Mihai_Iacob

1. What Happened Yesterday Despite a weak start to the day that looked like the beginning of a deeper correction after Monday’s strong rally, Gold once again defended the 4100 interim support. Bulls quickly stepped in, and the market delivered yet another 1,000-pip bullish session — a pattern Gold has normalized these days. 2. Current Market Context At the time of writing, price is hovering around the 4200 resistance zone, and the upside momentum remains extremely strong. Yes, after a 2,000-pip rise in just three days, a correction seems not only possible but probable. However, we must also remember that last month Gold rallied 4,000 pips in a single week without any meaningful pullback — making short-term timing very tricky. 3. Technical Outlook Key support levels to watch: - 4150 – first intraday support - 4100 – strong structural level - 4050 – major swing support and line in the sand for bulls Resistance levels: - 4200 – current zone being tested - 4280 – next clear target - 4400 – all-time-high resistance The structure remains bullish, but stretched. 4. Trading Plan For swing traders, this is a difficult location to initiate new positions in either direction. I personally prefer to buy only if Gold pulls back under 4100, where the risk-reward becomes more reasonable. As for short trades, the combination of strong momentum and last month’s parabolic behavior makes them very high risk, even in strong resistance. 5. Conclusion Gold remains in a powerful uptrend, and although a correction is likely, timing it is extremely challenging. Until we see a deeper pullback, I remain patient and only consider buys from lower support zones, preferably below 4100. 🚀

1. What Happened Yesterday After an intraday correction, Gold once again tested the 4150 resistance zone, then pulled back toward 4100, only to rebound and touch 4150 again later in the session. Each attempt to break higher was rejected, sending the price back toward interim support. 2. Market Context Multiple failed breaks above 4150 suggest that the market is not yet ready to extend the rally from Monday. The current price action points to a likely continuation of the correction, as the market digests the strong bullish move from earlier in the week. 3. Technical Outlook The 4045–4060 zone stands out as a key confluence support, aligning with previous resistance and short-term rising trend line. A dip into this area would be a healthy pullback within the broader uptrend and could attract renewed buying interest from bulls. 4. Trading Plan My preferred approach is to buy dips into 4045–4060, with invalidation below 4030. This setup offers an attractive risk-reward profile, targeting a retest of 4150 on the next bullish leg. As long as the support zone holds, the bullish structure remains intact and upside continuation remains the higher-probability scenario. 5. Conclusion Gold is consolidating after its sharp rally, and short-term correction is part of the process. I remain bullish above 4040-4050 zone, expecting buyers to step back in near support and potentially push for another test of 4150 soon. 🚀

1. What Happened in the Last 24 Hours Gold delivered an impressive bullish surge of over 1000 pips, reaching the 4150 resistance zone — precisely the level mentioned in yesterday’s analysis. The move was nearly one-directional, with only a brief intraday retracement after crossing above 4100. 2. Market Context Such a strong advance often leads to short-term exhaustion, and that’s exactly what we’re seeing now. After touching the 4150 resistance, the price has started to pull back, which appears to be a normal correction rather than a trend reversal. 3. Technical Outlook The first key support for bulls lies near 4075, followed by the 4050 zone, which is now an important structural level. As long as these supports remain intact, the uptrend remains healthy and the probability of another bullish leg is high. 4. Trading Plan I remain bullish on Gold and plan to buy dips toward 4075–4050 zones. A sustained hold above these levels could open the way for a retest of 4200 resistance in the next sessions. If the price falls below 4050 with strong momentum, I’ll reassess the bias — but for now, the path of least resistance is still up. 5. Conclusion Yesterday’s explosive rally confirmed the bullish structure, and today’s pullback looks like a healthy correction within an ongoing trend. As long as 4050–4075 holds, buying dips remains the smart play. 🚀4200 resistance reached

1. What Happened Last Week Gold has spent most of last week consolidating in a narrow range 3960 and 4020, with only a short-lived downside spike on Wednesday. This range reflected market indecision , as traders waited for a clearer direction. 2. What’s Happening Now The Asian session open this week brought the first meaningful breakout in days — price moved decisively above 4020 resistance and is now holding around the 4050 zone. This is the first clean bullish signal after multiple failed attempts last week. 3. Technical Outlook From a technical perspective, the breakout opens room for an upside continuation. The next major target for buyers stands around the 4150 resistance. As long as the 4000 level remains intact, bulls retain full control. That zone now acts as the line in the sand for short-term momentum. 4. Trading Plan My plan is to buy dips near support and targets near 4150. If the market closes back below 4000, the bullish bias would weaken, signaling a potential false breakout. 5. Conclusion Gold has finally chosen direction — and as long as we stay above 4k, buying dips remains the smart play. The next few sessions will confirm if bulls have the strength to push toward 4150. 🚀4150 zone resistance reached

Yesterday was just another volatile session for Gold... After testing the waters above $4,000, price reversed sharply during the New York session, dropping to around $3,930. A brief consolidation followed, and by the time of writing, Gold already rebounded toward $3,970, reclaiming the $3,960 support area. Despite this recovery, the overall structure remains bearish — as long as price fails to stabilize above $4,000, sellers maintain control. 📉 Outlook: I continue to expect another leg down, with $3,915 as my next focus, followed by the recent low around $3,885.

Yesterday, I highlighted that Gold appeared slightly bullish, forming an ascending triangle with resistance around the 4030 zone. Early in the day, Gold did indeed rise and tested this resistance again. However, after the futures market opened, momentum started to fade, and the price began fluctuating around the 4000 level. As we entered the Asian session, the bears took control, and Gold is now testing the 3970 level, approaching the key 3960 support, which aligns with yesterday's low. If we see a break below this support, the next key levels to watch are 3915, a zone where Gold experienced significant reactions last week, and even 3890. On the flip side, any stabilization above the 4000 level could shift the bias back to bullish. Key Points: - Downside: Break below 3960 opens 3915 and potentially 3890. - Upside: Only stabilization above 4000 would suggest a bullish shift. 🚀 Let's see if Gold can make a move today, but remember, volatility remains extremely high and 3-400 pips means nothing for Gold nowadays3915 is in focus now

One of the most overlooked psychological factors in trading is pressure — the silent force that makes you enter trades too early, exit too late, and misread what’s actually happening on the chart. The truth is simple: When you relax, you trade better. The Illusion of “Always Doing Something” Many traders feel that if they’re not in a trade, they’re missing out. The market becomes a constant test of patience — and silence between trades feels unbearable. That’s when poor decisions appear: forced entries, revenge trades, and overtrading to “feel productive.” But the market doesn’t reward effort; it rewards timing. Trading well often looks like doing nothing most of the time. You wait, you observe, and you strike when the setup aligns. This is where the relaxed mindset beats the pressured mindset every single time. Example: Gold (XAUUSD) Between 3960 and 4030 Let’s take gold as an example. As explained in my recent analysis, we have two clear levels to watch — 3960 and 4030. Price is currently trading in between. Even though it may look like it’s pressing upward and could form an ascending triangle, clarity only comes with a real breakout, not with anticipation. A pressured trader will often feel the urge to predict — to “get in early” before confirmation. But the calm trader simply waits. They know that between levels, price action is noise, not opportunity. And when clarity comes — either through a clean breakout or a rejection — the decision is obvious and stress-free. This is what “releasing the pressure” looks like in practice: You don’t force a trade. You let the market reveal the next step. Why Pressure Kills Performance Pressure doesn’t just come from the charts — it comes from expectations. The trader who needs to make x$ per day will subconsciously search for confirmation that a trade exists. Charts suddenly look clearer than they actually are. Bias replaces logic. And objectivity, which is the foundation of good trading, fades away. In reality, the more you need to make money from trading, the harder it becomes to do so. That’s not because the market is cruel — it’s because the human brain under stress stops processing probabilities correctly. The Paradox of Ease Every trader eventually experiences this paradox: The less you try to “make something happen,” the more naturally good trades appear. This isn’t mystical — it’s psychological. When the mind is calm, your ability to notice quality setups improves dramatically. You stop trying to control the market and start aligning with it. It’s the difference between chasing a wave and surfing one. Creating Space to Breathe The professional approach to trading is not about constant activity — it’s about creating the conditions where clarity thrives. That means reducing pressure in three ways: 1. Detach from daily profit goals. The market doesn’t care about your personal targets. Focus on setups, not outcomes. 2. Allow financial breathing room. When your rent, bills, and daily life depend on your next trade, emotional clarity disappears. Build a secondary income or savings buffer — not for luxury, but for mental freedom. 3 . Redefine success. A good trading day is not one with profit — it’s one with discipline. When you measure success by process, not by dollars, you take power back from the market. Final Thought Most traders lose not because they lack skill, but because they trade under pressure. The weight of expectation distorts perception, and the market punishes impatience. Release the pressure — mentally, financially, and emotionally. When you do, trading starts to flow the way it was meant to: Quietly, naturally, profitably.

Most traders think the Monty Hall paradox has nothing to do with markets. But every time you refuse to change your bias — it plays out right in your chart. At the beginning of October, I started looking for signs of a drop in gold. They came very late. Instead, from October 1st, gold rallied more than 5000 pips before dropping. I was aware of the Monty Hall paradox — and yet, I didn’t switch. And this post is not about why I didn’t switch. It’s about understanding the paradox itself, and how it quietly plays out in trading every single day. Because yes — gold eventually dropped, and it dropped hard. But before falling 5,000 pips, it first rose 5,000 pips — and before that rise even began, the market clearly opened a door just before breaking above 4,000 pips — a door I chose to ignore. That’s exactly what this article is about: recognizing when the market opens new doors, and understanding why switching — just like in the Monty Hall paradox — often gives you the better odds. 🎭 The Original Paradox The Monty Hall problem comes from an old game show called "Let’s Make a Deal ". There are three doors: behind one is a car, and behind the others are goats. You pick one door. The host, who knows what’s behind them, opens another door — always showing a goat. Then he asks: “Do you want to stay with your first choice or switch?” Most people stay "No" But mathematically, you should switch — because the probability of winning jumps from 1/3 to 2/3 after that reveal. The host didn’t change the car’s position — he changed the information you have. And that’s what makes all the difference. If you’ve never heard of the original paradox, you might remember it from the film "21" with Kevin Spacey — the scene where he teaches probability through deception, using the Monty Hall setup to show how humans instinctively trust their first choice. That’s exactly what markets do: they give you partial information, make you feel confident, and then quietly shift the odds while you’re still defending your initial pick. 📊 The Trading Version In trading, there are no doors — only biases. But the logic is identical. When you open a trade, you’re making a probabilistic choice based on incomplete data. You think it’s 50–50 — up or down — but it’s not. You’re guessing direction, but also timing. In reality, your initial bias might have a 1/3 chance of being fully correct. Then the market — our version of Monty Hall — reveals new information: a failed breakout, a strong reversal candle, a macro shift, a sudden volume surge. That’s the door opening. And now you face the same question: “Do you stay with your first choice or switch?” 🧠 Why Most Traders Don’t Switch Because switching feels like admitting you were wrong. Ego and attachment to our analysis make us defend our initial position, even as evidence piles up against it. But the market doesn’t reward stubbornness — it rewards adaptation. Refusing to switch isn’t strength; it’s emotional inertia. 🔁 What “Switching” Really Means It doesn’t always mean reversing your trade. It can mean: - Cutting your loss early instead of waiting for stop loss - Closing a position that started “right” but begins behaving wrong. - Flipping your bias when the structure proves you wrong. - Or simply, pausing — accepting that the setup no longer fits the data. In each case, you’re doing what the smart contestant in Monty Hall does: You’re updating your probabilities as new information arrives. 💬 The Lesson The paradox isn’t about doors — it’s about humility. About understanding that the first choice you make in trading could end up not being the best one. The best traders don’t need to be right. They need to be flexible enough to become right later. So the next time the market “opens a door” — don’t get defensive. Recalculate. Reassess. Sometimes, switching is the only way to stay in the game. 🚀 Closing Thought The Monty Hall paradox isn’t about luck; it’s about using information wisely. The same rule applies to trading: If the market gives you new data, use it — even if it means admitting your first bias was wrong. Because the moment you stop defending your first choice, you finally start trading with probability — not pride. P.S. Although I did manage to make some profit on short trades, that’s beside the point. What truly matters is that the market clearly opened a door at the beginning of October — and even though I saw it, I ignored it. Yes, the market eventually dropped as initially expected, but that too is beside the point. This isn’t about being right in the end; it’s about recognizing when the market opens new doors and having the courage to walk through them.

In my previous BTC analysis — right before the flash crash — I mentioned that I was struggling to maintain my bullish stance, and that only a break back above 118k would restore confidence. In fact, I leaned toward a bearish bias, and the recent price action has confirmed those concerns. The market has repeatedly failed to reclaim the 118k zone, continuing to drift lower toward 106–107k support. As I’ve explained multiple times, when I see this kind of movement — price coming back to the same support again and again — it’s hard to believe that the market is doing it so we can all buy and profit. Usually, this pattern acts as a trap, luring in buyers before a final breakdown. That’s the scenario I’m watching once again. Technical Levels: - Resistance: 118k (major cap) - Support: 106–107k (key zone) - Interim level: 100k (psychological) - Target on breakdown: 90k My selling zone is between 113–115k, as I expect any bounce into this area to meet renewed selling pressure.BTC dropped to 100k, even a little under. Now the focus is shifting to the important 90k

After forming a local low at 3887 last week — a level perfectly aligned with the October ATH area — XAUUSD started to recover from the recent 5k pips decline, retesting the 4050 resistance zone, which previously acted as strong support. Since mid-last week, price action has entered a consolidation phase. Despite high intraday volatility, the structure is beginning to compress into a clear congestion pattern. This range, roughly 1k pips wide, provides traders with well-defined reference points: - Support: 3950–3960 zone – a break below this area would likely reopen the path toward the recent 3887 low. - Resistance: 4040–4050 zone – a confirmed breakout above could trigger a continuation toward 4150. At this stage, I am slightly bullish, given the sharp rejections from 3920 last week and the emerging ascending triangle structure, which often precedes upward continuation. Still, confirmation is required — the market must decide whether this congestion is accumulation or distribution.