
King_BennyBag
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King_BennyBag

We can see a wedge is forming, price is at a major point, break above with a failed break below the resistance - we see high potential for $250. Failed breakthroughs and a rejection? We see $150 once more. Thoughts?

King_BennyBag

BTC/USDT 4H Analysis – July 20, 2025 The current market structure shows a bullish pennant forming after a strong impulsive move upward, with price consolidating between key support and resistance levels. This pattern, combined with volume signals and key price zones, suggests a potential for a high-volatility breakout. 🔷 Volume Profile & OBV Insights The On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator is forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating a volume squeeze. This suggests a potential sudden spike in volume that could confirm the next major move. Anchored Volume Profile (VPVR) on the right shows a notable low-volume area between 112K–115K. If price breaks below this zone, it could lead to a rapid selloff toward deeper fair value areas due to reduced liquidity support. 📈 Bullish Scenario If price breaks above the pennant resistance and 119.5K liquidity zone, it may signal bullish continuation. A successful retest of the breakout level as support would confirm strength, opening the door to: Short-term target: 123K (supply zone and previous swing high) Mid-term target: 125K (key psychological level and potential ATH) Watch for confirmation via OBV breakout and strong bullish volume. Failure to sustain above the 118K–119K area could signal a bull trap. 📉 Bearish Scenario A breakdown below pennant support and the 115K level would likely trigger a move into the low-volume range. First key downside target: 114.7K–115.7K, which aligns with the Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618 zone) and a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG). This zone may act as a support or a liquidity grab reversal area. If this zone fails to hold, deeper downside targets become likely: FVG 2 (~112K) Psychological support at 110K, which aligns with strong historical demand and a major VPVR node. This bearish move may either confirm further downside momentum or present a fakeout opportunity if price sharply reverses from one of these deeper levels. ✅ Summary BTC is coiled within a bullish pennant, with both bullish continuation and bearish breakdown scenarios in play. Volume confirmation and breakout direction will be key. Traders should monitor how price reacts around the 115K–118K zone for directional clarity. A move beyond this range, especially with volume support, will likely define the next trend leg.

King_BennyBag

🔎 STRUCTURE & TECHNICAL ELEMENTS1. Pattern:A falling wedge was formed and broken cleanly to the upside → bullish reversal structure.Breakout was followed by a successful retest at prior structure lows (marked “Clear Breakout and Retest”).2. Fair Value Gap (FVG 1D) Zone:Currently being tested. This zone coincides with:Minor support from prior consolidationFib retracement (0.5 level)Potential demand area (watch for bullish reaction/candle structure here)3. Volume Profile:3,350 = POC (Point of Control) → heavy resistance.3,300 = Secondary HVN → strong support below current price.Low-volume nodes just under current price → if broken, price likely accelerates into the GP zone.4. Fibonacci & Liquidity Confluence:Golden Pocket (3287) just below 3,300 = ideal liquidity draw if FVG fails.Target 1 / 2 / 3 above are Fibonacci-based projections + historical swing zones.✅ SCENARIO 1: Bullish Case – FVG HoldsIf price respects the FVG 1D zone, expect:Continuation up toward Target One (~3,430)Extension to Target Two (~3,470) and even Target Three (~3,540+) possibleConfirmation: Bullish engulfing / high-volume bounce / sweep of intraday lows without close below FVGBias: Bullish continuation as long as price holds above FVG/0.5 Fib🚨 SCENARIO 2: Bearish Case – FVG Breaks DownIf price closes below FVG zone, particularly below 3,312:High probability drop toward 3,300 (psych level)Liquidity sweep and deeper correction into Golden Pocket (~3,287) likelyThis area can act as a high-probability long re-entry zoneBias: Short-term bearish if close below FVG + swing structure invalidation⚖️ REFINED SUMMARYPrice rejects off FVG - we can expect target 1 and 2 tagged. Price breaks & closes below FVG zone - we can expect it to drop/wick to 3,300

King_BennyBag

Solana (SOL/USDT) – 4H Market Outlook | July 1, 2025 Introduction SOL has formed a reverse head and shoulders pattern, followed by a clean breakout above resistance. While the lower time frame is bullish, the higher time frame remains bearish, creating a short-term opportunity within a broader downtrend. Context 1: Key Zones Supply Zone: 176 – 187 Demand Zone: 126 – 143 Psychological Levels: 140 and 160 Context 2: Technical Structure Pattern: Reverse Head & Shoulders Breakout: Confirmed above neckline/resistance FVGs: One below price (within demand) One above price (potential target) Golden Pocket: Sits just above lower FVG and inside demand — strong confluence support Context 3: Volume Insight OBV Indicator: Shows a sudden volume spike, adding strength to the breakout and the bullish pattern confirmation. Bullish Scenario Price pulls back into the golden pocket + FVG + demand zone Finds support → bounces to form higher low Second leg of the move breaks swing high → targets upper FVG and 160 psychological level Bearish Scenario Price breaks back below demand zone and invalidates the golden pocket Fails to hold structure → reverts to macro bearish trend Potential retest of previous swing low below 126 Summary SOL is showing bullish momentum on the 4H after completing a reversal pattern and spiking in volume. A pullback into the demand zone confluence may offer a strong long setup — but failure to hold could revalidate the higher timeframe downtrend.Price has successfully reversed off the FVG - we are now testing the FVG once more. If it rejects again, we enter.As predicted, price has now successfully reversed off the FVG and GP allowing us to maintain movement above resistance, we are now sitting in profit - nearing the first psychological level of 160Price has now successfully filled the psychological level, just as predicted. We saw a surge up, now we see a surge down. It has rejected off the below 4hr FVG twice now, while maintaining it's position above the resistance. It has rejected off the Golden pocket for the 2nd time now and will try break above the previously filled FVG zone. If price breaks below the resistance, we will see our SL hit, FVG filled, and the psychological level of 140. If this happens, our trade will be invalid and we will be looking for new long or potential short opportunities. Volume however, has broken the htf resistance and is now forming a wedge, if this breaks above or below (either one) we can see major movements appear on SOL. Keep an Eye out. We are still in profits thanks to partial Take profits at $160 - so no need to stress.Well done to those who took this trade! We are now in major profits with Solana playing out just as predicted!

King_BennyBag

BTC/USDT (1D) Market Outlook – July 1, 2025 Introduction BTC is currently consolidating within a bullish flag pattern after printing a swing high at 108.9K and a recent swing low at 98K. The price sits just below a major supply zone. Context 1: Key Zones Supply: 104.6K – 112.1K Demand: 74.4K – 82.5K Fair Value Gaps (FVG): 3 zones below price, with one near 88–90K Context 2: Technical Confluence Liquidation Zone: 106.2K Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618): 102.1K Psychological Levels: 105K and 110K Context 3: Market Structure Pattern: Bullish flag Trend (LTF): Sideways/consolidation Volume Profile: Heavy activity near 105K–110K Bullish Scenario Breaks above 106.2K (liq zone) Pulls back to 102.1K (golden pocket), forms higher low Retests resistance for continuation Alt scenario: clean breakout above resistance → ATH retest Bearish Scenario Breaks below 106.2K and flag support Fills FVG, breaks prior low at 98K Triggers macro downtrend toward 88–90K zone Summary BTC is at a decision point inside a bullish flag, facing supply. A break above 106.2K favors upside continuation, while rejection and a lower low could trigger a deeper retracement. Watch key levels closely.Just as predicted, price has now formed a successful rejection and broke above the resistance - now we need to wait for a retest on the resistance line. If this can hold we are safe.Target has now been reached! Congratulations to those who traded this with me.

King_BennyBag

🧠 High Time Frame ContextTrend: Consolidation within a broad range (support and resistance clearly defined).Key Psychological Levels:105,000 USDT – minor level, acting as a magnet in short-term PA.110,000 USDT – major supply confluence and liquidity target.🟪 Supply & Resistance ZoneZone: Marked in purple (108.5k-112k).Key Observation:Swing high formed inside this zone, indicating liquidity trap.Potential fake-out or strong rejection from this area.Strong confluence with a descending resistance trendline, adding to the selling pressure.🔵 Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Retracement TargetsFVG identified just below the current price (~103.5k-104.5k).Price is projected to:Reject from the current high.Drop to fill the FVG zone.Possibly bounce between FVG and Fibonacci retracement levels:0.50.618 0.786🔴 Volume & RSI DivergenceVolume breakout is noted on the last push down (bottom red annotation), followed by a retrace.OBV shows bullish divergence with price:🔻 Support StructureLower red trendline is a key long-term support.Previous swing low aligns with this trendline – buyers showed strong interest here.If FVG fails to hold, expect a retest of this trendline near 97,000–98,000.📈 Likely ScenariosBase Case (Neutral-Bearish):Price rejects current zone (~107,000).Pullback into FVG (101–104K).Bounce to 105K (minor resistance), then decide next direction.Bullish Breakout:If price breaks and closes above 110K, it invalidates supply zone.Opens door to 115–118K range.Bearish Breakdown:Fails FVG zone.Tests previous swing low and support (~97K).Below that, structure becomes macro bearish.🧩 SummaryShort-Term: Retracement into FVG likely. Monitor reaction.Medium-Term: Bearish bias while price is below 110K.Invalidation for bears: Clean break and hold above 110K.

King_BennyBag

FET/USDT – 4H Time Frame AnalysisPattern Formation: A rounding top is clearly visible, suggesting weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversal.Trend Structure: Price is forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish trend.Key Zones:Supply Zone: $0.85 – $0.975Demand Zone: $0.35 – $0.45Neckline Support: Price is approaching a critical neckline level. A break below this could trigger strong downside movement.Weekly FVG & Fib Confluence:Below the neckline lies a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG).The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement aligns with this zone, forming a golden pocket — a key support area.Scenario 1 – Bullish Reversal:If price holds above the golden pocket, a bounce could push it back toward psychological levels (e.g., $0.70 and $0.80)Scenario 2 – Bearish Continuation:If price fails to hold the FVG/GP zone, this invalidates bullish setups.Expect a breakdown targeting the $0.35–$0.45 demand zone.

King_BennyBag

BTC, the worlds biggest and fastest growing coin. With a market cap in the Trillions, we are facing a major moment. Will price dump? or will it pump and go above and beyond. Lets find out in this analysis! 1. Trend OverviewHTF Bullish:Price remains above the long-term bullish trendline, showing strong macro support.Recent price action is consolidating within a major supply zone and liquidity cluster — signaling indecision before a breakout or breakdown.📈 2. OBV (On-Balance Volume) AnalysisOBV is coiling in a symmetrical triangle, indicating a volume squeeze.This tightening range typically precedes a major breakout or breakdown, matching the price consolidation near resistance.🔄 Market StructurePrice has formed a potential top just under the supply/liquidity zone (~$110,000–$112,000).Swing High is defined just below $112K.Key structure zones are:Resistance zone at current levels.Support zones: 1D FVG ($97K) and Weekly FVG ($87K–$93K)🟪 Supply & Demand ZonesSupply Zone: $100k - $112k — multiple rejections here indicate this is a key short-term ceiling.Demand Zone: Deep support between $50-$57K, aligns with trendline and historical value area.🔵 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)1D FVG: $97K area — may act as magnet if price breaks below resistance.1W FVG:$87K–$93K — stronger structural level to watch.If both are filled, price may meet the bullish trendline around $90K.🧠 Liquidity ZonesAbove current price: ~$112K is marked as a liquidity grab area — stop hunts may occur before major reversal.Below: FVG zones could trigger a liquidity sweep downwards before reversal.🔴 Volume ProfileStrong high-volume node (HVN) around $80K–$97K: acceptance zone, likely to act as magnetic support.Above $110K is a low-volume node (LVN): if broken cleanly, price may accelerate quickly toward $120K+.✅ Bullish ScenarioBreak above $112K → sweep liquidity → continuation toward $120K–$125K. (Price Discovery)OBV breakout upwards would confirm.Hold above FVG 1D if retested = healthy bullish continuation structure.❌ Bearish ScenarioRejection at supply → drop to FVG 1D ($97K), then potentially Weekly FVG (~$93K).If OBV breaks downward, it confirms bearish volume divergence.Breakdown below trendline could target deeper into demand zone (~$70K+).📌 SummaryBias: Neutral-bullish short term, bullish macro (above trendline).Key Breakout Level: $112K.Critical Support: $91K–$97K (FVG cluster).Confirmation: OBV breakout + clean structure break.Invalidation: Weekly close below long-term trendline and FVG zones.

King_BennyBag

📊 1. Trend AnalysisHTF (Higher Time Frame) Bullish: Long-term trendline shows sustained upside momentum with 3 clean touches, indicating trend strength.LTF (Lower Time Frame) Bearish: Short-term structure broke down from the trendline but is now showing signs of reversal with a falling wedge breakout.📈 2. Chart PatternFalling Wedge: Classic bullish reversal setup. Price has broken out with strong momentum.OBV (On-Balance Volume) shows bullish divergence—volume is rising while price was falling, signaling accumulation during the downtrend.🔄 Market StructureSwing Highs and Lows are respected—showing healthy structure.Recent swing low held near the demand zone.Break and retest of key levels and trendlines indicate potential continuation to the upside.🟪 Supply & DemandDemand Zone (~$0.65): Provided strong support, origin of latest move.Supply Zone (~$1.15): Likely to offer resistance; aligns with upper FVG and volume gap.🔵 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)Filled/Partial Below: $0.65–$0.68 – already mitigated.Unfilled Above: Around $0.98–$1.05 – may act as a magnet for price.🧠 Psychological Levels$0.90 and $1.00: Price magnets due to trader behavior. Expect increased reaction or consolidation at these levels.🔴 Volume ProfileHigh Volume Node (HVN) around $0.85–$0.95: Indicates acceptance zone where price may consolidate.Low Volume Gap above $1.10: If price clears this, a fast move to $1.20+ is likely.✅ Bullish ConfluencesFalling wedge breakout confirms reversal potential.OBV divergence supports accumulation narrative.Price bounced from demand zone and reclaimed broken structure.Room to move into FVG and low-resistance areas above.❌ Bearish RisksRejection at $1.00–$1.05 psychological/FVG level.Breakdown below $0.86–$0.88 invalidates bullish setup.Heavy supply at $1.20 could cap upside.📌 SummaryBias: Bullish. Expect move toward $1.00–$1.15.Confirmation: Clean break and hold above $1.00.Invalidation: Break back below $0.86 swing low.

King_BennyBag

Structure & ZonesPrice is trading between a clear supply zone above and a demand zone below, offering defined areas for reaction.Two unfilled FVGs on the 1D timeframe above current price could act as magnet zones for price continuation.A 4H FVG just beneath current price is nearly filled — potential area for a bullish bounce.Three psychological price levels are marked and align with Fibonacci and FVG targets, likely to act as resistance zones if price pushes higher.Trend & PatternHigh timeframe (HTF) remains bullish, supported by the formation of a rounding bottom — a strong reversal structure suggesting accumulation.Lower timeframe (LTF) is showing short-term bearishness as price pulls back and retests key support/trendline.Price is holding above a bullish trendline, maintaining structure unless a breakdown occurs.Volume & MomentumThe OBV indicator shows a broken rising wedge, signaling a possible momentum slowdown or short-term correction.Anchored volume profile reveals high volume beneath price — indicating that previous trading activity supports current levels and adds bullish confluence.Outlook & Trade ConsiderationBias remains bullish overall, supported by HTF structure and unfilled FVG targets above.A potential pullback into the 0.5–0.618 fib retracement zone or into the 4H FVG could present long entry opportunities.On continuation, price may target the daily FVGs and psychological levels as resistance or take-profit zones.Watch for a rejection at fib/psych levels or breakdown below the bullish trendline to reassess bias.
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