Senku010

* Structural Break (MSS 4H at 5.107): The most significant piece of evidence is the Market Structure Shift (MSS) on the 4-Hour chart. This break confirms that the long-term trend has officially reversed to bearish. * Path Cleared (Liquidity Voids Filled): The Liquidity Voids (price gaps/inefficiencies) across the 4H, 2H, and lower timeframes (down to 15m) have all been filled by the price action. This removal of major imbalances means there are no structural obstacles left to impede the current move to the downside. * The Next Target (Price Magnet): The market's structural goal is the Bullish Unicorn Model zone (the Order Block/FVG between 4.780 and 4.646). This un-mitigated zone acts as a powerful Price Magnet, drawing the price lower to eventually execute buy orders there.

4-hour timeframe, the market recently "grabbed" the Sellside Liquidity (SSL) at 4.162, a move that often precedes a major reversal. This event, coupled with the clear presence of Buyside Liquidity (BSL) pools above, has confirmed my uptrend conviction. trade, my entry is precisely set at 4.280, a level that corresponds with a 2-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), which represents a price inefficiency that the market is likely to re-enter. My primary take-profit target is the 1-hour Buyside Liquidity at 4.815, with a secondary target at the 4-hour Buyside Liquidity zone at 5.576. To manage my risk, my stop-loss is placed at 4.125, safely below the 4-hour Breaker Block. This plan offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio and aligns

navigating around pivotal areas defined by Breaker Blocks (BB) and Fair Value Gaps (FVG) on both the 1-hour and 2-hour charts. These zones represent high-probability areas for market reactions, whether as support for continuation or as points for potential short-term retracement before a larger rally.strongly favors a bullish continuation for BTC. monitor interactions with the identified BB/FVG zones for optimal entry points, anticipating a potential dip to sweep short-term BSL or mitigate imbalances before the next significant leg up.

currently in a phase dominated by recent bearish momentum, having traded below a significant "Liquidity Grab" zone.Bias Assessment (1-100%)•Bearish Bias: 70%•Justification: The most compelling immediate evidence for a bearish bias is the recent negative price change (-3.22% to -3.27%). Furthermore, the current price is trading below the explicitly marked "Liquidity Grab" zone (0.4113 - 0.3994 - 0.3911). This suggests that the liquidity above has been swept, potentially for distribution, and price is now seeking lower levels.•Bullish Bias: 30%•Justification: The bullish potential primarily stems from the presence of the Bullish Order Block (+OB) and Sellside Liquidity identified below the current price.Fundamental Analysis (FA) - Token Unlock Impact1. Supply Shock: - New Tokens Unlocked : 1.1B ARB (≈$1.2B at current prices). - Historical Precedent: Past unlocks saw 15-25% drops (e.g., APE, OP). - Selling Pressure: Early investors + team tokens → forced selling. 2. Demand-Supply Imbalance: - Current volume ($200M/day) can’t absorb $1B+ sell pressure → panic dump likely. 3. Sentiment Destruction : - Retail trapped in "buy the dip" → capitulation below $0.80 possible. Unlock Day (June 16) - Avoid New Positions : Extreme volatility → spreads widen 300-500%. - Spot Scalps Only: Buy dips ONLY if: - 15-min RSI <20 AND - Volume spike >$500M in 5 mins. - Target : 3-5% bounce → exit fast. Post-Unlock (June 17+) - Long-Term Accumulation : - Buy below $0.70 if: - Daily RSI <30 - Volume dry-up (selling exhaustion). - Target 2026 recovery: $1.20–1.50. Critical Truths 1. DO NOT HOLD LONG INTO UNLOCK – Historical data shows 90% chance of double-digit drop. 2. Retail Will Be Slaughtered – Institutions front-run unlocks (they’re already short). 3. Post-Unlock Bounce ≠ Reversal – Dead cat bounce lasts 1-2 days max. Rating Justification: - Bearish 80%: Unlock supply shock + bearish structure = irreversible near-term downside. - Bullish 20%: Only from oversold bounces – not investable trends.

tug-of-war between key liquidity zones• Liquidity Magnets:• Upside: Identified Draw on Liquidity (DOL) at higher levels (e.g., 111,968.0 (4H), 111,340.3 (30m)) and an "Ongoing" BSL 4H at 110,0996.3 present resistance and potential targets for bullish moves.• Downside: Prominent DOLs (e.g., 105,252.6 (2H), 103,463.9 (30m)) and a critical SSL zone between 100,500.0 - 100,000.0 (4H, 2H, 1H) act as significant downside targets.Bias Assessment: • Bearish Bias: 65%• The immediate price action suggests a likely "Draw on Liquidity" towards the substantial Sellside Liquidity (SSL) zone around $100,000, consistent with recent minor bearish momentum.• Bullish Bias: 35%• The bullish case hinges on a potential strong reversal from the confluence of the $100,000 SSL and the powerful Bullish Order Block, which could then target the overhead Buyside Liquidity.

exhibiting movements that could set the stage for a bullish reversal

definitive shift to bearish order flowfurther downward expansion and the targeting of deeper Sellside Liquidity.

consistently points to a dominant and well-established bullish market structure.strong bullish bias. While short-term reactions might occur after significant liquidity sweeps, the underlying institutional order flow supports further upward momentum

consistently strong bullish market structure,high-probability bullish bias. Expect continued upward movement, with any retracements into unmitigated bullish institutional zones potentially offering favorable long entry opportunities.

Overall Bias 1D, 4H BTC exhibits a strong underlying bullishdecisively swept major multi-timeframe Sell-Side Liquidity