MonetaryRebel

(On the Daily Chart) 2-3 days ago, Bitcoin officially broke down and out below the upward channel it has been in for over 1050 days. It broke down from the channel, retested the bottom of it, and now is continuing downward to make a lower low today. THAT IS BAD. Muy malo. Sehr schlecht. Molto male. The RSI is also confirming a break to the downside. This time frames match with prior cycles. Potential correlation to halving cycles is noted. Note: The 2 year expansion and contraction cycles are exponential in growth while if you look at them is totality, the upward trend shows a logarithmic curvature when you connect the highs from the last 12 years. IF, This is a normal bear cycle pullback like the last few, we'll see 30k. (Yellow Path) We can't really know for sure, so it's silly to anticipate for this, but as an alternate case, IF, This is the end of the larger cycle, meaning the end of Act 1, where crypto doesn't bottom until it is announced dead in the newspapers, then just set a reminder in 5 years to check back unless you want to swing trade the thing with massive volatility. (Red Path)

Current Count. Could be right, could be wrong. Do with it what you will.Made a higher high, but I still believe it is very near the top and will collapse tremendously once the top is in.

Again, Stellar is an OG of crypto. Their team is so unbelievably professional. The Stellar Development Foundation is so well managed. They are always posting updates, news, and plans for the future; and they are not going to stop anytime soon. They are not a crypto. They are a new global financial system. They are not a bank, they are a banking system. They have transaction reversal capabilities, will be able to integrate into the existing banking system and be fully regulated like no other crypto, and are working with governments to shape policy. Stellar is as legit as they come. They are a dark horse that no one cares about because they haven't exploded 500x in price, but they are the Apple of crypto, and I will retire early because of Stellar. Don't invest in cryptos. Invest in blockchains. Invest, in the future. #XLMForgot to mention that they are adding smart contracts now also. Operate in 180 countries already. Partnered with Moneygram. Have the lowest fees in the business. I always convert my cryptos into XLM before transferring because it costs pennies. This, is the slow and steady mover that will win the race.

EOS isn't Bitcoin, but it's one of the OG cryptos. I put that green box there almost 2 years ago and we bounced right on it. Now, based on ETH and BTC price action, we are looking at downside before the big, big, big wave up. But by big wave up, I'm talking 100x up. Don't ask me what would cause this. The answer is probably something really, really bad like a financial meltdown or huge global hack that shuts down bank accounts (which the WEF has been talking about for years...it literally is the next Covid according to them, so....) What can't be hacked???? Crypto. You have to hack the internet to hack crypto, or all computers tied to a ledger. So yeah, it could happen and be exactly what they need to roll out a CBDC. Don't forget about that. They won't make you take it, they will make you want to take it. They will do something so terrible that you will demand a CBDC, I assure you. But if they ask you to put a chip in your body to do it...god help you. (666)

Long-term. Going higher. Short-term. Pullback imminently continues. ETH has gone +150% in 18 months, so a -20% pullback is completely warranted. I'd estimate April-June to be the buying time. Lots of people will get their tax refunds and that is usually a good liquidity boost for all markets.

Crypto is going DOWN into the end of 2023. 2024 to 2027 could see a giant bull run after this move. This next leg down will be the one that causes people to proclaim that crypto is dying and be quite hopeless as the price really breaks down, which is exactly the psychological point you should be buying during if you're a long-term investor. But patience is key. Wait for the strong down move to 9-10k, then we should weakly, slowly step down into the 6k level and retest the huge support there from the last corrective cycle. I trade short & long-term, and while crypto is a great investment over the next 10 years, now is NOT the time to be buying. If anything you should take any profits you have and save cash and wait and see what goes down. I expect many more bankruptcies and crypto exchanges liquidating and closing down. This is a necessary cycle to weed out the bad players and is a healthy sign of a new market. Embrace it and realize you're going to get a great buy-in soon. Bitcoin is indicating a final major breakdown before the new bull cycle starts. We have just completed a bearish running flat and this is going to be the NASTY final wave. It could get really scary but keep your wits about you because it will open up the opportunity for a massively discounted buy-in if you save your cash, buy when people are panicking, and hold for a few years. I'll buy backing up the truck and loading the hell up around 5k-7k. At this point, people will be either too broke to buy or too scared.November-December 2023 appears to be the possible buy-in point.~150 Shiba Inu fakes are still being traded and sold to people. The new growth cycle will not begin until these are all but dead. Only strong blockchains, with serious projects and teams will survive the coming regulatory environment. We want crypto to become a major asset class and that will not happen until we get these things. (Shiba Predator, King Shiba, Shib Army, Forever Shiba, Shibcat, ShibElon, ShibaDoge, Shiba Inu Pay, KiboShib, ShibaPoconk, Bone ShibaSwap, Shibarium Pad, Half Shiba Inu, Euro Shiba Inu, Baby Shiba Inu, ShibCEO, Shibarium DAO, Shiba Lite, Shibonk, Shibazilla, Shibtoro, SpookyShiba, NitroShiba, Shibcraft, BitShiba, Saudi Shiba Inu, Shibaverse, ShibKiller, ShibFalson, ShibaCorgi, Shiba Floki Inu, Gaming Shiba, Shibosu, ETH Shiba, Canto Shib, ShibKing Inu, American Shiba, Kaiken Shiba, Shiba Girlfriend, Shiba Classic, Robot Shib, Christmas Shiba, Shibalana, Shiba World Cup, Shiba Interstellar, The Moon Shiba, KittyShiba, ShibaNFT, Shibnaut, BuffedShiba, wShiba, Shibana, Shiba Inu Empire, ShibaCash, ShibaPup, Gambler Shiba, Alien Shiba Inu, Black Shiba Inu, Shiba Light, Studio Shibli, Shiba Samurai.....etc....etc....many more as well. Regulators will impose rules that will kill nearly all of these are reporting standards for customers become required and the creators of these simply leave and these coins all crash to near zero. After that happens, we can talk about the new growth cycle and I will buy my list of favorite cryptos and blockchains.Everything is going according to plan.

Look at this. I actually wasn't aware of this correlation but it's right there. Usually BTC rose before the yields would take back off in the past but it hasn't this time and yields have broken out MASSIVELY... Perhaps BTC was only trailing the 10Y up with the past knowledge that the Federal Reserve would just lower it again, but Bitcoin is NOT giving that signal this time... I would be seriously weary if I were a big crypto holder. The correlation has broken. BTC in fact IS signaling that the Fed will NOT lower rates back down this time as they have in the past. Listen to the BTC. The BTC knows. Also, the 10 Year Treasury is the underpinning of our financial system, so...maybe we should all start paying more attention to this. (Not financial or investment advice. Just what makes sense to me.)BTC being weak AF right now.

The past 60 days of upward movement is a corrective movement. This means the larger trend is still down. The upward price channel appears to have just broken. All the price action of the last 2 months has been chaotic and messy, and those are the hallmark traits of a correction. These behaviors are driven by people all switching seats and changing their minds and then when you exit the correction, the market bias can change. SO FAR, the bias has still held up positively. This is the lens through which we see the market. I am a bear, make no mistake so I must acknowledge that I am looking at this thing from a -90 degree angle, while some of you might be looking at this from a +90 or +45 degree. You get my meaning. That being said I find that if you can find what angle you view things from, you can adjust your lenses to help you see down the 0 line, representing objective truth. This is truth separated from the bias, subjective individual experience. We try to get as close as we can to this as it helps you make accurate predictions. It may not seem like this to many, but the overwhelming opinion has been that crypto will survive and thrive and find a way. Which is true, but a sign of complacency as well. The legislative news is just red tape and regulations. These slow down innovation and production. The point of these things is to slow crypto down so the government can figure out how to control it or ban it. Also, if you think the stock market is fine, buckle up. Rates going up and the Fed not buying bonds already sent Treasury Yields spiking within a week or two... The thing's a ticking time bomb and the fuse is lit. *Not financial advice. Just what I see.And....look at that, I was right. Hell yeah. Bitcoin to the floor BrahBears maintain control as long as we stay below 45,000

Take your seats and Prepare for the 4th Turning. De-dollarization is occurring before our eyes. The game of musical chairs is coming to an end. We will be lucky to get away with a debt crisis. The more likely outcome is a currency crisis. Your currency is not money, it is fiat. It is important you understand the difference. The thing we call money is fiat credit created by banks via loans. Everything is driven by debt and loans. AKA your life is driven by debt and loans. AKA your life is debt and loans. How did it get this way? atlantafed.org/education/publications/dollars-and-cents/history-of-paper-money But don't you know the Wonderful Wizard of Oz? Remind me... what does the wizard do in the end? Note: This is Not financial advice. Just what I see.Here's zooming out to the Weekly.Here's zooming out to the Monthly.What I am calling for is nothing but a return to the mean. Everything is playing out. Liquidity is drying up. Retail investors are being left holding the bags. Meanwhile the hedge funds are going to China because they actually have the ability to stimulate their economy.

June 1st, 2023 is the 1:1 time extension from wave A. That means that around that date, we may be at a very good price to buy. It doesn't need to do a full extension, but harmonics usually like these things to line up in some relative fashion. This is why we use the fibonacci sequence. I've noted some relative buy zones in the green boxes. Laddering buys is usually recommended by professionals. Alright now let me first say that I think Stellar is the real deal, and for good reason. They are one of the only projects completely focused on developing their regulatory compliance while innovating on the network and encouraging new developers to work with them. The "Clawback" (Transaction Reversal) technology is next level, and not something that other blockchains are capable of doing right now. This is a big step in maintaining compliance and being able to actually integrate with conventional regulatory backdrops. Stellar is the dark horse in crypto. Now, that being said, Biden just released his executive order on crypto. We are seeing more headwinds than tailwinds right now, so I expect there to be more price declines as exchanges leave and projects shut down that cannot comply with regulatory requirements*. I will note that we are already seeing announcements of projects (YFI/USDT) shutting down 25 apps/projects with seemingly no notice or good reasoning besides the fact that the developers just got bored! That's Not Good! It seems the fakes and non-committed projects are going to start cracking and running away so be careful out there. The stock market and bond markets are beginning crashing. This first leg down the bias has still been positive, but now the "buy the dip" mentally is fading and prices at the grocery stores and pump are going up! The market bias is now starting to flip bearish which will drive the major indices tumbling as the Fed starts raising rates. This all will drive crypto lower as liquidity leaves the systems. I expect you will all see prices you never thought you would see again, but I can't guarantee that. My advice to any holders is HODL, as long as you're not using leverage or loans or anything. Like I said, prices could fall extremely dramatically because the levels of liquidity via margin debt and leverage that is in the system right now is unprecedented. You need to remember though that if you're a long term holder, this is not a project you should be selling ever IMO. I expect XLM to go to $30 over the next 10 years, so this is gonna be a ride of a lifetime if you can hold on throughout. This is not trading or financial advice. I'm not telling you to sell any XLM or buy any. I am saying that it could go to 8 cents or maybe even 4 or 5 cents and if it does...I would borrow and invest Heavily at that point.