TehThomas

Bitcoin is showing signs of weakness after a clean rejection from a 4H fair value gap, where price also swept the previous swing high. This aligns well with a broader bearish context as the market failed to sustain above the upper bounds of the trend channel, indicating potential exhaustion of the bullish correction. Rejection Zone and Fair Value Gap The rejection took place precisely within a 4H imbalance, adding confluence to the idea that this was a premium retracement in a bearish leg. The high formed inside that zone has now been swept, setting up conditions for distribution. A smaller 1H fair value gap was also left behind during the displacement move down, creating a clean area for price to return to and potentially react from. Channel Structure and Bearflag Formation Structurally, price has been climbing in a rising channel that resembles a bearflag pattern. The recent market structure shift broke the channel low, confirming that the rising structure is likely corrective. The rejection from the top of the flag and the subsequent breakdown align with a typical bearflag setup, suggesting a continuation move to the downside. Short-Term Retracement Expectation Before the next leg down, price may retrace to fill the unmitigated fair value gap while possibly sweeping the minor swing high that caused the current drop. This retracement would offer a premium shorting opportunity in alignment with the bearish bias, especially if internal structure remains weak on the lower timeframes during the return to the FVG. Draw on Liquidity and Price Objective The main objective for this setup is a sweep of the last equal lows near 115950, which represents a strong draw on liquidity. If the bearflag setup plays out fully, this area is highly vulnerable and could be the next significant target once the FVG is filled and lower timeframe distribution confirms. Conclusion Price has rejected from a 4H imbalance and swept liquidity to the upside, forming a clean bearflag structure. As long as price remains below the recent high and fills the 1H FVG without invalidating the shift, the path of least resistance looks to be down toward the liquidity resting below 115950. I’ll be watching for signs of weakness during the return to the FVG for a potential short trigger. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀

Price faked below the 1H support zone around 115,800, triggering a clean run through resting sell stops. This classic liquidity sweep flushed out early long positions before immediately reclaiming the range. The move aggressively filled a prior imbalance and flipped sentiment just when it seemed the trend might break lower. The quick rejection and recovery from this level suggests smart money accumulation beneath support. Formation of a 1H Inversion Fair Value Gap The rebound from the liquidity grab printed a bullish 1H inversion FVG, now acting as a potential launchpad for continuation. This FVG coincides with the same zone that was previously support, now carrying added confluence. As long as price remains above this gap, the reaction shows bullish intent, with buyers reclaiming initiative after a shakeout. Trend Shift Trigger and Invalidation Level The current structure remains technically bearish until we break above the marked 1H high at 118,400. That level is the structure shift trigger. A decisive close above it would confirm a market structure shift and open the door to a broader bullish continuation. However, failure to close above this high would invalidate the setup and suggest that the move from support was just a temporary retracement rather than a full reversal. Upside Targets and Continuation Outlook If we get the bullish break above 118,400, I’m looking for price to reach Target 1 near 120,400, followed by Target 2 around the unmitigated FVG at 122,200. These levels align with clean inefficiencies that are likely to get filled if the market gains momentum. With enough volume behind the breakout, BTC could push into ATH territory above 123K as part of a larger macro expansion. Volume and Higher Timeframe Context Volume is the final key piece. We need strong follow-through above 118,400 for the setup to remain valid. Weak rejection or consolidation below that red line would signal distribution and potential failure. On the higher timeframes, BTC still looks constructive, but the 1H structure must confirm by breaking higher, or the broader bullish case will need to be re-evaluated. Conclusion BTC swept 1H support, ran stops, and printed a bullish inversion FVG. A break and close above 118,400 would confirm trend reversal and initiate a move toward 120,400 and 122,200. If we fail to close above that level, this setup is invalidated and the range could continue or break lower. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀As expected, we broke above the high. still pushing

Bitcoin has pushed into blue skies after breaking through a major resistance zone around 110,000 USD. The breakout was sharp and impulsive, pushing price well into uncharted territory above 117,000. At these levels, traditional resistance becomes harder to pinpoint, and the market often behaves irrationally, so caution is warranted. With all-time highs being challenged, any small retracement must be handled with precision. Support and Retest Zones The previous resistance zone between 109,000 and 111,000 has now turned into a potential support area. This level acted as a ceiling for weeks and was finally broken with strong momentum. Price already had a minor retest on the breakout candle, which offers a bullish sign of acceptance. However, a deeper retest of this same zone remains a valid possibility, especially if short-term profit-taking intensifies. Trendline Confluence Alongside the horizontal support, we have an ascending trendline that has guided price from the June lows. This trendline now intersects with the 111,000–113,000 area, offering a secondary potential bounce level. If Bitcoin holds the trendline, a shallower correction could be enough to reset before another rally. But if we break below it, the horizontal support remains the final stronghold before deeper downside risks emerge. Short-Term Scenarios There are two likely short-term paths here. Either Bitcoin continues higher without a deep pullback, targeting 120,000–125,000 directly, or we see one more sweep into the 111,000 area before the trend resumes. The first scenario would trap sidelined traders, forcing late entries at higher levels. The second would provide a clean retest of structure, fueling a healthier, more sustainable breakout. Price Target and Expectations Assuming the retest scenario plays out cleanly and price confirms support at either the trendline or the former resistance zone, upside targets sit around 120,000 as the next psychological barrier, with 125,000 as a likely extension. These are natural magnet levels in a trending environment, especially with momentum still intact from the previous breakout. Conclusion Bitcoin is currently in price discovery, which means the structure must guide our expectations. A retest of either the trendline or former resistance could provide the next best entry. As long as we hold above the green support zone, the bullish structure remains intact, and higher targets remain in sight. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀Currently shift structure on the 15m timeframe, see if we can test the support

Bitcoin attempted to take out the swing high around 110.5k but failed to clear the previous all-time high, resulting in a sharp rejection. This failure marks a significant turning point, suggesting a lack of bullish momentum at premium levels. The rejection came after a sweep of equal highs within a well-defined resistance zone, indicating a potential liquidity grab.Highs Swept, But No BreakoutAfter dropping into support around the 107.5k region, price managed to push up and form a new swing high, but once again met heavy selling pressure after sweeping the prior equal highs. That sweep and the subsequent rejection give this structure the character of a classic liquidity trap, where smart money runs the highs only to reverse.Weak Lows BelowThe support zone has now been tapped multiple times, and the most recent low is structurally weak. It failed to produce a higher high, which makes it vulnerable to a clean stop hunt. Given this context, these lows are likely to be targeted next, as price seeks out sell-side liquidity resting beneath.Expected Path ForwardI’m expecting further downside to unfold from here. The rejection from resistance, paired with the weak internal structure, suggests Bitcoin will take out the weak lows near 107.5k. Once those lows are swept, I expect a bullish reaction from the same demand zone, setting up a potential long opportunity back into the 109k–110k area. The plan is to look for signs of a reversal after the sweep, such as a 5M market structure shift or a fair value gap entry setup.Liquidity Map and Trade PlanThe current price action is best viewed through the lens of liquidity. The highs were engineered to trap breakout buyers and then rejected. Now, the weak lows offer the next logical draw on liquidity. My focus is on short-term downside targeting that 107.2k–107.5k support region, followed by a potential bullish reversal setup once that liquidity is cleared.ConclusionThis is a clean example of a failed breakout, followed by engineered liquidity moves in both directions. As long as price respects the current structure, my bias remains short into the weak lows, followed by a high-probability long setup once those lows are swept and the market shifts.Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.___________________________________Thanks for your support!If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀We took out the highs and made a new ATH, still expecting price to move down

Bitcoin is showing clear signs of a corrective move within a broader bullish structure. After forming a second consecutive lower high, price is now pressing downward, creating space for a potential liquidity grab and discount entry. Despite this short-term weakness, the macro narrative remains intact. The all-time high remains untapped above, holding a thick layer of liquidity that the market has yet to collect.Liquidity and Fib ConfluenceThere is a visible equal low structure around the 107.8k area. This is a prime zone for a sweep, where smart money is likely to trigger sell stops before reversing. Below that lies a Fair Value Gap (FVG) extending into the 106.5k range. Within this same zone, we also have strong Fibonacci confluence, especially at the 0.786 level near 106.2k. This makes it a high-probability entry area if price delivers a clean displacement after the sweep.Short-Term Bearish, Long-Term BullishThe market is respecting a trendline drawn across the lower highs, giving the impression of sustained bearish control. However, this is likely a trap. Once the sell-side liquidity below the 107.8k low is taken and the imbalance around 106.5k is filled, price will be primed for a reversal. The true target lies much higher, with the all-time high around 110.5k as the main magnet.FVG Fill and Reversal MechanicsThis entire drop is likely engineered to fill inefficiencies left behind earlier in the move up. The FVG acts not only as a magnet, but also a springboard for the next leg. Expecting price to show a reaction at the 0.786 level, where the order flow could shift and confirm a bullish reversal, is key here. Ideally, we see a clean sweep, a displacement, and a reclaim of previous structure before targeting higher levels.Projection and Trade SetupThe anticipated sequence is a sweep of 107.8k, fill of the gap and fib zone down to 106.2k, then a potential reversal structure forming. If that structure confirms, the next major move should aim for the untouched all-time highs, where significant liquidity remains resting. Traders should remain patient and let the sweep and confirmation unfold before entering.ConclusionWe are watching a classic setup where engineered downside movement is likely to create the conditions for a powerful reversal. As long as price respects the 106k zone and gives a strong reaction, the path toward the ATH remains wide open.___________________________________Thanks for your support!If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀Bitcoin might test the trendline first before taking out the lows

Gold recently completed a clean sweep of the 4H swing lows, taking out downside liquidity just before breaking out of a well-defined descending channel. This move marked a shift in momentum and structure, suggesting that the bearish leg may have concluded and the market is now transitioning into a more bullish phase.Breakout Confirmation and Retest ZoneFollowing the breakout, price retraced and tapped directly into a confluence area where a fair value gap aligns with the upper boundary of the broken channel. This acted as a high-probability retest zone, and the reaction was strong. The market respected this structure perfectly, adding conviction to the breakout's validity.Support and Resistance DynamicsCurrently, price is hovering between a nearby support level and a short-term resistance zone above. The support is holding firm after the retest, while the resistance is capping upward momentum for now. This is a healthy consolidation following the breakout, and it provides a clear structure for monitoring continuation.Imbalance Target and Flow OutlookShould the market gain enough strength to break through the overhead resistance, there is a large unmitigated imbalance further above that stands as a strong magnet. It represents a clean fair value gap left behind during the previous selloff and could be the next major draw if bullish momentum continues.Overall Flow and Trade LogicThe sequence is very clean: sweep of liquidity, bullish breakout, efficient retest, and now consolidation above support. As long as price continues to form higher lows and respect the current structure, the probability of further upside remains favorable. Patience around the resistance area will be key for confirmation.ConclusionGold is displaying a textbook reversal setup driven by liquidity and structure. If the current support continues to hold and buyers reclaim control above resistance, the path toward the upper imbalance becomes highly probable. The market is aligned for continuation, with bullish momentum building gradually.Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.___________________________________Thanks for your support!If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀It looks like gold could come back to the support level again, lets wait for the market open

Bitcoin is pushing into a critical decision point as it challenges the previous all-time high near 110k. After a strong push out of a rounded bottom formation with clean higher lows, price has now broken above the last visible resistance area and is hovering just under the ATH liquidity. This rally has been aggressive, but the reaction here will determine whether this move becomes an extended breakout or a classic trap.Liquidity and Key ResistanceThe ATH zone around 110k carries a large pool of liquidity, and price is now testing it for the first time since the breakout. We’ve already had a clean break above the prior resistance zone, but we haven’t yet seen a confirmed close above ATH with convincing volume. If price manages to close strongly above this level on the 4H or daily chart, that would be a sign that bulls are in full control. Until then, the possibility of a sweep and rejection remains firmly on the table.Sweep Scenario and Downside LevelsIf we fail to close convincingly above the ATH and instead see a wick through followed by a strong reversal, that would confirm the sweep. In that case, I’d expect short setups to activate quickly, with downside targets sitting around 105k. This level marks the structure support below the most recent breakout, and would be a logical point for price to rebalance before continuing any broader uptrend. A rejection from current levels would also trap late longs and provide fuel for a quick retracement.Bullish Breakout ScenarioIf we do get that proper breakout above 110k, backed by strong volume and continuation candles, the upside opens fast. There’s very little structure above the ATH, so price could move cleanly up into the next round psychological target around 115k. This move would confirm continuation of the higher timeframe trend and offer short-term breakout retests for potential long re-entries.Volume and Candle Confirmation Are CrucialAt this stage, the setup is binary and all about confirmation. A clean 4H or daily close above ATH with follow-through volume will flip the bias fully bullish. But if we get signs of exhaustion and a failed breakout attempt, the sweep setup becomes highly probable. Waiting for confirmation here is key, rather than trying to front-run the move.ConclusionBitcoin is sitting right at a high-stakes level. We either continue into price discovery toward 115k if momentum follows through, or we see a classic liquidity sweep and rejection back into 105k. The clean structure and recent higher lows support both sides of the argument, but execution will depend on how price reacts around the ATH. Either way, this zone is the key pivot for the next major swing.Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.___________________________________Thanks for your support!If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀Bitcoin started to fall, we didn't sweep any highs yet. So potential fakeout

Bitcoin is once again reacting to a major resistance zone around 108.8K, a level that has consistently rejected price in the past. The market attempted a breakout but failed to sustain momentum, forming multiple wicks and signs of weakness near the highs. This repeated rejection suggests that sellers are still in control up here and that this zone remains a strong ceiling for price.Immediate Downside ScenarioWith bearish pressure building at resistance, price is now pulling back and eyeing the first key support level around 103.8K. This zone previously acted as a significant base, with an imbalance overlap and structural demand from past price action. If price taps into this zone and buyers defend it, we could see a recovery bounce and potentially another retest of the upper resistance.Breakdown Risk and Bearish ExpansionHowever, if 103.8K fails to hold, this opens the door for a deeper correction. The next logical downside target would be in the 98K region, where a higher timeframe imbalance sits and where price last found strong demand during the last major push up. This would also align with a full sweep of recent liquidity build-ups below.Bullish Recovery PathIn the bullish case, holding 103.8K could initiate a rebound back toward the 108.8K resistance. This would likely depend on a solid reaction and displacement from the support zone, potentially forming a new higher low structure. For bulls to regain full control, we would need to see a clean breakout above the resistance zone with continuation.Key Zones to WatchThe red resistance zone near 108.8K remains the clear invalidation for further upside, while the grey support block around 103.8K is the first major level that could decide the short-term trend. If that breaks, the purple demand zone near 98K is a high-probability area for price to find support again.ConclusionBitcoin is still stuck between a strong resistance ceiling and a critical mid-range support zone. The rejection from the top signals that we may see downside in the near term, but whether this turns into a full reversal or just a retracement depends entirely on how price reacts around 103.8K. Hold it and we bounce, break it and we likely drop toward 98K. Keep watching how price behaves at these levels to gauge momentum and direction.___________________________________Thanks for your support!If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀Price is moving down, it's looking good

After an aggressive bullish rally, Bitcoin has filled a clean 1H imbalance zone near 108K and swept short-term liquidity above recent 1H highs. The move into premium pricing saw clear signs of rejection, with a strong bearish reaction directly inside the imbalance area. This reaction confirms the area as a valid supply zone and signals that bulls may have exhausted their momentum in the short term.Liquidity Sweep and RejectionThe sweep of prior highs was sharp and quick, lacking follow-through, and was immediately followed by rejection wicks and a drop in momentum. This kind of price action typically hints at engineered liquidity grabs, where smart money drives price into inefficiencies to fill orders before reversing direction. That liquidity sweep, paired with the fill of the 1H FVG, increases the probability that this high is now set in place for a short-term reversal.Key Short-Term Level to WatchThe immediate level of interest lies at the most recent low before the rally, marked clearly as a potential short-term support. This low often acts as a magnet post-sweep, as price retraces to test if there’s real buyer interest left or not. If this low fails to hold, the bearish momentum could accelerate into the nearby 4H Fair Value Gap around the 102.5K–101.9K area.Fair Value Gap and Lower TargetThat 4H FVG has not yet been filled, and there’s also a small unmitigated imbalance sitting just above it. If price drops into this zone and still fails to show strong buyer interest, the path opens toward a more significant downside move. The final downside target sits near 98K, highlighted by a higher timeframe demand area and major structure level. This zone would only come into play if all intermediate support levels break cleanly.Bearish RoadmapShort-term, I expect a retest of the recent low, followed by a possible reaction. But if that reaction fails and momentum stays bearish, the 4H FVG fill becomes highly likely. A break below that would shift control decisively to sellers, with 98K as the next major liquidity pocket to target. This move would also clean out most of the inefficiencies left behind by the recent aggressive bullish move.ConclusionThe rejection from the 1H imbalance and liquidity sweep suggest Bitcoin’s recent rally may be done for now. Until we reclaim the 1H FVG and break above recent highs with strength, the bias is bearish. If the key low breaks, I’ll be watching how price reacts inside the FVG zone. A weak reaction could open up the flush toward the 98K level for a larger liquidity draw.___________________________________Thanks for your support!If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀Looks like we rejected, waiting for some nice bearish volume now

Market ContextBitcoin recently swept the 100k lows, clearing out built-up liquidity beneath that level. This move formed a strong reaction candle, suggesting interest from buyers and confirming the presence of resting demand. The sweep aligns with the concept of smart money targeting obvious liquidity pools before shifting direction. It also marks a potential short-term low, at least temporarily.Short-Term Structure and FVG SetupFollowing the sweep, price tapped into a clean 1H fair value gap and has been respecting it so far. This is our immediate line in the sand. As long as this gap holds, we’re dealing with a scenario of temporary bullish order flow. The market structure on lower timeframes suggests the potential for a short-term rebound, possibly into the inefficiencies left above.Upside Target and Gap Fill PotentialIf price continues to hold the 1H FVG, we could see a push higher that targets unfilled gaps above, particularly the one where we saw a clean rejection previously. There’s a clear inducement just above recent highs, so a sweep of those could be used to fill that imbalance. This would align with the idea of running internal liquidity before reversing or stalling at supply.Bearish Breakdown ScenarioOn the flip side, if price breaks down from the 1H FVG without reclaiming structure, the entire bullish idea invalidates. In that case, I expect price to gravitate back toward the 97.5k zone. This would be a logical area for deeper mitigation and potential reaccumulation, especially since it sits below the current consolidation. The failure to hold the gap would signal weak demand and continuation of the broader bearish leg.Scouting Liquidity and Price FlowRight now, the main idea is tied to how price behaves around the short-term 1H FVG. That is the pivot. Hold it, and we should see some form of liquidity run into the unfilled gap above. Lose it, and the next wave of downside should unlock, pushing us closer to 97.5k. Either way, liquidity remains the core driver in both directions.ConclusionPrice has swept major downside liquidity and is now reacting to a key imbalance. As long as the 1H fair value gap holds, I expect short-term upside targeting unfilled inefficiencies and internal highs. A failure to hold would shift the bias back to the downside, with the 97.5k range as the next probable draw on liquidity.___________________________________Thanks for your support!If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀