
InevitableCrypto
@t_InevitableCrypto
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InevitableCrypto

The amount of -20% or larger drawdowns is frequent/seasonal Periods of bullish/market runs are usually limited to 4-5 months at most before some form of -20% correction The corrections during this phase/run have been -12% and -9% respectively. The previous ATH of 74k could mark a great new range midpoint given the epic retest, pointing to seasonal ATH of 132-133k. This area could be the blow-off top (or break above and back below/divergence) RSI is near 4Y trendline (and in a bearish divergence), Fear & Greed nearing 80s. Everything is cooking, looking for a larger than -20% pullback in the very near-term (next 30 days), without casting any judgement if market structure will remain intact or not — simply speaking to this move. Looking for losing LTF trendlines or ranges, deviations, etc to add confluence/conviction.

InevitableCrypto

Just a game of rotations, nice opportunity if funding and OI cools off before the next move up (now that BTC has hit 100k).

InevitableCrypto


InevitableCrypto


InevitableCrypto

Looks like the attempt to reclaim a prior range is about to breakdown:- Currently sitting on the 11W EMA. - Currently sitting at range low.- Fair Value Gap underneath.Target $0.32. All this is still confluent with the lifetime ascending channel.

InevitableCrypto

- AXS has no revenue to validate its FDV anymore, tokens still unlocking, narratives rotating.- Continuous range to range breakdown vs USD and vs BTC, extreme weakness.... waiting for closes under $10.2 for short-entry and nuke if it comes.

InevitableCrypto

AXS was a coin that hit peak hype and coincidentally has some of the worst tokenomics. ATOM on the other hand _might_ be forming to be a winner in the next cycle. Simple pair trade, shorting the past hype, longing the future hype and avoiding the crab bites. Similar to SAMA Long below ( + SOL , MANA)

InevitableCrypto

Spread trade on narratives and capital rotations:- Long Solana SOL & Cosmos ATOM- Short Axie Infinity AXS & Decentraland MANAJust playing into intra-cycle shifts whilst trading the orderblocks that seemingly are respected. Seeking to avoid trading the chop on single coins, opting instead to trade one narrative vs another — in this case; trending L1's vs deflated metaverse coins.

InevitableCrypto

- Runs always preceded by break/dip- After May-21, we experienced 2 bounces, followed by breaks/dumps, using the bull-run fractal that came after them here

InevitableCrypto

Clear range with BTC vs S&P:- Multiple SR points have been respected, especially on this last leg down (hitting support, from which early '21 bull-run took off)- Double tops & bottoms- Potential triangle forming — probably safer to play these instead of range extremes.
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