
Senku010
@t_Senku010
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Senku010

navigating around pivotal areas defined by Breaker Blocks (BB) and Fair Value Gaps (FVG) on both the 1-hour and 2-hour charts. These zones represent high-probability areas for market reactions, whether as support for continuation or as points for potential short-term retracement before a larger rally.strongly favors a bullish continuation for BTC. monitor interactions with the identified BB/FVG zones for optimal entry points, anticipating a potential dip to sweep short-term BSL or mitigate imbalances before the next significant leg up.

Senku010

currently in a phase dominated by recent bearish momentum, having traded below a significant "Liquidity Grab" zone.Bias Assessment (1-100%)•Bearish Bias: 70%•Justification: The most compelling immediate evidence for a bearish bias is the recent negative price change (-3.22% to -3.27%). Furthermore, the current price is trading below the explicitly marked "Liquidity Grab" zone (0.4113 - 0.3994 - 0.3911). This suggests that the liquidity above has been swept, potentially for distribution, and price is now seeking lower levels.•Bullish Bias: 30%•Justification: The bullish potential primarily stems from the presence of the Bullish Order Block (+OB) and Sellside Liquidity identified below the current price.Fundamental Analysis (FA) - Token Unlock Impact1. Supply Shock: - New Tokens Unlocked : 1.1B ARB (≈$1.2B at current prices). - Historical Precedent: Past unlocks saw 15-25% drops (e.g., APE, OP). - Selling Pressure: Early investors + team tokens → forced selling. 2. Demand-Supply Imbalance: - Current volume ($200M/day) can’t absorb $1B+ sell pressure → panic dump likely. 3. Sentiment Destruction : - Retail trapped in "buy the dip" → capitulation below $0.80 possible. Unlock Day (June 16) - Avoid New Positions : Extreme volatility → spreads widen 300-500%. - Spot Scalps Only: Buy dips ONLY if: - 15-min RSI <20 AND - Volume spike >$500M in 5 mins. - Target : 3-5% bounce → exit fast. Post-Unlock (June 17+) - Long-Term Accumulation : - Buy below $0.70 if: - Daily RSI <30 - Volume dry-up (selling exhaustion). - Target 2026 recovery: $1.20–1.50. Critical Truths 1. DO NOT HOLD LONG INTO UNLOCK – Historical data shows 90% chance of double-digit drop. 2. Retail Will Be Slaughtered – Institutions front-run unlocks (they’re already short). 3. Post-Unlock Bounce ≠ Reversal – Dead cat bounce lasts 1-2 days max. Rating Justification: - Bearish 80%: Unlock supply shock + bearish structure = irreversible near-term downside. - Bullish 20%: Only from oversold bounces – not investable trends.

Senku010

tug-of-war between key liquidity zones• Liquidity Magnets:• Upside: Identified Draw on Liquidity (DOL) at higher levels (e.g., 111,968.0 (4H), 111,340.3 (30m)) and an "Ongoing" BSL 4H at 110,0996.3 present resistance and potential targets for bullish moves.• Downside: Prominent DOLs (e.g., 105,252.6 (2H), 103,463.9 (30m)) and a critical SSL zone between 100,500.0 - 100,000.0 (4H, 2H, 1H) act as significant downside targets.Bias Assessment: • Bearish Bias: 65%• The immediate price action suggests a likely "Draw on Liquidity" towards the substantial Sellside Liquidity (SSL) zone around $100,000, consistent with recent minor bearish momentum.• Bullish Bias: 35%• The bullish case hinges on a potential strong reversal from the confluence of the $100,000 SSL and the powerful Bullish Order Block, which could then target the overhead Buyside Liquidity.

Senku010

exhibiting movements that could set the stage for a bullish reversal

Senku010

definitive shift to bearish order flowfurther downward expansion and the targeting of deeper Sellside Liquidity.

Senku010

consistently points to a dominant and well-established bullish market structure.strong bullish bias. While short-term reactions might occur after significant liquidity sweeps, the underlying institutional order flow supports further upward momentum

Senku010

consistently strong bullish market structure,high-probability bullish bias. Expect continued upward movement, with any retracements into unmitigated bullish institutional zones potentially offering favorable long entry opportunities.

Senku010

Senku010

maintains a strong bullish bias on higher timeframesdaily and 4-hour timeframes reveal a strong overarching bullish trend

Senku010

Liquidity Void (110,673 - 109,973)retracement phase
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