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The core basis for presenting a bearish perspective in this idea consists of two main points. First, within the Double Zigzag pattern, each zigzag forms a 1:1 length ratio. WAVE.Y1=WAVE.Z1 For easier identification, I have illustrated this section in the chart below. The second is ZIF. ZIF (Zone of Interpretive Freedom) is a concept I devised myself, and it refers to the price range between the 1.0 ratio and the 1.414 ratio when Fibonacci retracement is drawn. This range serves as a critical zone for determining the validity of the idea, and as long as the range is not breached, the strategy is considered to remain valid. Also, the closing basis of ZIF is the daily candle’s closing price. Simply moving outside of ZIF does not immediately invalidate the perspective. Although the high of September 18 has been broken upward as of the current point in time, I regard this upward breakout as a false breakout (whipsaw). The reason is that leading altcoins are moving sideways, failing to follow Bitcoin’s movement, and are showing declining momentum. Accordingly, the average target price is set around 112.970 USDT. Additional briefings will be continuously updated to this idea as the chart develops.

The key basis for presenting a bearish perspective in this idea is that the Crab pattern, one of the harmonic patterns, has been fully confirmed. For clearer verification, I have directly plotted the relevant section on the chart for your reference. For reference, the Crab pattern is an extended harmonic pattern with high volatility, typically forming point D at the 1.618 level relative to the XA wave, and is characterized by a strong reversal movement thereafter. Due to these characteristics, it is evaluated as a highly reliable pattern within the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). Accordingly, the average target price is set around 4,135.40 USDT. Additional briefings will continue to be updated in this idea as the chart develops.

The basis for presenting a bearish perspective in this idea is that an arbitrary wave m has formed a 1:1 length ratio with another wave n. In addition, the Crab pattern at the 1.618 level has also been fully confirmed, further supporting the possibility of additional downside. Accordingly, the average target price is set around 212.94 USDT. Additional briefings will continue to be updated in this idea as the chart develops.

The basis for presenting a bearish perspective in this idea is grounded in Elliott Wave Theory. In Elliott Wave analysis, the following representative length ratios are applied: WAVE5 = WAVE1~3 * 0.382 WAVE.C = WAVEA * 0.618 To help you confirm these ratios more intuitively, I have plotted all the relevant sections on the chart. Accordingly, the average target price is set around 2.855 USDT. Additional briefings will continue to be updated in this idea as the chart develops.

Hello everyone, As of September 30, I would like to share my perspective on an Ethereum short position. At present, I believe that Bitcoin, among others, still has one more downward wave remaining. Therefore, I am closely monitoring Bitcoin’s movement to capture the timing of its bearish reversal. Given that Bitcoin is likely to enter a declining phase, I am presenting a bearish scenario for Ethereum as well. The basis of this idea is relatively clear: the entire structure is formed according to the classical ratio relationships of Elliott Wave Theory. All detailed ratios and projections have been drawn on the chart for your reference. -Ratio Relationships 1. WAVE.C = WAVE.A * 1.618 2. WAVE.C = WAVE.A * 0.786 3. WAVE.C = WAVE.A * 1.272 The average target price for this decline is set around 4030 USDT. As always, I will continue to share updates on position management based on this idea as the chart develops. Thank you for reading.

Hello everyone, Today, as of September 30, I would like to share my perspective on a Bitcoin short position. Once again, I am leaning toward the possibility of a decline, and the basis for this view consists of two main points. First, from the perspective of Elliott Wave Theory, the ongoing 5th wave shows a 0.786 length ratio relative to the 1st wave. Traditionally, the 5th wave often has a specific proportional relationship with the 1st or 3rd wave, with the most ideal ratios being known as 0.618, 1.0, or 1.618. However, in actual markets, more unconventional ratios frequently appear, and one of these is precisely the 0.786 ratio structure of the 5th wave. While this ratio is not the textbook standard, it reflects market participants’ psychology and is repeatedly observed, which makes it a sufficiently valid analytical basis. In particular, at the current stage, the strength of the 5th wave’s advance is gradually weakening, and the typical characteristics of the end of a wave, such as the fading of buying momentum, are also being observed. Second, a 1.13 ALT BAT pattern, one of the harmonic patterns, has formed. While the standard BAT pattern is based on the 0.886 level, the modified ALT BAT pattern sets the 1.13 point as the critical turning area, forming a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). In the current chart, a price reversal is indeed observed at the 1.13 point, which can be regarded as a strong signal where pattern theory and real market movement align. This situation is not a mere coincidence but indicates that selling pressure has intensified in an area where supply zones and psychological resistance are concentrated. Based on these two factors, I set the average target for this decline around 111,633. Of course, since the market is fluid, I will continue to verify the validity of this idea as the chart develops and update it as necessary. Thank you for reading.

Hello everyone, As of September 30, I would like to share my perspective on an Ethereum short position. At present, I believe that Bitcoin, among others, still has one more downward wave remaining. Therefore, I am closely monitoring Bitcoin’s movement to capture the timing of its bearish reversal. Given that Bitcoin is likely to enter a declining phase, I am presenting a bearish scenario for Ethereum as well. The basis of this idea is relatively clear: the entire structure is formed according to the classical ratio relationships of Elliott Wave Theory. All detailed ratios and projections have been drawn on the chart for your reference. -Ratio Relationships 1. WAVE.C = WAVE.A * 1.618 2. WAVE.C = WAVE.A * 0.786 3. WAVE.C = WAVE.A * 1.272 The average target price for this decline is set around 4030 USDT. As always, I will continue to share updates on position management based on this idea as the chart develops. Thank you for reading.

Today, as of September 30, I am writing to share my bearish perspective on Bitcoin with a short position. In this idea as well, I am leaning toward a decline. There are two main reasons for this. First, the 1.13 ALT BAT pattern. This harmonic pattern has already been confirmed, but since the detailed Fibonacci ranges do not fully match, we cannot rule out the possibility of one more upward wave. Therefore, I am first entering a short position with only a small portion, and then plan to flexibly increase the position depending on the price action. In other words, if the decline unfolds immediately, my analysis will be accurate; on the other hand, I also judge that there is a sufficient possibility of one more short-term wave forming before a reversal to the downside. Second, the downward breakout of the trendline. Rather than analyzing the harmonic pattern independently, I prefer to combine it with trendline analysis. This is due to the flexible nature of harmonic theory, and through trendlines I can measure both the reference points for position sizing and the strength of momentum. For these reasons, I entered the first short position, with an average target price set at 110,500 USDT. Recently, not only the stock market but also the cryptocurrency market as a whole has been in poor condition. I hope that those who are experiencing losses will soon encounter better conditions, and I also hope that sharing my perspective can provide even a small help. I will continue to update my ideas in line with the chart developments and transparently share my thoughts. Thank you for reading.

Let me first take a look at the situation of Bitcoin. Currently, the situation of Bitcoin is not very good. These days, it has been continuing to decline, based on 124,400. Unfortunately, I expect there will be a little more decline this time as well. The first is the double top. If you check around 111,760, you can see that a double top has formed. Accordingly, we can expect a downward trend, and since the bottom trigger in between has also broken downward, I believe this has been clearly confirmed. The second is that the arbitrary wave M wave is forming a length ratio of 1.618 of the N wave. This part could be carefully counted by attaching names according to Elliott Wave theory, but as those who have been reading my articles for a long time would know, I consciously do not count waves in detail. I judge that focusing only on the length ratio is better. The third is the downward break of the trendline. The trendline refers to the trendline that can be found when connecting 108,400 and 110,240. Since this trendline has been broken downward, I think Bitcoin could see a short-term decline. Lastly, although it is not certain so it is a bit ambiguous to say, the movement that has been forming since August 29 at 21:30 could be seen as a Shark pattern. This part is somewhat ambiguous to define as a harmonic because the range is formed ambiguously, but I thought it would be better to write it down, so I am informing you. By comprehensively judging the above matters, I estimated the final TP to be around 107,778. All the grounds in this article have been carefully drawn on the chart, so I think there will be no significant difficulty in reading. I will continue to track this idea, and as the movement develops, I will deliver additional information to you through updates of this idea. Thank you for reading.

I would like to share my perspective on the Bitcoin short position as of August 23. The basis for this idea is twofold. First, the upward movement in the 118,684 ~ 117,435 range appears to be an impulse. The reason is that wave 5 forms a 1.272-length ratio of wave 1. Second, if you look at the red trendline, you can see that the downside breakout has begun. Therefore, I believe that adopting a bearish perspective is more reasonable. The target average price for this position is 114,340. I hope you achieve good results. I will continue to track price movements and update this idea to monitor future trends as well. Thank you.