VarghaVafa

⚠️ ETH – Approaching Major Supply Zone Pair: ETH/USD Timeframe: 3D Structure: Order Blocks (OB) + Fair Value Gaps (FVG) Momentum: RSI nearing historical reaction levels 📊 What’s happening? ETH has rallied strongly into a multi-year supply zone between $4,200 – $4,500, overlapping with prior distribution phases. The zone aligns with a major Order Block (OB) from the last market top, making it a high-risk area for rejection. 🛑 Caution Zone: OB resistance: $4,200 – $4,500 RSI approaching overbought region on the 3D timeframe 📌 Bearish Signals to Watch: Bearish candle formations inside OB RSI bearish divergence Failure to close above $4,500 Bias: Possible short-term correction before any attempt at ATH retest. ✅ Bullish Confirmation: Strong volume breakout above $4,500 Retest of OB as support holding RSI maintaining bullish momentum without sharp divergence 🎯 Upside Targets: $4,868 (ATH) $5,200+ (extension target) Bias: Highly bullish if price closes and sustains above $4,500.

Structure: Ascending Channel Indicators: RSI Overbought, Bearish Divergence Forming 📌 Confirmation: Look for: A strong bearish candle or RSI breaking below 60 Volume divergence Bias: Short-term bearish correction, bullish structure intact as long as price holds the channel.

Structure: Ascending Channel Indicators: RSI Overbought, Bearish Divergence Forming 📌 Confirmation: Look for: A strong bearish candle or RSI breaking below 60 Volume divergence Bias: Short-term bearish correction, bullish structure intact as long as price holds the channel.

Structure: Ascending Channel Indicators: RSI Overbought, Bearish Divergence Forming 📌 Confirmation: Look for: A strong bearish candle or RSI breaking below 60 Volume divergence Bias: Short-term bearish correction, bullish structure intact as long as price holds the channel.

Pair: ETH/USD Timeframe: 4H Structure: Ascending Channel Indicators: RSI Overbought, Bearish Divergence Forming Volume: Spike into resistance 📉 What’s happening? Ethereum just tagged the top of its ascending channel, showing early signs of rejection. RSI is hovering near overbought, with weakening momentum on the last push. ⚠️ Caution Zone: $3,425 acting as upper resistance Price may retrace to midline or lower channel support ($3,250 → $3,050 range) 📌 Confirmation: Look for: A strong bearish candle or RSI breaking below 60 Volume divergence Bias: Short-term bearish correction, bullish structure intact as long as price holds the channel.

⚠️If and only if the price break below $115,000 ⚠️ BTCUSD – Potential Head & Shoulders Forming Pair: BTC/USD Timeframe: 4H Pattern in Focus: Head and Shoulders Key Neckline: ~$115,000 Confirmation Trigger: Only valid if price breaks below the neckline zone with strong volume 🧠 Idea Summary: Bitcoin has formed what appears to be a classic head and shoulders pattern. The right shoulder is completing, and the neckline is clearly respected. A break below $115K could confirm this bearish setup, with a measured move pointing toward the demand zone between $108K–$109K. 📌 Watch for: Volume spike on breakdown Retest of neckline turning into resistance Potential long setups only if price reclaims $119K+ Bias: Bearish if $115K breaks. Neutral until then.

Pair: ADA/USD Timeframe: 4H Pattern: Ascending Triangle Breakout Level: ~$0.777 Entry: On breakout candle close above resistance Targets: 🎯 1st Target: $0.83 🎯 2nd Target: $0.86 Confluence: Bullish structure with higher lows pressing into horizontal resistance Breakout occurred with volume confirmation Fib extension aligns with target zones Bollinger Band expansion supports momentum continuation Bias: Bullish (continuation pattern) ⚠️ If price falls back below $0.745, watch for possible invalidation or retest of the triangle breakout.

Pattern: Cup & Handle Timeframe: 1D Cup Range: $0.168 → $0.212 Handle: Forming as a descending bull flag Breakout Level: ~$0.2125 Measured Target: ~$0.256 Confluence: Clean rounded base (cup) Tight flag pullback (handle) Volume decrease during handle = healthy Prior resistance aligns with projected target zone Bias: Bullish (on breakout with volume confirmation) 📌 Watching for breakout above handle resistance with rising volume to confirm entry. Measured move aligns with historical supply zone. After break out from 0.216~0.226 Target Zone: 0.24~0.26

Setup Breakdown Price recently broke out from a falling wedge and hit both technical targets — first at ~$409 (78.6%) and then ~$419 (100%). However, momentum is weakening despite price hovering near the highs. We're now seeing early bearish divergence on multiple timeframes and oscillators, signaling potential reversal or pullback. ⚠️ Bearish Signals RSI Divergence Price made higher highs while RSI made lower highs — classic bearish divergence. Double confirmation Both RSI with MA and pure RSI show declining momentum. Volume drop Price is rising but volume is not following — another early warning sign. 🔻 Potential Breakdown Trigger If price closes below $407–405, that would break short-term structure and confirm the divergence risk. Watch for RSI to drop below 50 and volume to spike on red candles — that would likely accelerate the correction. 📉 Downside Zones to Watch $400 => 61.8% Fib retracement + consolidation base $395 => 50% Fib retracement $389 => 38.2% Fib retracement + prior breakout support ✅ Summary Divergence is still early but meaningful — momentum does not support current price highs. A breakdown from current levels could open a short window down to $386 or even $371 if confirmed. Watch RSI + volume + candle structure for confirmation before acting. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always manage your own risk and follow your trading plan. #MSTR #BearishDivergence #RSI #Fibonacci #MomentumShift #VolumeAnalysis #TradingView #TechStocks #4HChart

🧠 Setup OverviewBitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion after a parabolic rally:Bearish divergence is visible on the 3D RSI — price made higher highs while RSI made lower highs.Volume is shrinking with each push up, suggesting buyer momentum is fading.Price is pressing into all-time highs without conviction, signaling potential for a pullback.🔻 Downside TargetsTarget 🎯LevelWhy It MattersTarget 1$92,300 (50% Fib)Midpoint of last impulse + first strong demand area.Target 2$82,500 (61.8% Fib)Volume-profile support + key confluence zone.🔎 What Confirms the Setup?Breakdown below $108K structureDaily close below $105K with increasing volumeRSI losing midline support = momentum shift confirmed❌ InvalidationDaily close > $112K with strong volume = idea invalidWould suggest continuation toward blue-sky breakout✅ SummaryBearish divergence + volume drop = classic topping signalsRisk is well-defined, with Fib-backed targets offering clean R:RTrade cautiously — momentum is fading, not gone yet📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research and manage risk according to your plan.#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoAnalysis #BearishDivergence #RSI #VolumeProfile #Fibonacci #TradingView