KECapital

A trading idea for traders - for people who think, who are mentally balanced, not for those who like to gamble in a casino. I will publish another idea publicly from the closed set. Publicly and for free, I’m not going to explain anything about how to manage your capital, in what proportion, which zones, what orders and where, or the risks - everyone must decide this on their own (your profit depends directly on it). This is a continuation - the previous idea delivered around +200% on average. The overall chart shows the general expected scenarios. Let’s break them down one by one. 1) Horizontal channels. The price moves within similar horizontal channels. Right now we are in the central one, in its outer support zone. A move into the lower channel would mean complete capitulation. 2) The large descending channel. Price action within the descending channel. All zones are marked on the chart. A breakout and consolidation above the channel’s resistance is important. 3) Dragon. Implementation of the ‘dragon’ trading pattern and working with it. The phase of forming the right leg. 4) Probabilities of decline. Clear zones. Working based on risk. The snowball effect of compound interest. Stable capital growth is not about gambling, leveraged positions, or constant guessing about where the price will go.

🚨 This information is intended for thoughtful market participants who are willing to work in this field - not for those chasing gambling, guesswork, or getting stuck in news flow. Price has returned to the support zone of the outer horizontal channel. Accumulation is currently taking place in this area. 📰 FTX is preparing for its third round of distributions - $1.9 billion, expected around September 30. Marked it on the chart. Whether they shift the date or not, the essence remains unchanged. Possible scenarios: 1️⃣ A double bottom forms in the lower zone of the channel, with a pattern range of about 60%. 👇 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2️⃣ Another option is a descending wedge, followed by a breakout on volume, a retest of the breakout zone, and further continuation. 👇 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 3️⃣ Next scenario: sideways consolidation within the current zone, with an inner range of 40% and outer range of 90%, followed by a breakout and movement toward the main targets of the larger channel. 👇 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ❗ I marked the downward (protective) zones on the chart that should be taken into account for each of the proposed scenarios — to align with your strategy. This is important. First the plan - then action. 👇 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 📌 P.S. In fact, everything is simpler than it seems. I believe time is a key factor. The main thing is to be ready for different scenarios before the final move. There’s nothing to guess here. Even if you add another pattern, it won’t change the core idea.Nothing new. The price is accumulating according to option #3️⃣. A sideways movement in the lower zone of the channel.

In my opinion, Bitcoin (BTC) has become less interesting — there isn’t much room left for significant movement, and most of the “cream” has already been skimmed off. However, since it's essentially the index of the crypto market, I’m sharing this trading idea for context - to show where we currently are and what scenarios might unfold.The price is globally moving within an ascending channel.A secondary triangle pattern is forming.Within this triangle, we can see the outlines of an inverse head and shoulders pattern - or possibly a cup and handle - both aligning with the channel’s resistance.Potential scenarios:a) Price breaks out of the triangle.b) Price moves toward the triangle’s support, forming another wave inside it.c) Price moves to retest the main ascending channel’s support.d) Price fluctuates within the central range of the channel.There aren't many options, and none of them would break the primary trend. Altcoin movements will largely depend on BTC’s behavior.Therefore, it’s crucial to build a trading strategy that considers both the likely and less likely (but possible) outcomes.Looking at the broader picture:The previous minor altseason (winter 2024) was short and weak, except for a few coins.There was no real secondary altseason in spring 2025.Statistically, summer tends to be quiet - due to holidays and so on.The first two points contradicted the expectations of most traders - so we’ll see how things play out with the third. If there's no altseason in summer either, then logically, winter might turn out to be quite aggressive.

1inch - is a decentralized exchange (DEX) aggregator that combines multiple DEXs into a single platform, aiming to provide users with the most efficient routes for swaps across all platforms. 📍 CoinMarketCap : #160 📍 Twitter(X) : 1.3M The coin has already been listed on exchanges during the distribution phase of the cycle and was partially sold off in waves. Then, in line with the overall market, it declined to more reasonable accumulation prices, shaking out small investors and those who entered positions on positive news. The price has been moving within a horizontal channel for a couple of years, and the channel’s percentage range reflects the coin’s liquidity. Currently, the coin is in a fear zone, at its lowest price levels. In moments like this, very few people have funds left to accumulate positions, as they’ve already been trapped by optimistic bloggers and a positive news background earlier. Many were wiped out recently due to a breakdown and consolidation below the previous support of the inner channel, and now there's emptiness and fear below. What’s happening now is an attempt to return back into the inner channel. If this zone holds, the channel targets may be realized. Resistance zones where the price may react are marked on the chart. Potential final downside wicks are also indicated. It’s important to allocate funds wisely for position building and use proper percentage distribution, according to your own experience! ______ 📌 Not financial advice. Observing structure and recurring phases. Operate within your strategy and with an awareness of risks.After the publication of the trading idea, from the average entry price in the first highlighted zone, the profit has reached +100%. The further trend development is marked on the chart. Profit should always be protected, and price pullbacks should be used to your advantage.

Filecoin(FIL) - is a decentralized storage system with the goal of "storing humanity's most important information." During its initial coin offering (ICO) in 2017, the project raised $205 million. The launch was initially planned for mid-2019, but the mainnet launch date was postponed until block 148,888, which occurred on October 15, 2020. 📍 CoinMarketCap : #50 📍 Twitter(X) : 667.3K 🔍 What I observe: I’ve added the full trading history to the chart for better understanding (the chart on exchanges is cut off). The coin is liquid. I also added the prices for the public and private offerings. There’s a large horizontal channel, or more specifically, a channel within a channel, which has been active for about 1111 days. After another drop, a descending wedge formed, and now we are witnessing a breakout of its resistance (a retest is possible). These patterns are ones I regularly track and trade, based on personal experience accumulated over the years and my strategy. 📊 I’ve plotted the nearest resistances and target prices with movement percentage calculations. 💭 It’s quite possible that this formation in the lower part of the wedge, coinciding with the area of lows on the support of the outer channel, was used to gather liquidity and shake out weak hands. I also want to point out the large wicks in this zone - a characteristic pattern for accumulation points and subsequent reversals. ______ 📌 Not financial advice. Observing structure and recurring phases. Operate within your strategy and with an awareness of risks.Here is a closer scale of the chart.We followed the less likely scenario - the downward one. Everything had been marked on the chart beforehand. I updated the chart. Through deep capitulation, the price was brought back into the channel. Those who take advantage of this get a good average price, but such people are a very small percentage. There is a real shakeout happening across most coins.

Notcoin(NOT) - is a Web3 gaming project launched on January 1 within the TON ecosystem. Technically, Notcoin is an application inside the Telegram messenger. The project attracted users' attention through an announced token airdrop. The developers invited users to mine tokens simply by tapping on their smartphone screens. Within a few months, the game's audience exceeded 35 million people. 📍CoinMarketCap: #170 📍Twitter(X): 2.4M ________________ The NOT token dropped by -94.5% following its listing and a wave of hype. Such a decline is typically accompanied by a loss of faith in its growth and potential. 🔍 What I observe: The price is moving within a descending channel. A reversal pattern, the "inverse head and shoulders," is forming in the current zone, with a potential upside of around ~75%. The key point is a breakout above the outer resistance of the channel. The token has high liquidity. NOT is traded on all major exchanges, including the top-tier ones. It has excellent access to marketing and PR, which is important for pump scenarios. 💭 All key levels, possible scenarios, and targets are marked on the chart. Take them into account when building your own strategy. ________ 📌 Not financial advice. Personal view and experience.The price continued to move within the descending channel. Updated the chart. As with many coins, it’s a good zone for a good average price. Most are heavily exhausted.

ORDI is the first BRC-20 token based on the Ordinals protocol on Bitcoin. Since its launch in March 2023, the token quickly gained popularity and a significant market cap, being integrated into the Bitcoin blockchain. This integration is made possible through the Ordinals protocol developed by Casey Rodarmor. The protocol allows inscriptions - text, images, audio, or video - to be made directly on satoshis, the smallest unit of Bitcoin, giving Bitcoin new functionality that was not originally envisioned. You can now create NFTs and other digital assets and trade them directly on the blockchain.____________The token was listed at a fortunate time - late 2023 - amid overall market growth and positive sentiment. At the time, everything looked promising, but now the price has dropped by 94% from the zones where “hype was being sold.”🔻 Structure:The token is moving within a large descending channel. Recently, the price tested the outer support of this channel.A local downtrend channel was also broken - its retest and a rise within the main trend are possible.📊 Scenarios:Retest and upward movement as part of a correction.Consolidation in the current zone with a possible breakout to the upside.Further decline amid overall negative market sentiment.💥 Risks:The token is traded on all major exchanges, including Binance. However, if it gets delisted (which has been happening more often recently), this is the main risk: loss of liquidity!🎯 Approach:With such tokens, it’s crucial to distribute volume wisely and accept risk in advance. I mark out interesting zones and place limit orders accordingly.Considering the overall market and news backdrop, the token does have bounce potential, especially now that faith in the project is nearly lost.💭 Opinion:From my years of experience, I’ll say it again: the goal isn’t to guess where the price will go - it’s to be ready for it. Not everyone will understand that, but then again, not everyone consistently makes money in this market._________📌 Not financial advice. This material reflects personal observations and a risk management approach.

Based on the current structure, C98USDT is moving within a descending wedge , approaching zones that align with early investor positions. 🔍 What I’m seeing: Potential drop into the range of a previous horizontal channel - marked on the chart. We've already reached the Strategic Round level; below that is the Seed Round . Assuming the project isn’t abandoned, it makes sense to expect investor defense in this zone. From what I observe, there's likely accumulation happening from weak hands - at a discount . 🛡️ Approach: As I’ve said before - you can’t treat coins like this in isolation . They should be traded as part of a group of low-liquidity tokens , with proper risk management . You can’t know in advance which one will “survive” without insider info from the team. So the key is having a solid strategy and managing your portfolio and risk wisely . 📈 Targets: Potential breakout targets from the wedge are marked on the chart. If the market remains weak, I’ve noted a lower zone where consolidation might occur (sideways chop within a horizontal channel). 💭 Opinion: The market is “paused” and waiting for a catalyst. You can’t rush it. But zones like the current one on C98USDT seem attractive in terms of risk/reward . The goal isn’t to guess - it’s to follow a pre-built strategy and stay focused . 📌 As always, this is not financial advice. Just my personal take and observations on the structure.The price is still in accumulation. A deep capitulation — a channel beneath a channel. In such zones, retail traders don’t build positions; it’s just too scary.

Xai (XAI) - is a cryptocurrency designed to revolutionize the gaming industry by enabling real economies and open trade within video games. Developed by Offchain Labs, Xai operates on the Arbitrum platform, a layer-2 scaling solution for Ethereum, which enhances its efficiency and scalability.One of the standout features of Xai is its integration of Explainable AI techniques. These techniques make automated trading bot systems more transparent and trustworthy, addressing a significant concern in the cryptocurrency space. This transparency is crucial for fostering trust among users, particularly in the context of in-game economies where players trade valuable items.📍 CoinMarketCap: #373📍 Twitter(X): 308.5K___________________________________________🛡️ Risk Management and Approach:When trading low-liquidity coins, I allocate a specific portion of my portfolio in advance for such trades.These funds are split across different projects, which allows for diversification and helps mitigate potential scams.If one coin pair dies — it's not critical, as long as the portfolio is structured properly.📉 Current Situation:On the broader view, the price is moving within a large descending channel.Right now, it's near the outer support of the inner channel.Since I’ve already allocated funds for this coin, I’ve taken a small entry near the support of the inner channel, and I plan to add more in the lower marked zone.There’s a high probability of price chop due to news (tariffs, rates, debt ceiling, refinancing), and I take that into account.💭 General Thoughts:Diversification is key. You can never rule out the possibility that any project might end up as a scam. But with proper portfolio structure, that’s not a major issue.There’s nothing to fear if you have a clear plan and tactics for different scenarios.Like many other coins right now, I see the current accumulation zones as solid.🔁 Additional Observation:The recent mass delistings on Binance mainly target projects listed during the 2021–2022 distribution phase.There’s a chance the exchange is cleaning up future risks, while “fresh” coins listed under the new conditions may stay longer.📌 This post is not financial advice. It reflects my observations, actions, and logic in managing the position.Reached the first marked zone: +147%The next strong zone is the outer resistance of the descending channel.

Project:Celestia is one of the key players in the new generation of modular blockchain architecture. Unlike traditional monolithic solutions, it separates the execution and consensus layers. This provides flexibility, scalability, and creates the infrastructure for rollup and L2 ecosystems.📍 CoinMarketCap: #47📍 Twitter (X): 397.7K____________________________________________________________🔎 Technical picture:I marked the Seed / Series A / Series B zones on the chart — it's clear how early investors locked in massive profits: from listing, the price skyrocketed +634%, and their returns are many times higher!)From the current levels, the price is down ~87% from its all-time high.Formation: the price is moving inside a large descending channel. At the same time, a potential “cup” structure and a possibly emerging ascending channel are forming.We are close to the lower boundary of these formations — it's an interesting zone.A final sweep/fakeout toward the lower boundary of the descending channel is possible — keep this in mind when calculating risk.Key level: the orange trendline marks the boundary of the secondary trend. A confident breakout and hold above it would be one of the reversal signals.____________________________________________________________💡 General conclusions:Liquidity — solid.The coin is traded on major exchanges.Trend potential is marked on the chart.As always — everything depends on your strategy and patience.____________________________________________________________📌 This review is not financial advice but my personal analysis and observations on the project.