Technical analysis by THE-REAL-SILENT-TRADER about Symbol SOL: Buy recommendation (12/3/2025)

THE-REAL-SILENT-TRADER
سولانا (SOL) تا ۴۲۰ دلار؟ تحلیل هارمونیک پروانه و خرچنگ شگفتانگیز!

Extremely clean XABCD harmonic pattern spotted on solusdt. Please read the entire post for education, target entry and TP zones. I put a lot of research in it. Hope you enjoy the read. Not a financial advice, just for education purpose. :) To summarize the post, the most likely harmonic completion is the BUTTERFLY/Crab into $350–$410 ( first TP). Here’s why: - Fits the macro Solana channel - Fits Elliott Wave 5 target - Fits the center of the yearly momentum projection - Fits market cycle timing (BTC topping 2026 → ALTs explode late) - Matches confluence on trendlines - fear and greed factor - extreme fear ( usually expect a bounce) - SOL historically performs deep harmonic extensions in cycles -------------------------------------------------------------- DETAILS: ---------------------------------------------------------------- ENTRY ZONE (now to $118) BEST entries are: ✔ $142 – $132 (current accumulation) ✔ $128 – $118 (golden entry zone) → this is ideal ✔ $110 – $100 (max fear entry if BTC dips) Why these? Because they form the C-to-D inflection, where harmonics begin their strongest rallies. 🟢 TAKE PROFIT LADDER (precision) 🎯 TP1 – $348–$417 Scale out 20–25% (Butterfly/Crab PRZ + first alt rally) 🎯 TP2 – $540–$615 Scale out 40–50% (The primary Deep Crab completion) 🎯 TP3 – $720–$820 Scale out 25–40% (Extended mania phase) 🔻 STOP LOSS & INVALIDATION You need two levels, not one. 🔻 Soft SL (Pattern Risk) $110 If broken, pattern might retest deeper liquidity, but still intact. 🔻 Hard SL (Harmonic Invalidation) $95 – $90 A weekly close below $95 breaks: - XA structure - Trend geometry - Harmonic ratios - Crab + Butterfly tolerance ________________________________________________________________ Here are details of the HARMONIC PATTERN AND MY NOTES.... _______________________________________________________________ X → A → B → C → D progression is valid: X = $294 A = $95 B = $255–268 zone C = $122 D (Projected) = $300–$400 zone depending on harmonic type Key points: XA retracement at B ≈ 0.786 – 0.88 zone This is what defines the pattern: If B is ~ 0.886 → Deep Crab / Butterfly B is around 0.788–0.92 area, so this makes it: A DEEP HARMONIC PATTERN → most likely a Butterfly or Deep Crab (depending on how far D will extend) Final D target depends on which pattern completes first IF Butterfly → ⭕ D = $348–$416 IF Crab → ⭕ D = $540–$630 >>> my target zone. If Extended crab... $750–$830 Most Probable Outcome (based on structure) The most likely harmonic completion is the BUTTERFLY/Crab into $350–$410. Here’s why: - Fits the macro Solana channel - Fits Elliott Wave 5 target - Fits the center of the yearly momentum projection - Fits market cycle timing (BTC topping 2026 → ALTs explode late) - Matches confluence on trendlines - fear and greed factor - extreme fear ( usually expect a bounce) - SOL historically performs deep harmonic extensions in cycles For your education... MOST COMMON PATTERN RULES 1. Gartley Pattern 🔸 B = 61.8% of XA 🔸 D = 78.6% retracement of XA 🔸 BC = 1.27 or 1.618 extension 2. Bat Pattern 🔸 B = 38.2–50% of XA 🔸 D = 88.6% retracement of XA 🔸 BC = 1.618–2.618 extension 3. Crab Pattern 🔸 B = 38.2–61.8% of XA 🔸 D = 161.8% extension of XA 🔸 BC = 2.618–3.618 extension 4. Butterfly Pattern 🔸 B = 78.6% of XA 🔸 D = 127.2–161.8% extension of XAWe failed to close above $140. This just depends the extension to 1 or 1.2 fib extension. Either way its fine. our target just becomes more explosive to the upside. example: if we fail to reclaim $140. , bottom shifts and wick down capitulation type event below $95 ( ~ $74 ish ). But we should not close weekly below $95. What to watch for: - Reaction at $140: weak bounce + rejection = your count strengthening - Daily close relative to $95 (not wicks) Volume signature: dump into lows on rising volume = trend continuation dump into lows on massive spike + instant reclaim = likely bottoming event