THE-REAL-SILENT-TRADER

Same pattern as many other ALT coins out there. RENDER has already lost its multi-year trendline. The impulsive breakdown suggests distribution → markdown, not a healthy pullback. That said, markets rarely move in a straight line. This chart outlines a dual-scenario plan: 1) Tactical long during a relief rally 2) Primary short into higher-timeframe supply Scenario 1: Price is stabilizing after a sharp selloff. A corrective move toward $3.70–$4.30 is technically valid. This zone aligns with: Prior support → resistance Liquidity resting above Range low of previous distribution This is not a long-term bullish breakout — it’s a reaction. Scenario 2 — Primary Short (HTF Bias) Above $4.00 sits heavy higher-timeframe supply. Unless price accepts above ~$4.60 on 3D closes, rallies into this zone are expected to fail. Failure here opens downside continuation toward: $1.50 Potentially sub-$1 in full cycle retracement Silent Trader Rules: • No prediction • No emotion • React to structure • Trade only at HTF levels Disclaimer: These observations are for educational purposes only. chart analysis — nothing here is financial advice. Please always do your own research!

Contraction zone ( range support) entering into expansion/Reaction. This is not a trend breakout trade — it’s a mean-reversion / bounce trade. Expectation: relief rally into prior resistance. STOP LOSS (Hard Invalidation) Stop Loss: $84,900 Why this level: Below the local base Below the small consolidation box Breaks the rising micro-trendline Loss of this level = structure failure → downside opens. TAKE PROFITS TP1 — Conservative / Structure Test : $95,000 Prior range low / first resistance Logical area for partial exit R ≈ 1.0 TP2 — Primary Target: $101,500 Range midpoint / prior breakdown level Confluence with channel resistance R ≈ 2.2 IMPORTANT NOTE: Structure is corrective, not impulsive Best suited for active management, not set-and-forget If BTC breaks below $85k, the bearish scenario accelerates fast Disclaimer: These observations are for educational purposes only. chart analysis — nothing here is financial advice. Please always do your own research!

Extremely clean XABCD harmonic pattern spotted on solusdt. Please read the entire post for education, target entry and TP zones. I put a lot of research in it. Hope you enjoy the read. Not a financial advice, just for education purpose. :) To summarize the post, the most likely harmonic completion is the BUTTERFLY/Crab into $350–$410 ( first TP). Here’s why: - Fits the macro Solana channel - Fits Elliott Wave 5 target - Fits the center of the yearly momentum projection - Fits market cycle timing (BTC topping 2026 → ALTs explode late) - Matches confluence on trendlines - fear and greed factor - extreme fear ( usually expect a bounce) - SOL historically performs deep harmonic extensions in cycles -------------------------------------------------------------- DETAILS: ---------------------------------------------------------------- ENTRY ZONE (now to $118) BEST entries are: ✔ $142 – $132 (current accumulation) ✔ $128 – $118 (golden entry zone) → this is ideal ✔ $110 – $100 (max fear entry if BTC dips) Why these? Because they form the C-to-D inflection, where harmonics begin their strongest rallies. 🟢 TAKE PROFIT LADDER (precision) 🎯 TP1 – $348–$417 Scale out 20–25% (Butterfly/Crab PRZ + first alt rally) 🎯 TP2 – $540–$615 Scale out 40–50% (The primary Deep Crab completion) 🎯 TP3 – $720–$820 Scale out 25–40% (Extended mania phase) 🔻 STOP LOSS & INVALIDATION You need two levels, not one. 🔻 Soft SL (Pattern Risk) $110 If broken, pattern might retest deeper liquidity, but still intact. 🔻 Hard SL (Harmonic Invalidation) $95 – $90 A weekly close below $95 breaks: - XA structure - Trend geometry - Harmonic ratios - Crab + Butterfly tolerance ________________________________________________________________ Here are details of the HARMONIC PATTERN AND MY NOTES.... _______________________________________________________________ X → A → B → C → D progression is valid: X = $294 A = $95 B = $255–268 zone C = $122 D (Projected) = $300–$400 zone depending on harmonic type Key points: XA retracement at B ≈ 0.786 – 0.88 zone This is what defines the pattern: If B is ~ 0.886 → Deep Crab / Butterfly B is around 0.788–0.92 area, so this makes it: A DEEP HARMONIC PATTERN → most likely a Butterfly or Deep Crab (depending on how far D will extend) Final D target depends on which pattern completes first IF Butterfly → ⭕ D = $348–$416 IF Crab → ⭕ D = $540–$630 >>> my target zone. If Extended crab... $750–$830 Most Probable Outcome (based on structure) The most likely harmonic completion is the BUTTERFLY/Crab into $350–$410. Here’s why: - Fits the macro Solana channel - Fits Elliott Wave 5 target - Fits the center of the yearly momentum projection - Fits market cycle timing (BTC topping 2026 → ALTs explode late) - Matches confluence on trendlines - fear and greed factor - extreme fear ( usually expect a bounce) - SOL historically performs deep harmonic extensions in cycles For your education... MOST COMMON PATTERN RULES 1. Gartley Pattern 🔸 B = 61.8% of XA 🔸 D = 78.6% retracement of XA 🔸 BC = 1.27 or 1.618 extension 2. Bat Pattern 🔸 B = 38.2–50% of XA 🔸 D = 88.6% retracement of XA 🔸 BC = 1.618–2.618 extension 3. Crab Pattern 🔸 B = 38.2–61.8% of XA 🔸 D = 161.8% extension of XA 🔸 BC = 2.618–3.618 extension 4. Butterfly Pattern 🔸 B = 78.6% of XA 🔸 D = 127.2–161.8% extension of XAWe failed to close above $140. This just depends the extension to 1 or 1.2 fib extension. Either way its fine. our target just becomes more explosive to the upside. example: if we fail to reclaim $140. , bottom shifts and wick down capitulation type event below $95 ( ~ $74 ish ). But we should not close weekly below $95. What to watch for: - Reaction at $140: weak bounce + rejection = your count strengthening - Daily close relative to $95 (not wicks) Volume signature: dump into lows on rising volume = trend continuation dump into lows on massive spike + instant reclaim = likely bottoming event