Strateg_

To date, the market has fully fulfilled its targets at the 3500 retest against the background of brent leaving below 64. Further, until the second half of Sunday, the probability of purchases up to the 4500 retest prevails. An important guideline for further dynamics will be the opening level of the new week and the second half of the month. If these periods open at least above 4,100, the probability of a flat and maintaining the market with the possibility of a breakout next month will remain. With weak purchase dynamics, there is a chance of opening the second half of the month below 4,100. In this case, in any case, we will see purchases before the end of the month for a pullback on the monthly candle, but then the market will consolidate around 3500. The available technical signals currently outweigh the bullish scenario. In this case, individual coins will turn the current month into a bullish one with significant interruptions. The main contenders for this month's move are MITO VIC BMT HOOK, which are highly unlikely to be contenders for the monitoring tag and are more suitable for medium-term investments. It is also possible to consider scalping in the short term CHESS FIO COS QUICK DATA, which have reached supports and can show a deeper drawdown only when the ether falls below 3500. A signal has been left for a move to the ADX, however, there is a possibility of a deeper drawdown to 0.075-85 before the reversal.

As I have already written, you should not try to jump on the departed train on pivx, which I recommended for purchase for more than a month, it is better to consider the options where the X's are just being prepared. First of all, they include CHESS HOOK BMT MITO VIC. Consider the position of the HOOK. After listing on binance, the token left several strong technical signals for a retest up to 0-50-75, which is highly likely to lead to a major growth wave. The growth momentum last week was only the first investment in the upcoming trend. An uptrend line has been formed and there is a high probability of an attempt to consolidate above it before the end of this month. The quarter opened in a mixed zone, an opening above 0.09 gives a signal for growth up to 0.15, however, an opening below 0.1 is likely to give pullbacks in the event of a sharp increase. The main long-term support for the current issue is the 0.0750-850 range, from which there was a rebound after a long-term rebidding. A hike below this range is likely only with an additional significant drawdown of ETH. The most likely target is an attempt to close the current monthly candle above 0.21-21 in order to continue the trend in the new month. With negative overall market dynamics, there is a possibility of a pullback from 0.21-25. In this case, in the new month, we can expect a new attempt to return to the trend line from 0.110-125, which will provide an additional opportunity for scalping.

As I mentioned in the last market review, the probability of sales for most coins and disruptions of ETH remains predominant. Against this background, the oversold ATM CITY ACM JUV fantokens are extremely interesting for speculators. The quarter opened above the supports, which gives a strong bullish signal. Quite large purchases are immediately observed against this background. When selling on ETH, there is an opportunity to shadow on CHZ to a retest of 0.041-425, which so far prevents x on fantokens. This can create new favorable prices for scalping. In particular, for ATM, there is a possibility of a pullback to a retest of the 1.25-35 range, which is the main support in this monthly candle. Next, you can have a new stable bullish reversal of the monthly candle from the middle of the month and consolidate the formed trend line. In the absence of a drawdown on ETH and CHZ, continued growth is possible from the middle of the week. CITY JUV and ACM did not give significant impulses to retest the resistances, which is why the probability of growth from current levels is slightly higher for them.

Today I want to pay special attention to CHESS. Against the background of the growth of STO, CELO and KERNEL, there is a possibility of purchases of other DEFI group coins, among which CHESS is the most oversold. The quarter for this token opened above the long-term strong support of 0.05, which is a confident bullish signal in the medium term. This week opened above the intermediate resistance of 0.06, which gives a signal for the start of the trend and an attempt to work out an inverted head and shoulders pattern with an attempt to test the next strong long-term level of 0.1, consolidation above which makes it possible to increase the scale of price movement up to 0.25. For this token, very large volumes of purchases were left on the market for a retest of 0.25. If the market breaks down, there is a possibility of new tests of 0.05, but given the medium-term bullish mood, you can keep a constant position from current levels and scalp in case of lower impulses. The overall picture of the market this week also contributes to the maintenance of the crypt. ETH opened the week below the strong resistance of 4500, which gives rise to the failure of new attempts to storm 4750, but oil opened the week with a strong bullish gap, which supports the currency market and still leaves room for retests of 4750 on ETH, as I wrote in the last review. Taking advantage of this flat in the market, CHESS has every chance of successfully consolidating above 0.1 before a possible fall in ETH.

September ended, a month of seasonal sales and 4 weeks of sluggish market decline, which I predicted in the last review. October and December are the months of seasonal growth in the 4th quarter, but the bears continue to hold the market. The quarter opened neutrally on the ETH. An opening above 4100 provides an opportunity for retests of 4750-5000, however, an opening below 4250 is a slightly stronger signal for a stable consolidation below 4k and an attempt to retest 3500. The current market growth is still only a retest of the 4500-4750 range before the likely continuation of sales. It will be possible to talk about the continuation of medium-term growth only with a repeated breakdown of 4750, in which case active purchases of altcoins will begin. With the current market, the probability of a further flat and a slow fall for most coins prevails. Bitcoin opened the quarter below 115k, which further increases the likelihood of a market drop with sales up to a 90-100 k retest. The oil price also continues to fall, which negatively affects the markets. If there is a rebound in brent to $67.5-$69 in the new week, then the probability of a breakdown of $ 4750 in ether will begin to prevail. If brent falls below 64, there will be a chance of a hike to 3900 on the ETH by the end of next week. Today, the opening level of the new week on the ETH is of great importance. When opening above 4500, the probability of a breakdown of 4750 will increase significantly and we will not see sales below 4250-350. When opening below 4500, a breakdown of 4750 will be possible only against the background of weighty arguments, extremely negative statistics on the United States or oil growth. With the current negative market and the prevailing probability of further altcoin decline, I am still cautiously considering coins for operation. The only oversold group with the probability of growth from its current position is still the fantokens. Among them, I am considering atm city juv acm for work. These tokens do not have binance futures, which reduces the opportunities for large speculators to sell and insures against a pattern similar to alpine and asr. These tokens also have extremely high undeveloped targets on large timeframes up to 5-7 x. ATM opened the quarter above 1.5, which is a very positive signal. After drawing the shadow on a new monthly candle with a retest of 1.35, there is a high probability of a bullish reversal of the current monthly candle with a stable approach to the 2.1-2.5 test at least. In the event of a breakdown of 2.5, further growth towards 5-7.5 will be very active. With a negative market and ether falling to 3500, there is a possibility of a delay and flat ATM with a rebound from 2.1 and growth from the second half of the quarter. According to CITY, there is also a good quarter opening above 1.0, which can lead to stable growth on the 2.1-2.5 test this month with a further trend. For ACM and JUV, there is also a good opening of the quarter above the supports, but the candlestick pattern on large timeframes is more negative, and therefore growth may be more sluggish after the breakouts of ATM and CITY. Among other altcoins, so far I am considering only chess pivx and fio, which can give an increase of up to 50-70% from current levels against the background of the lack of assignment of the monitoring tag in the first week of the new month. However, the opening of the quarter for them is quite negative, which is likely to lead to new price drawdowns, especially in the event of a drop in ether. In work, it is worth keeping a moderate position with the expectation of possible drawdowns to 0.100-115 for pivx, 0.05 for chess and 0.0125-150 for fio. Topping up can be confidently done from these levels, a hike below is possible only if the monitoring tag is assigned in the following months, or there is a strong drop in ether up to 2500. I will consider other coins to work only after the breakdown of 4750 on ether.Today, due to the lack of tag assignment, monitoring gave a pivx reaction with a test of the target range of 0.20-25, however, the opening of the quarter is negative for it, as well as for fio, as I wrote in the last review, which will lead to a significant pullback and a likely retest of loyalties. So far, chess looks more promising with a likely 0.1 retest, at least due to a good opening of the quarter. Adx and koma, which I recommended earlier, also showed good dynamics with the take test. Both left a signal for an attempt to move, but after the current impulse, it may take a considerable amount of time to accumulate. According to adx, the opening of the quarter is also higher than support, which increases the likelihood of new growth waves in the future. Ether approached the intermediate support near the range of 4000-4250. Further, there is a high probability of waves of purchases in an attempt to keep the monthly candle from turning into a bearish one, against the background of the breakdown of 4750 at the beginning of the week, which is a strong signal for the resumption of the bullish trend by the end of the year. In an optimistic scenario, there may be no sales below 4,100 this month. Attempts to grow ether will give rise to breakouts for individual altcoins. With the current market drawdown, fresh projects have shown themselves to be more confident. In this regard, in the medium term, I am taking the most oversold listed coins in the last two years, MITO BMT HOOK VIC. Among the older coins, chess adx with good quarter opening levels and atm acm city juv fantokens are still the most interesting due to strong oversold and speculative interest. Growth waves of up to 40-50% can also result from the current levels of fio cos and data.

To date, sales in the altcoin market continue within the framework of seasonal dynamics, which are likely to last at least until the middle of the month. Binance continues to exert pressure by delaying the announcement of the assignment of the monitoring tag to new coins, under the threat of which investors are wary of further purchases. The first week of the month ends today and once again there is no announcement. The probability has increased that the tag will not be assigned this month. In this regard, I am trying to take into account the most oversold coins relative to the current market position, which can break through against seasonal sales. Pivx looks the most interesting, which has already made a profit several times this year. The July momentum broke through one of the downtrend lines, starting a smooth trend change from strong long-term support at 0.125. This month opened above the level, as did the quarter, which could lead to a powerful growth momentum before the end of the quarter with an attempt to consolidate above 0.21-25 and profit up to 100%+. Due to the likely absence of the assignment of the monitoring tag this month, growth may begin as early as tomorrow. In this case, the trend can be quite stable. If the breakdown occurs on working days and against the background of a general drawdown of the market, then there is a high probability of a rebound from 0.21-25 with a stable trend from the second half of the month. In the new week, it is worth keeping short stops in the morning, as binance may deviate from its own rules and assign a monitoring tag in the second week of the month. Also, fantokens are still safe this month, without entering the delisting and monitoring announcement. However, seasonal sales had a strong impact on them in the summer, and they are likely to smooth out the dynamics now. In this regard, I'm trying to take only the most oversold atm and acm. Due to the lack of a monitoring announcement, waves of growth up to 30-40% above current levels may also result from fio chess cos, however, if seasonal sales accelerate in the new week, there is a possibility of an additional drop in prices to 20-25%. Against the background of the general market decline, highly oversold but also dangerous coins with the bsw fis voxel bifi flm rei monitoring tag with possible growth impulses of up to 50% may be interesting for speculators. However, it should be borne in mind that if there is no growth, they may be delisted in the new month.

Today we have moved on to the seasonal sales period, and I want to review the market situation once again. As I wrote in my last review, in order to continue active trading, I am waiting for another delisting and assignment of the monitoring tag, after which we can identify more reliable and attractive tools for speculators. However, this year binance continues to make the footsteps. After ether's growth was too fast to form a trend, a significant pullback was prevented in July. This prevents further purchases and consolidation above 5k. At the same time, there was no delisting and assignment of the monitoring tag, which preserves the threat of drawdown for altcoins and reduces the activity of buyers. As a result, the seasonal August purchases were repaid. The next seasonal wave of market growth is from the end of September to the beginning of November. In the next three weeks, it is worth preparing for a bear attack and, hopefully, another assignment of the monitoring tag, after which it will be possible to identify altcoins that are safe for operation. Before the closing of the current monthly candle, there is still a possibility of the last bull attack in the second half of the week with a possible 5k takeover, however, only with a clear signal, which may be negative data on US GDP or a sharp rise in brent oil above $ 70 followed by a breakout of the last monthly candle for EUR/USD. But for now, for 3-4 weeks, the probability of a retest of 3500 on ether prevails at least, followed by a resumption of growth from the end of September if the bulls hold 3500. As expected, fan tokens have shown themselves to be the most interesting and confident in such a market picture due to strong oversold conditions, but today I have also finished work with them before the likely seasonal decline.

Today I want to review the market and give a warning on further purchases. Since the last review, as expected, volatility in the market began to grow with a flat of about 2500 on ether until the half-year change. The growth of the euro and oil gave rise to a 4k retest in the new half of the year. However, the half-year has opened below 2,500, which is a technical selling signal that bears will use at the end of each major period. A large volume of sales was also left before the half-year change, which can be retested up to 2100-2250. The first pullback is already possible for the current monthly candle, with its pinbar reversal up to 2750-2900 on ether. This pullback started yesterday and is likely to accelerate in the last weekly candle of the month. Further sales are highly likely to continue in the first half of the new month as part of the shadow drawing for the new monthly candle. In an optimistic scenario, the bulls will be able to take 4,000 by the end of the week, in which case the pullback on the current monthly candle will be compensated. Given the increased likelihood of sales in the market, I recommend fixing profits by the end of the week and reducing the number of coins in operation. The current rollback for some coins will also end with the assignment of the monitoring tag at the beginning of the month and a further collapse, which puts pressure on the coins. Most of the coins that I considered for work provided good opportunities for making money, especially the growth impulses of pivx and data with sharp breakouts stood out. Adx fio chess cos token also showed growth, but at a smoother pace. The most negative dynamics was given by slf, which eventually received the monitoring tag, and I will not consider it in the future. Despite the pleasant impulses of 50%+ for individual fantokens, this group as a whole shows extremely negative dynamics relative to the market, and remains in the most oversold position, even relative to coins with the monitoring tag. In an optimistic scenario, fantokens will become interesting to speculators against the background of the general decline of altcoins that has begun, and we can expect a good bull run on them before the end of the month. In a negative scenario, binance may be preparing to assign the monitoring tag to some tokens of this group or chz. In this regard, I leave such tokens as atm acm city porto Lazio as the most undervalued in a small lot. But at the beginning of the month, I also recommend keeping short stops on them in the first half of the day of the first week of the new month to insure against assigning the monitoring tag. Or temporarily sell them for a given period. In addition to fan tokens, I will choose new coins for operation after assigning the monitoring tag in the new month.

The market remains extremely sluggish in the seasonal flat, but there is a possibility of increased volatility this week and next. In this regard, I would like to consider the market situation and the likely prospects. First of all, in the medium term, the probability of a flat of about 100k for bitcoin and 2500 for ether prevails until the opening of the new half-year. There are no sufficient arguments for a significant break and trend towards 210k for bitcoin and 5k for ether. In addition, strong statistics for the United States began to be released, which increases the likelihood of a retest of 1900-2100 on ether and 85-90k on bitcoin. That is, until August, I am still more likely to expect a flat of 95-110k and 2250-2750 under an optimistic scenario. With a more negative picture, there remains the possibility of a major drawdown of the market until the retest of the loyalties of the first quarter on the tops. A significant spike and bullish trend may be facilitated by the cancellation of Trump's duties voluntarily or in court, a truce in Ukraine, or the consolidation of brent above $ 69-70 while maintaining growth. In the event of a resumption of duties or a collapse of oil below $ 60, the probability of a fall in the crypt will become extremely high. Against the background of the closing of the last bullish monthly candle and above 2500 on ether, we have technical signals for continued purchases. This week, there is a possibility of a major wave of purchases in the first half of the month with an attempt to move. However, strong US statistics are likely to continue to dampen growth attempts. Starting next week, it is worthwhile to carefully consider the volume of positions in the work due to the high probability of a market drawdown in the second half of the month. At the end of the week, I will assess the probability of maintaining purchases in the second half of the month, depending on the statistics released this week and the dynamics of oil. To date, I am still considering the most oversold coins for scalping that have not been assigned the chess fio adx monitoring tag with possible growth waves of up to 70-100% from current levels. Fan tokens with a growth potential of up to 100-200% remain in a highly undervalued position, among which I work with atm acm city porto Lazio alpine juv. For storing funds in the medium term, quick looks interesting with the main long-term support at 0.020-21. The cos slf data pivx token can also show growth waves of up to 30-40%. As I wrote earlier, large-cap coins, against the background of a seasonal flat and likely sales, may continue to fall slowly until August, in the absence of major growth in the tops or the index of dominance of altcoins.

And so a difficult week is behind us, with overcoming the middle of the quarter. Against the background of positive factors, the week and the second half of the quarter opened above 2500, which provides market support and reduces the potential for decline. However, we have only come to a temporary consolidation of the market and it is too early to talk about a trend change to bullish. The final consolidation of the direction will take place in June. So far, the market has switched to seasonal sales from the 11th, as I warned about, and the bulls' task is to compensate for them. Technically, there is still a lot of potential for retest 2100-2150, which may happen in the coming week. In an optimistic scenario, the new week will open above 2500. In this case, on Monday and Tuesday we will see insignificant sales again and the ether will not go below 2250 with a return to the hay in the second half of the week. In a more negative scenario, the week will open below 2500, in which case sales up to 2100-2150 are likely in the first half of the week, but with further purchases to 2500 due to the opening of the second half of the quarter above the level. Today and tomorrow, there is a possibility of a wave of purchases, but I do not recommend keeping large-cap coins in operation, since seasonal sales in a negative scenario may last from mid-May to August, which will lead to their steady decline. Small-cap coins may show more significant growth impulses during this period. We are also approaching the next assignment of the monitoring tag and delisting, which will have an additional impact on altcoins. So far, fantokens are in a good position, which successfully compensate for the drawdown of the altcoin index and are trying to grow, as they remain undervalued. I think they will remain interesting for speculators in the near future due to the drawdown of the rest of the altcoin market. ATM and city look the most interesting so far, which can continue to grow from their current positions, due to the lack of futures with active sales and the most oversold position. Under an optimistic scenario today and tomorrow, growth waves similar to acm are likely for them. Acm also has a high growth potential, but it may take time to accumulate with a retest probability of 0.75-90 before a new wave of purchases. Second of all, I am considering the alpine juv porto lazio. There is a possibility that binance will continue to add futures to fantokens every week, which will give new growth impulses. In addition to fantokens, fio chess pivx adx quick, which remain in an undervalued position, can show a new wave of growth. I will be looking at them closer to the middle of the week.