driven capex expansion. AI Adoption Cycle – Integration of Gemini AI across Search and Workspace could unlock significant incremental revenue and defend market share from competitors like MSFT/OpenAI. Digital Ad Market Recovery – Global ad spend is rebounding as consumer confidence stabilizes; this benefits Alphabet’s core segments disproportionately. Rate Policy Shift – With the Fed pivoting towards a neutral-to-dovish stance in late 2025 projections, mega-cap growth valuations may expand further. 📅 Outlook & Targets (24-Month Horizon) Base Case: $264.24 by mid-2026 (+31% from current levels). Bull Case: $297.89–$340.69 by late 2026 to early 2027 (+48%–69%). Bear Case: Failure to hold $187 support could revisit $167–$140 range. ⚠ Risk Factors Regulatory pressures in the U.S. and EU targeting antitrust and advertising models. AI monetization lag versus expectations. Macro shocks (geopolitical, recessionary) compressing tech multiples. 📝 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice) I’m watching the $216–$218 zone closely — a clean monthly close above here strengthens the path toward $237 and beyond. Pullbacks toward $187–$190 could be attractive for positioning, provided macro data supports risk-on sentiment. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.Completed 5 wave structure can take it to 380 quickly. If we see impulses like we say last friday.

🚀 Ethereum – Strategic Outlook 🚀 ETH is showing strong structural momentum, with price action now firmly in the “Bulls in Charge” zone. My near-term target remains around $5K, but technical projections show potential expansions toward $6.9K, $10.5K, and even $13K under optimal adoption and market conditions. Key Levels: 🟢 Bulls in Charge: ~$4.2K+ 🎯 Target for Bulls: $5K–$6.9K 🔴 Target for Bears: ~$3.5K (support zone) 🏁 Ultimate Target (for now): $10.5K+ This projection accounts for: 📈 Elliott Wave structure mapping 🔍 Fibonacci extensions 🛠 Smart Money Concepts (BOS / CHoCH) 🔄 Market cycle positioning The path is never linear — macro factors, adoption rates, and utility expansion will ultimately dictate Ethereum’s trajectory. Still, this cycle could be transformative for ETH’s role in value exchange, DeFi infrastructure, and Web3 adoption. 💡 Whether we see $5K soon or push into five-digit territory later, risk management remains key. #Ethereum #Crypto #Trading #Blockchain #DeFi #Investment #TechnicalAnalysis

We have a pivot breakout with .50 retrace. Let's see if vol takes it higher.

🚀 Ethereum – The Next Leg Up? 🚀 At WaverVanir International LLC, our models are detecting a high-probability continuation pattern on ETH/USD. Price has reclaimed the 0.886 Fibonacci zone (~$3,733) with conviction, aligning with our liquidity mapping protocol’s bullish bias. Key Levels We’re Watching: Immediate Support: $3,733 (0.886 Fib) Primary Target Zone: $5,381 – $5,501 (1.618–1.786 Fib extension) Invalidation: Sustained close below $3,399 (previous structural pivot) Why This Matters: Breakouts above 0.886 tend to trigger accelerated moves toward the 1.618 extension. Macro liquidity conditions remain supportive, with capital rotation favoring high-beta assets like Ethereum. This move aligns with VolanX’s projected momentum arc (see red trajectory). 📊 At WaverVanir, we don’t just chart—we engineer precision trading intelligence. Our VolanX Engine continuously recalibrates targets based on institutional order flow, macro shifts, and probabilistic modeling. 🔗 Actionable Insight: If momentum holds above $3,733, the path toward $5.5K could materialize faster than consensus expects. #Ethereum #ETHUSD #WaverVanir #VolanX #CryptoTrading #LiquidityIntelligence #Fibonacci #AITrading

Amazon at a critical level. Watching for possible confluence. Chargeeee!

"Zoom In. Follow the Sequence." Just analyzing sequential wave patterns across multiple timeframes. You can zoom in and see how structure evolves — impulse, correction, then continuation. Maybe there’s a strategy here that repeats. Maybe not. But if there is... it’s worth finding.Livermore Accumulation Pattern Playing out?Heading for Z ?This structure will also confluence with a lot of other big traders trade I think.

Notes: Multi-Timeframe Liquidity Reaction Framework Define Your Timeframes Higher-TF (Daily / 4-hour) Map major liquidity zones (daily highs/lows, order-block clusters). Note structural breaks and fair-value gaps around $3,200–$3,300 and $3,800–$4,000 (Murphy, 1999). Mid-TF (1-hour) Observe zone tests: wick‐rejections, two‐bar reversals, volume spikes. Tag each test as “acceptance” (close within zone) or “rejection” (long wick through zone) (Bulkowski, 2008). Lower-TF (15-/5-minute) Fine-tune entries: look for micro-order-blocks, VWAP pullbacks, or oscillators divergences immediately post-test. Set Up Your Research Template Zone (TF)Date/TimePrice LevelTest TypeVolume %ΔNext Move (pips / %)Notes Daily Highs (D)2025-08-03 07:00$3,800Rejection+45%+2.5% ↑Bearish wick test Order Block (4H)2025-08-02 16:00$3,250Acceptance+30%+1.8% ↑Smooth retest ………………… Measure & Analyze Wick Length vs. Zone Width: Wick ≥ 50% zone width → higher-prob rejection. Volume Delta: Spike > 30% above 20-period average → institutional activity. Post-Test Trend: Record 1-bar, 3-bar, and 6-bar returns after zone interaction. Iterate & Refine Review which zones yield reliable continuations versus false breaks. Adjust zone boundaries (expand/contract by ATR) based on statistical edge. Incorporate into your DSS for automated alerts when high-prob setups appear. “By systematically logging zone interactions and subsequent moves, you’ll quantify which liquidity tests offer the best risk-reward and tune your entries for optimal efficiency.” References Bulkowski, T. N. (2008). Encyclopedia of candlestick charts. John Wiley & Sons. Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical analysis of the financial markets. New York Institute of Finance.

Let's see what we get in the hrly, I plan to study the move and make my decision.

Technical Context Price completed a 5-wave decline into Wave 4 support at $3,246 (1.236 Fib extension of Wave 3) within a rising pitchfork channel Expect a multi-leg accumulation between the orange lower pitchfork line and the red median line before resuming the up-trend Accumulation Trajectory Initial Leg: Bounce off $3,246 → rally to $3,563 (0.618 Fib of the entire drop) Secondary Pullback: Retrace toward the orange trendline (~$3,400) Subsequent Rallies: Series of higher lows along orange support, testing channel median at ~$3,600–3,650 Final Shakeout: Quick flush toward $3,300–3,350 to clear weak hands before impulsive leg Intraday Trade Plan Entry Zones Tier 1: Near $3,260–3,280 (first swing low) Tier 2: Along orange rising support (~$3,350 on strength) Targets Partial at $3,563 (0.618 retracement) Full exit near red median line (~$3,625–3,650) Stop-Loss Below $3,230 (just under accumulation low) Position Sizing Risk ≤ 0.5% of account per leg; scale in on confirmation candles “Fear in China might prompt a sell-off; use these dips to accumulate for the next impulsive wave.” References Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical analysis of the financial markets. New York, NY: New York Institute of Finance. Prechter, R. R., & Frost, A. J. (2005). Elliott wave principle: Key to market behavior (10th ed.). New Classics Library.

Macro Thesis BTC & ETH “side by side” since 2017–18; both stalled in a multi-year base Renewed institutional inflows & Fed policy divergence set the stage for a parabolic squeeze If BTC can trade toward $100 K as a store-of-value, ETH has clear path to $50 K Technical Setup Key Resistance: Descending trendline at $3,800–4,000 Confluence Support: $3,200–3,300 (0.618 Fib + rising trendline) Momentum: Daily close above $3,800 triggers acceleration Trade Plan Entry: Break & retest above $3,800 Targets: T1: $5,000 (round number + regression line) T2: $10,000 (psychological) ⇨ ultimate stretch T3: $50,000 Stop-Loss: $3,100 (below 0.618 Fib zone) Risk Management: 1% per trade; adjust with DSS signals Note: ETH is a new asset class for me; DSS will filter optimal entries and sizing. Always watch macro drivers before committing. #Ethereum #CryptoMacro #TradingView #SmartMoneyConcepts #VolanX #DSS