THISMA

Salut à tous, AT sur ETHUSDT! Price action relativement bullish sur ETH, avec la deviation sous support du range hebdo. Si on maintient la zone de support au niveau 1930, alors on devrait probablement voir une prochaine leg de hausse vers les 2080. Deux trades possibles : - Long la zone, target 2080 ou exit si fakeout à 2020. - Attendre un break down et short le retest de la zone. On est plutot en top de range actuellement, mais il y a clairement une sous allocation de la part des investisseurs cryptos. De plus la news de l'ETF BlackRock est suffisamment grosse pour maintenir un rally haussier soutenu.

Simplement à but démonstratif pour les intéressés. Triangle sur LIDO, qui pourrai amener à un dernier push vers le précèdent ATH.

ETHUSDT forms a nice bullish structure to start this new year! Technical: We had a nice dump following the FTX panic a few weeks ago. This dump was then retested a few days later and quickly absorbed. Subsequently the price recently tried to be push down (Dec 17) but failed to get into the excess area (gray area) but was instead bought back at the bottom of the range (blue area). This for me clearly marks a refusal of sellers to sell their ETH below 1150. We are now creating the first 'higher low' of a 4H bullish structure. Re-entering the ETH monthly range (2 white horizontal lines) is now of high probability. In this kind of scenario, after retesting the buyers and trapping many sellers below the range, we should have an upside breakout. This is why I am long ETH and stop loss if there is a reintegration of the grey area, as this would mean that sellers finally accept this price area and a quick crossing to the south would therefore be considered. On that note, I wish you a great year 2023 and feel free to like my content if you like it :) See you guys!

OBK the token of the OKEX platform is one of the only cryptos to perform upwards lately. Fundamentals: OKEX is a platform that has already experienced the previous bear market (creation 2017 in China). In particular, it has experienced quite a few controversies such as the arrest of its CEO in 2020 (which came to nothing). Operates mainly in Asian markets. Based in the Seychelles with its headquarters in Malta. Relatively well known nowadays. Technical: It has just broken out of a symmetrical triangle consolidation dating back to early May 2021. We can expect an upward extension over several weeks/months until reaching the second resistance area, which is the bullish target of this triangle. Stop loss should be wide enough for an entry at -now- levels, but it would be better to wait for a blue zone retracement if there is one. See you guys later, and if you like my ATs, don't hesitate to smash that like button, it means a lot to me :)

Honestly, what could be a better gift than a BTC at 16500 dollars? And you, what did you ask Santa for? I asked for a BTC at 100k + in a few years, simple target, basic. On behalf of Thisma corporation and its associates, we wish you a very Merry Christmas! ✨✨

Hello everyone, today we are going to talk about the cyclical nature of Bitcoin . Impressions: We can't help but notice the uncanny similarities between each Bitcoin cycle. Indeed, the halvings (mechanisms for reducing the number of Bitcoin mined) occur about every 4 years. This is followed by a bullish rise that lasted respectively : - 526 days for the second halving (from July 9, 2016) - 548 days for the third halving (from May 11th 2020) Assuming we bottomed at FTX's bankruptcy at 15500, we would have a bearish phase time that is day for day identical to the 2018 phase! 🤯🤯 Logic: We know that markets always work in cycles, and bitcoin is no exception. They are even more emphasized in cryptos, because unlike stock market valuations, Bitcoin is much less subject to external variables than any other asset! Indeed, having no CEO and being decentralized (i.e. not depending on any jurisdiction), there are few traditional valuation exercises that work on cryptos. Therefore, the main variable that governs the price of Bitcoin is human psychology. Each new bull market cycle is formed by the excitement of new investors who have never invested before. The emotional phases that they will go through during the market phases are the same as the ones that the previous investors went through during the last cycle (on average of course, I neglect the differences in risk tolerance of everyone). It is therefore for me not insignificant to find a very strong cyclicality on cryptos, the emotions experienced by new investors during a bear market remain the same from one cycle to another, as well as their duration. Predictions: If we stick to the previous analysis, we will enter an accumulation phase for the next 3 months and then go into an echo bubble. However we can agree that the macroeconomic context is not the same as in 2017. However, the FED is becoming a little more lenient and it has been 2-3 months in a row that we have an inflation index (CPI) that is decreasing which could be a narrative to justify a rise in 2023. Feel free to like / follow and happy trading!

Hello, little debriefing on BTC! We held the first support (some slight wicks below because of the FED meeting) [Fundamental analysis: During the FED conference 2 days ago, the market tried to frontrun an announcement of a pause in the rate hike but was quickly calmed down by mr Powell. Indeed Powell did not announce any slowdown but instead said that the final value of rates would be higher than expected. The current 0.75 bps hikes could be reduced starting in January. [Technical analysis: Previous TA support has been held and validated. I expect a continuation of the bullish momentum, at least until the target of the triangle. If we break the second resistance, big rise is expected. But I doubt that this resistance will break at first, probably some consolidation higher.

Hello everyone, we have FINALLY broken the damned range. Notably due to a weakness of the DXY , we see a strong rise in shares and forex pairs EUR / USD etc.. Background : As I said in previous TAs I think the DXY probably has top for a few months. This should give us time for our first bear market rally. We also see that central banks are starting to raise rates with less aggressivity, ie bank of canada with a rate at 50 bps vs 75 expected, FED that expressed its intention to reduce its QT. Technical analysis : As we can see on the chart, I expect a strong buyout of the first support. In this kind of break, we need to see a relatively quick continuation which does not let many people buy back in, especially those who sold the range. The longer we wait in this spot the less conviction I will hold in this rally. If we lose the first support it remains bullish , however if we lose the second it is game over with in the best case a return to 18k and potentially a break to 14k.

Will we finally break out of the range or not? At the moment we have a typical price action of a missed range exit: a 'deviation'. When we have a deviation in a range we usually have an opposite movement on the other side. However, this breakout (and I hope so) will potentially finally get us out of the range we have been in for months on BTC. This spot is relatively optimal for betting on a rise with an easy stop below the average value line. The expectation of gains from this kind of trade is not excellent, however, as the probability that we will remain in the range is high. It would be better to wait for a clean break upwards for confirmation.

Hello everyone, this is a CRV trade that I am considering. Technical point of view Nice consolidation in symmetrical triangle, after reclaiming an important support. BTC will probably break out of its upward consolidation as well and help us push the resistances on CRV . Confirmation of the trade once we break the main resistance area. First stops on weak resistance (white lines) to take profits, and/or reopen lower. Fundamental point of view CRV is a high potential token that allows via veCRV to get yield in DEFI (up to 30% APY using boosters like stake DAO). Excellent token to accumulate in bear market on these extremely attractive levels in daily. CRV is the token of the biggest DEFI platform, curve finance.