SaadFiaz

will reupdate all the previous charts as most have broken their key structuresstill bullish... cycle top isn't in

been looking at this for a while... a strong and must to be added on spot portfoliostructures across most of alts are invalidated... BTC and ETH are taking their key levels and we are in the final stage of capitulationwill reupdate all the charts (I'm holding) after the dust settlesBull Run isn't over... wait for consolidation and we can have our alts rally in a few weeks

one of the few coins which are about to go in sub-wave 3 of macro-wave 3haven't bought this one yet but might rotate a few weak positions to this if the structure holdsno idea what's going to happen to AI tokens (haven't looked into things yet, no time on hand) - sharing this purely based on TA

last idea remains intact—we are still bullish. Alts have held strong while BTC plunged. (I don’t own any BTC, and neither should you above 100K.) I predicted the exact 15.5K bottom on X, as well as the August 5th crash and bottom. Unfortunately, I wasn’t on the charts in December and missed the biggest, clearest signal on USDT.D for a potential local top, which otherwise would have 2x'd my current portfolio but mistakes were made)BTC taking the hits while alts hold steady is a strong sign that whales are taking profits from Bitcoin and preparing for "rotation".Most traders believe the cycle is over—and there are valid reasons for that (some of them are):- A monthly bearish engulfing candle- A structure resembling the 2021 top, suggesting one last rally before the bear market- Worst of all, double bearish divergence on the monthly, which worries me tooHowever, there are strong counterarguments. The biggest? The cycle has never topped with BTC.D this weak. That’s why I’m still leaning toward a bullish scenario until proven otherwise.Update on the above chart:The parabola is intact with a beautiful reaction. That doesn’t mean we can’t still visit the red box—there’s only air between them—but I’m holding, and that remains my primary scenario.Alts can make new lows, but RR isn’t worth it. As I’ve said before, the time to sell spot bags has passed. You don’t sell in between unless invalidation occurs.Timing is everything. We failed to time this market, assuming it would mimic past cycles—but everyone was wrong. Traders won this cycle, while investors (except BTC holders) struggled... until now, at least.ONLY DIFFERENCE BETWEEN BOTH SCENARIOS (MENTIONED ON CHART) FOR ALTS?You have to wait way longer on the second scenario but both would take us to our goal.Worst case? We break and HTF close on USDT.D - last hope, officially ending bull market!whatever BTC does isn't my concern here since for the first time since last bottom, we've finally seeing strength in most alts over BTC The rotation will happen soon and you'll get your 'alt season' but only on strong utility tokens. Memes had their bull market already! It's time for ETH and utilities to shine... BTC consolidating at any range (second scenario would do the game too - such a bad monthly close don't recover easily so we might go for the second scenario) but whatever happens on BTC, the real reason behind posting this is: ROTATE TO ALTS (if you're still sidelined) and have patience...

Everything on the charts...Up to you now... Yes... I believe it's just ReaccumulationLook at the previous posts for more explanation and all perspectivesI'm holding and I'm bullish...We will witness an alt season this year (those saying we won't will be proven wrong...)BTC.D will fall and strong alts will rise (with massive returns)Until Next Time...ABOVE CHART IS STILL VALID Macro Update:My take on the latest drama: Trump saved the weekly structure and you must thank him for that. I already knew it would retrace. Just like 5th Aug did. Not sure why everyone's saying a dump would've been better instead of a pump and dump (maybe they were using leverage ?) What I didn't expect was alts taking heavier hit than Bitcoin, that's actually bad for me. But as far as our HTF (spot) goes, we have another week of prayers to go. Now all eyes on this week's close. Daily close yesterday said only one thing, that pump was a manipulation but I'd wait for this week's close. But in current case, I definitely know we will dump even further as China hasn't yet announced its retaliatory tariffs. See, other nations are fine but when China and Russia does something against US, it's bad! but nevertheless, these tariffs are just manipulating market for retailers so whales can get their key levels. For now, we're having a perfect bearish structure (bears must needed that retest at 91-94k) but I'm still aligned towards my thesis until at least this week's close 70ks is an extremely strong area where everyone and their pets will long because it's close to MSTR average buy but yeah, we're still good. I'm confident bull market won't end until USDT.D hits 3%'ish OR close above the 5%'ish box I drew, earlier. Until then, ignore the noise for spot bags. Yes, further hit would be brutal for our bags but it's extremely stupid trying to catch a 10-20% buyback with no confirmations As I repeatedly said, the time to sell was in December, only! We had our signs and I missed the chart. And yeah, if that parabola breaks (and not reclaimed quickly), second scenario would start but that will still mean an 'alt season'. only difference will be time. third scenario (which I'm not even 5% confident upon, is we are doomed)

rode this one back to the entry (even after the trendline from 5th Aug was broken)in-detailed explanation in the USDT.D chart (give it a read if you want to find out how to spot strong reversal areas)I've explained in detail what I'm expecting in this year. Please refer to the previous posts for in-depth analysis and thoughts. Too tired to write anything now :)TLDR for the lazy ones: Late Feb-April, I'm expecting a massive rally. 100% loaded here personally!

After the brutal 3rd Feb drop (explanation in USDT.D chart - link at the end of post), the downward wedge failed but EW count is still valid)After the brutal 3rd Feb drop (explanation in USDT.D chart - link at the end of post), the downward wedge failed but EW count is still validI've explained in detail what I'm expecting in this year. Please refer to the previous posts for in-depth analysis and thoughts. Too tired to write anything now :)TLDR for the lazy ones: Late Feb-April, I'm expecting a massive rally. 100% loaded here personally!sorry for the typo in the beginning, can't edit the post now :)

After the brutal 3rd Feb drop (explanation in USDT.D chart - link at the end of post), the downward wedge failed but EW count is still validI've explained in detail what I'm expecting in this year. Please refer to the previous posts for in-depth analysis and thoughts. Too tired to write anything now :)TLDR for the lazy ones: Late Feb-April, I'm expecting a massive rally. 100% loaded here personally!

still sidelined? don't know what to do?Take a look at ZK, ZRO, and Wposition yourself accordingly, NFASweep the lows and GREAT recovery, good hold (might rotate some of my weak token to this soon) DO NOT GIVE UP LADS !!!! Finally, some real capitulation on alts. I was honestly expecting this (though I was hoping it wouldn’t happen) Now that we've liquidated or shaken out all the weak hands, we can finally begin. Those same weak hands will later FOMO—only to become our exit liquidity. The reason I’m okay with this (even though my portfolio took a major hit) = roundtripped 150% of my port (still 2x from initials) is that I absolutely love a sharp nuke over a slow grind that drains mental peace. Plus, real capitulations are either extremely bullish or extremely bearish (in this case, bullish, imo) At the very least, we’ve freed ourselves from the slow grinding curse. remember what happened after the COVID crash ???? You can DM me if you need some hopium - walkwithhunain - but I ORDER YOU NOT TO GIVE UP SOLDIERS!!!! (will let you know on BTC.D post if I do any rotations from weak to strong tokens but Saad give all those updates regularly, you know where to find him)

I haven’t updated this in a while since the focus has been mostly on alts, but here it is.Wave 5 can extend, and we’ll reassess once we reach the green zone.