GoldNest_by_Lovewell

Looking at the general market trend, although the gold price has been supported by a certain amount of safe-haven inflows recently, the direction of the Fed's monetary policy is still the key factor in determining the medium-term trend of the gold price. Gold may continue to maintain a range-bound trend along with changes in the US dollar and US Treasury yields. Investors should pay attention to the release of economic data and changes in market sentiment. Technical analysis of gold: At the daily level of gold, gold rose and fell yesterday, and the daily line closed with a small positive line with a long upper shadow, which means that the short term will continue to maintain a weak downward adjustment; As long as the 5-day moving average is always under pressure, the momentum of this pressure wave from 2726 will continue; today's counter-pressure point is 2613, and the 5-day moving average resistance is 2616. The rebound pressure continues to be bearish; the 4-hour cycle is still evaluated around the gains and losses of the 10-day moving average. If it could not withstand the pressure yesterday, it will continue to be weakly suppressed; The 10-day moving average was tested and is still weak after a slight puncture; At the hourly level, pay attention to the resistance of yesterday's pullback at 618 to calculate, which is around 2611. As long as tonight's closing price does not remain at 2611, then there is a high probability of repeating yesterday's move and weakening again. Yesterday was under pressure from the 618 split position at 2625 and then continued to be negative; Considering that the US dollar has begun to stabilize and rise, silver has previously tested lower levels, and gold may not be able to resist 2611 and 618 today. In order not to miss, you can test it in groups in advance. Alt Support first looks at 2592-83. If it fails once, it will test the lows of the previous two days at 2587-2583; In general, gold's short-term operation suggests opening mainly short positions on pullbacks and taking long positions on callbacks. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance at 2626-2631 and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support at 2605-2600.

From the overall market trend, although the gold price has been supported by a certain amount of safe-haven fund inflows recently, the direction of the Fed's monetary policy is still the key factor in determining the medium-term trend of the gold price. With the changes in the US dollar and US Treasury yields, gold may continue to maintain a range-bound trend. Investors need to pay attention to the release of economic data and changes in market sentiment.Technical analysis of gold: At the gold daily level, gold rose and fell yesterday, and the daily line closed with a small positive line with a long upper shadow, which means that the short-term will continue to maintain a weak downward adjustment;As long as the 5-day moving average is always under pressure, the momentum of this wave of suppression from 2726 will continue; today's counter-pressure point is 2613, and the 5-day moving average resistance is 2616. The rebound pressure continues to be bearish; the 4-hour cycle is still judged around the gains and losses of the 10-day moving average. If it did not withstand pressure yesterday, it will continue to be weakly suppressed; the 10-day moving average has been tested, and it is still weak after a slight puncture;At the hourly level, pay attention to the division resistance of yesterday's pullback 618 to calculate, which is about 2611. As long as the closing price tonight does not stand at 2611, then There is a high probability that it will repeat yesterday's move and weaken again. Yesterday, it was under pressure from the 618 split position at 2625 and then continued to be negative;Well, considering that the US dollar has begun to stabilize and rise, silver has already tested lower in advance, and gold may not be able to provide resistance to 2611 and 618 today. To avoid missing out, you can test it in batches in advance. The lower support first looks at 2592-83. Once If it fails, it will test the lows of the previous two days at 2587-2583;On the whole, the short-term operation of gold recommends shorting mainly on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The top short-term focus is on the 2626-2631 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2605-2600 first-line support.For next week, the layout will still be mainly shorting at high levels. First of all, the first pressure level of 2638-42 will be the main reference pressure level. Gold can continue to short when it reaches 2638-42. The short-term pressure level of 2632 is our final defense level. As long as gold does not break through the 2642 line, it will remain weak. The closer the price is to 2638-42, the more favorable it is for us to short! From the daily and hourly lines, the shorts are pressing step by step, and there is still room for shorts. From the 4-hour analysis, the upper resistance is focused on the 2638-42 line, and the lower support is focused on the vicinity of 2586-92. Counterattacks during the day rely on this position to continue the main high-level short-selling strategy and follow the trend to fall back. The daily level is under pressure below this position and will continue to maintain The main strategy is to maintain the rhythm of the short-selling strategy after rebounding from high levels, and to supplement the operation strategy by buying long against the trend. Buy long against the trend and take short positions, and strictly set a stop loss. Golden operating strategy: 1. If gold rebounds, sell short at 2638-2642, stop loss at 2651, and target 2588-2593; 2. If gold returns to the 2586-2593 line, buy long, with a stop loss of 2575 and a target of 2630-35;For next week, the layout will still be mainly shorting at high levels. First of all, the first pressure level of 2638-42 will be the main reference pressure level. Gold can continue to short when it reaches 2638-42. The short-term pressure level of 2632 is our final defense level. As long as gold does not break through the 2642 line, it will remain weak. The closer the price is to 2638-42, the more favorable it is for us to short! From the daily and hourly lines, the shorts are pressing step by step, and there is still room for shorts. From the 4-hour analysis, the upper resistance is focused on the 2638-42 line, and the lower support is focused on the vicinity of 2586-92. Counterattacks during the day rely on this position to continue the main high-level short-selling strategy and follow the trend to fall back. The daily level is under pressure below this position and will continue to maintain The main strategy is to maintain the rhythm of the short-selling strategy after rebounding from high levels, and to supplement the operation strategy by buying long against the trend. Buy long against the trend and take short positions, and strictly set a stop loss. Golden operating strategy: 1. If gold rebounds, sell short at 2638-2642, stop loss at 2651, and target 2588-2593; 2. If gold returns to the 2586-2593 line, buy long, with a stop loss of 2575 and a target of 2630-35;

Gold rose and corrected yesterday, reaching a high of around 2626 before starting to decline, and this continued until the end of the US trading session, where it fell again to around 2586. Yesterday in the TradingView community, I introduced a short trading strategy at the 2625-32 retracement line, and friends who follow me can see it. The daily line also closed as a hammer line, basically approaching the previous day's retracement low, and then bounced back in the early Asian morning. This type of continuation market is also common, and it can be said that it is a relatively easy-to-operate situation. Below, we continue to pay attention to the previous low of 2580-82, and we still treat it as a rebound short sale. From the daily and hourly lines, the bears are pressing step by step, and there is still room for the bears. From the four-hour analysis, the lower resistance focuses on the 2580-82 line, and the upper resistance focuses on the 2607-12 area. The daily rebound is based on this situation to continue selling and follow the trend downward. The lower target position is still focused on breaking the bottom. The short-term and long-term strength boundary is 2640. The daily level is under pressure below this position and continues to maintain the main selling rhythm of the rebound. Opposite buy orders are cautious and light positions are involved. Gold operating strategy:1. Gold rebounds to the 2607-2612 short line, stop loss 2621, target line 2580-2583;

Gold rebounded and corrected yesterday, reaching a high of around 2626 before starting to retreat, which continued until the end of the U.S. trading session, when it fell back to around 2586 again. Yesterday in the TradingView community, I gave a trading strategy for shorting at the rebound line of 2625-32, and friends who follow me can see it. The daily line also closed in the shape of a hammer line, and basically approached the previous day's retracement low point, and then rebounded again in the early Asian morning. This kind of continuous market is also common, and it can be said to be a relatively easy-to-operate situation. Below, we continue to pay attention to the previous low point of 2580-82, and still treat it as a rebound short-selling. From the daily and hourly lines, the bears are pressing step by step, and there is still room for bears.From the 4-hour analysis, the lower resistance focuses on the 2580-82 line, and the upper resistance focuses on the vicinity of 2607-12. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to be short and follow the trend to fall. The lower target position still focuses on breaking the bottom. The short-term long and short strength watershed is 2640. The daily level is under pressure below this position and continues to maintain the main short rhythm of the rebound. Contrarian long orders are cautious and light positions participate.Gold operation strategy:1. Gold rebounds to 2607-2612 line short, stop loss 2621, target 2580-2583 line;From the overall market trend, although the gold price has been supported by a certain amount of safe-haven fund inflows recently, the direction of the Fed's monetary policy is still the key factor in determining the medium-term trend of the gold price. With the changes in the US dollar and US Treasury yields, gold may continue to maintain a range-bound trend. Investors need to pay attention to the release of economic data and changes in market sentiment. Technical analysis of gold: At the gold daily level, gold rose and fell yesterday, and the daily line closed with a small positive line with a long upper shadow, which means that the short-term will continue to maintain a weak downward adjustment; As long as the 5-day moving average is always under pressure, the momentum of this wave of suppression from 2726 will continue; today's counter-pressure point is 2613, and the 5-day moving average resistance is 2616. The rebound pressure continues to be bearish; the 4-hour cycle is still judged around the gains and losses of the 10-day moving average. If it did not withstand pressure yesterday, it will continue to be weakly suppressed; the 10-day moving average has been tested, and it is still weak after a slight puncture; At the hourly level, pay attention to the division resistance of yesterday's pullback 618 to calculate, which is about 2611. As long as the closing price tonight does not stand at 2611, then There is a high probability that it will repeat yesterday's move and weaken again. Yesterday, it was under pressure from the 618 split position at 2625 and then continued to be negative; Well, considering that the US dollar has begun to stabilize and rise, silver has already tested lower in advance, and gold may not be able to provide resistance to 2611 and 618 today. To avoid missing out, you can test it in batches in advance. The lower support first looks at 2592-83. Once If it fails, it will test the lows of the previous two days at 2587-2583; On the whole, the short-term operation of gold recommends shorting mainly on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The top short-term focus is on the 2626-2631 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2605-2600 first-line support.For next week, the layout will still be mainly shorting at high levels. First of all, the first pressure level of 2638-42 will be the main reference pressure level. Gold can continue to short when it reaches 2638-42. The short-term pressure level of 2632 is our final defense level. As long as gold does not break through the 2642 line, it will remain weak. The closer the price is to 2638-42, the more favorable it is for us to short! From the daily and hourly lines, the shorts are pressing step by step, and there is still room for shorts. From the 4-hour analysis, the upper resistance is focused on the 2638-42 line, and the lower support is focused on the vicinity of 2586-92. Counterattacks during the day rely on this position to continue the main high-level short-selling strategy and follow the trend to fall back. The daily level is under pressure below this position and will continue to maintain The main strategy is to maintain the rhythm of the short-selling strategy after rebounding from high levels, and to supplement the operation strategy by buying long against the trend. Buy long against the trend and take short positions, and strictly set a stop loss. Golden operating strategy: 1. If gold rebounds, sell short at 2638-2642, stop loss at 2651, and target 2588-2593; 2. If gold returns to the 2586-2593 line, buy long, with a stop loss of 2575 and a target of 2630-35;

Yesterday, the technical side of gold was suppressed below 2650 throughout the day, indicating a weak and volatile trend. The US market fell slightly and retreated back to the 2632 mark, fluctuating sideways. After the interest rate meeting, it quickly broke the 2600 mark downward, forming a one-sided selling trend downward. The final price of gold closed at 2. The close below 600 suppressed the long-term decline, and the overall gold price completely entered a weak one-sided selling position. In the first few days of this week, I have introduced short selling trading strategies. I believe that friends who follow my TradingView community can see that today's short selling continued in today's recovery. From the four-hour analysis, today's upper resistance is around 2625-30. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue selling and follow the trend downward. The lower target is still concerned about breaking the bottom. The dividing point of short-term and long-term strength is 2640. The daily level is under pressure below this position and continues to maintain the main short-term rhythm of the rebound. Counter trend buy orders are not involved. Gold trading strategy:1. Gold bounce to 2625-2632, sell position, stop loss 2637, target 2605-2600;

Yesterday, the technical view of gold was suppressed below 2650 throughout the day, showing a weak and volatile trend. The US market fell slightly and fell to 2632, fluctuating sideways. After the interest rate meeting, it quickly pierced the 2600 level downward, forming a one-sided short downtrend. The latest price of gold closed at 2. The close below 600 suppressed the long-term decline, and the overall gold price completely entered a weak one-sided short position. In the first few days of this week, I gave short selling trading strategies. I believe that friends who follow my TradingView community can see today, Continue short position in the recovery of the day. From the 4-hour analysis, today's upper resistance is around 2625-30. Intraday recovery depends on this position continuing to be short and following the downtrend. Alt The target is still interested in breaking the bottom. The short-term long and short strength limit is 2640. The daily level is under pressure below this position and continues to maintain the main short rhythm of the recovery. Reverse trend long orders are not included. Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold recovers to 2625-2632, short position, stop loss 2637, target 2605-2600;

Yesterday, the technical aspect of gold was suppressed below 2650 throughout the day, showing a weak and volatile trend. The U.S. market fell slightly and fell back to the 2632 mark, oscillating sideways. After the interest rate meeting, it quickly penetrated the 2600 mark downwards, forming a unilateral short downward trend. The final price of gold closed at 2 The closing below 600 suppressed the long-term decline, and the overall gold price has completely entered a weak unilateral short position. In the first few days of this week, I gave short selling trading strategies. I believe friends who follow my TradingView community can see that, today Continue to short on the day's rebound.From the 4-hour analysis, today's upper resistance is around 2625-30. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to be short and follow the trend to fall. The lower target is still concerned about breaking the bottom. The short-term long and short strength watershed is 2640. The daily level is under pressure below this position and continues to maintain the main short rhythm of the rebound. The counter-trend long orders are not involved.Gold operation strategy:1. Gold rebounds to 2625-2632, short position, stop loss 2637, target 2605-2600;At present, the gold price is oscillating around 2593. Everyone has found that if the mirror image of area A is turned up and the image of area C is turned down, it will be an extension of the box oscillation in area B. It also shows that the energy in the three areas A, B, and C has been consumed, so the next step is Bearish. In the first case, once it falls below 2590, the next support for gold will be near 2575. In the second case, if gold rebounds, the resistance level will be near 2630. As long as 2630 does not break, it is still a trading strategy of shorting at high levels. Remember, the trend is still short, don’t go against the trend and chase bulls.From a technical point of view, yesterday's U.S. gold closed with a long upper shadow line. Although it closed above the lower Bollinger Band, it was only one step away from the 2585 support, and the weakness was still obvious. Therefore, don't blindly guess where the bottom is, and continue to be bearish and short. Looking back on this week, our trading strategies are all short orders, and it is very worry-free to trade with the trend! After the rebound of the 4H cycle chart, it closed under pressure and confirmed that the pressure of the breakthrough low point coincided with the pressure of the middle track, and it was still a weak downward trend. Combined with the 1H cycle 2626 high point as the starting point of the decline, the intraday pressure remained at 2612 and 2626. Today's operation strategy: Continue to maintain high altitude, then gradually look down to 2585, and then look at 2575 and 2556 after the breakthrough! Operation suggestion: Short gold near 2615, stop loss 2622, target points 2600 and 2585!

الأخبار:رکزت الأسواق یوم الأربعاء (18 دیسمبر) على قرار أسعار الفائدة القادم من جانب بنک الاحتیاطی الفیدرالی والتوقعات الاقتصادیة ذات الصلة. ومن المتوقع أن یعلن بنک الاحتیاطی الفیدرالی عن خفض سعر الفائدة على الأموال الفیدرالیة بمقدار 25 نقطة أساس، وهو الخفض الثالث على التوالی، وهو ما سیؤثر على اتجاه الدولار الأمریکی فی الأمد القریب وسیکون له تأثیر غیر مباشر على أصول السوق الأخرى. وتتوقع السوق حالیًا بشکل عام أن یبطئ بنک الاحتیاطی الفیدرالی وتیرة خفض أسعار الفائدة فی عام 2025.ورغم أن بنک الاحتیاطی الفیدرالی قد یعلن عن خفض سعر الفائدة بمقدار 25 نقطة أساس اللیلة، إلا أن السوق لا تزال قلقة بشأن مسار أسعار الفائدة فی المستقبل. وإذا تنبأت مخططات بنک الاحتیاطی الفیدرالی بتباطؤ فی خفض أسعار الفائدة فی عام 2025، فقد یستمر الدولار الأمریکی فی التعزیز، وبالتالی ممارسة ضغوط هبوطیة على الذهب والفضة. وبالنسبة للذهب، فإن قوة الدولار الأمریکی ستجعله أکثر تکلفة فی العملات الأخرى، مما یؤدی إلى قمع الطلب علیه. من ناحیة أخرى، إذا کان خطاب بنک الاحتیاطی الفیدرالی أکثر تیسیرًا، مما یشیر إلى أن وتیرة خفض أسعار الفائدة فی المستقبل قد تکون أبطأ، فقد تنتعش المعادن الثمینة.تحلیل اتجاه الذهب:أغلق الذهب أمس بظل سفلی طویل وظل صغیر، والذی اجتمع مع نمط یوم الاثنین لتشکیل "نمط احتکاک" صغیر. إذا کان هذا النمط عند مستوى مرتفع نسبیًا مع ارتفاع مستمر، أو مستوى منخفض نسبیًا مع موجة من الانخفاض، فهذه إشارة عکسیة. سیکون قویًا؛ إذا کان فی منتصف موجة من الارتفاع أو الانخفاض، فسیستمر فی الارتفاع. قد تکون احتمالیة استمرار الانخفاض أعلى؛ من وجهة النظر الحالیة، بعد الضغطین السلبیین الرئیسیین الخمیس والجمعة الماضیین، فهو مجرد استمرار فی هذا الوقت، لذلک فإن احتمالیة استمرار الانخفاض ستکون أعلى؛ فی نفس الوقت، یتحول متوسط ​​التحرک لمدة 5 أیام إلى الاتجاه إذا ارتفع السوق أولاً الیوم، فسوف ینخفض ​​بسهولة إلى متوسط ​​التحرک لمدة 5 أیام وما دونه؛ بالطبع، إذا کانت هناک حرکة جانبیة مستدامة أخرى فی نطاق معین مثل 26 نوفمبر إلى 6 دیسمبر، فقد یضعف ذلک الزخم الهبوطی؛ فی هذا الوقت، یبلغ متوسط ​​مقاومة الحرکة لمدة 5 أیام 2655، ویبلغ متوسط ​​مقاومة الحرکة لمدة 10 أیام 2662. إذا ارتفع، فإنه لا یزال یحافظ على تصحیح هبوطی قصیر الأجل. للحصول على الدعم، استمر فی الانتباه إلى المسار السفلی للقناة الموازیة الأخیرة والمسار السفلی لقناة صاعدة سابقة، والتی تتوافق مع 2628-26 و2609 على التوالی؛ فقط إذا اخترق 2609 بشکل فعال وأغلق أقل بکثیر من هذا الموقف، فیمکنه فتح مساحة هبوطیة أخرى؛على مستوى الأربع ساعات، کانت الحرکة الإجمالیة للدورات الآسیویة والأوروبیة الیوم صغیرة جدًا. ینتظر السوق إعلان أسعار الفائدة من بنک الاحتیاطی الفیدرالی وخطاب باول فی النصف الثانی من اللیل؛ استمر فی الانتباه إلى مکاسب وخسائر متوسط ​​الحرکة لمدة 10 أیام. إذا أغلق بالقرب من هذا المتوسط ​​المتحرک أو تحته، فإن النمط العام للانحدار البطیء لا یزال قائماً؛ فقط إغلاق إیجابی کبیر فوقه یمکن أن یخترق بشکل فعال، لکن مسار المقاومة الأوسط التالی لیس بعیدًا، فقط عند 2655؛ لذلک، فی الأمد القریب، لا یزال الذهب تحت ضغط کبیر. على الرغم من وجود بعض علامات التباعد القاعی، إلا أن قوة الارتداد لا تزال غیر کبیرة؛ یبدو ضعیفًا تحت 2650، ویبدو متقلبًا تحت 2664.یمکن التدخل فی أوامر البیع القصیرة الأجل بالقرب من 2650 فی المساء. لا تفکر فی أی أوامر طویلة قبل الحدث، ما لم یخفض بنک الاحتیاطی الفیدرالی أسعار الفائدة بشکل غیر متوقع، وفکر فقط فی موجة من أوامر البیع الطویلة قصیرة الأجل للغایة. وإذا قرر بنک الاحتیاطی الفیدرالی عدم خفض أسعار الفائدة، فیمکنک البیع على المکشوف على الذهب ووضع خطط قصیرة الأجل عند مستوى خط الوسط. إذا لم یکن نطاق الحرکة الإجمالی کبیرًا، فقد یظل یتقلب بین 2680-2600؛أمس، تم قمع الجانب الفنی للذهب دون 2650 طوال الیوم، مما یدل على اتجاه ضعیف ومتقلب. انخفض السوق الأمریکی قلیلاً وتراجع مرة أخرى إلى علامة 2632، متذبذبًا جانبیًا. بعد اجتماع أسعار الفائدة، اخترق بسرعة علامة 2600 نزولًا، مشکلاً اتجاهًا هبوطیًا قصیرًا أحادی الجانب. أغلق السعر النهائی للذهب عند 2. أدى الإغلاق دون 600 إلى قمع الانخفاض الطویل الأجل، ودخل سعر الذهب الإجمالی تمامًا فی مرکز بیع أحادی الجانب ضعیف. فی الأیام القلیلة الأولى من هذا الأسبوع، قدمت استراتیجیات تداول البیع على المکشوف. أعتقد أن الأصدقاء الذین یتابعون مجتمع TradingView الخاص بی یمکنهم رؤیة ذلک، استمر الیوم فی البیع على المکشوف فی انتعاش الیوم. من تحلیل الأربع ساعات، المقاومة العلویة الیوم حوالی 2625-30. یعتمد الارتداد داخل الیوم على هذا المرکز للاستمرار فی البیع واتباع الاتجاه للهبوط. لا یزال الهدف الأدنى قلقًا بشأن کسر القاع. یبلغ مستوى فاصل القوة القصیرة والطویلة الأجل 2640. المستوى الیومی تحت الضغط أسفل هذا الموقف ویستمر فی الحفاظ على إیقاع البیع القصیر الرئیسی للارتداد. لا تشارک أوامر الشراء المعاکسة للاتجاه. استراتیجیة تشغیل الذهب: 1. ارتداد الذهب إلى 2625-2632، مرکز بیع، وقف خسارة 2637، هدف 2605-2600؛أمس، تم قمع الجانب الفنی للذهب دون 2650 طوال الیوم، مما یدل على اتجاه ضعیف ومتقلب. انخفض السوق الأمریکی قلیلاً وتراجع مرة أخرى إلى علامة 2632، متذبذبًا جانبیًا. بعد اجتماع أسعار الفائدة، اخترق بسرعة علامة 2600 نزولًا، مشکلاً اتجاهًا هبوطیًا قصیرًا أحادی الجانب. أغلق السعر النهائی للذهب عند 2. أدى الإغلاق دون 600 إلى قمع الانخفاض الطویل الأجل، ودخل سعر الذهب الإجمالی تمامًا فی مرکز بیع أحادی الجانب ضعیف. فی الأیام القلیلة الأولى من هذا الأسبوع، قدمت استراتیجیات تداول البیع على المکشوف. أعتقد أن الأصدقاء الذین یتابعون مجتمع TradingView الخاص بی یمکنهم رؤیة ذلک، استمر الیوم فی البیع على المکشوف فی انتعاش الیوم. من تحلیل الأربع ساعات، المقاومة العلویة الیوم حوالی 2625-30. یعتمد الارتداد داخل الیوم على هذا المرکز للاستمرار فی البیع على المکشوف واتباع الاتجاه للهبوط. لا یزال الهدف الأدنى قلقًا بشأن کسر القاع. یبلغ مستوى فاصل القوة القصیرة والطویلة الأجل 2640. المستوى الیومی تحت الضغط أسفل هذا الموقف ویستمر فی الحفاظ على إیقاع البیع القصیر الرئیسی للارتداد. لا تشارک أوامر الشراء المعاکسة للاتجاه. استراتیجیة تشغیل الذهب: 1. ارتداد الذهب إلى 2625-2632، مرکز بیع، وقف خسارة 2637، هدف 2605-2600؛

News: On Wednesday (December 18), the market focused on the upcoming interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the related economic outlook. The Fed is expected to announce a 25 basis point cut in the federal funds rate, which would be the third rate cut in a row, which will affect the trend of the US dollar in the short term and have an indirect impact on other market assets. The market is now broadly expecting the Fed to slow the pace of rate cuts further in 2025. Even though the Fed announced a 25 basis point rate cut tonight, the market is still concerned about the future interest rate path. If the Fed's dot plot predicts a slowdown in rate cuts in 2025, the US dollar could continue to strengthen, thus putting downward pressure on gold and silver. For gold, the strength of the US dollar will make it more expensive against other currencies and suppress its demand. On the other hand, if the Fed's rhetoric is more moderate, suggesting that the pace of future rate cuts may be slower, precious metals may rally. Gold trend analysis: Gold closed yesterday with a long alt shadow and a small shadow, which combined with Monday's pattern to form a small "friction pattern." If this pattern is at a relatively high level with a sustained rise or at a relatively low level with a down wave, this is a reversal signal. will be strong; if it is in the middle of an up or down wave, it will continue to rise. The probability of a continued decline may be higher; from the current perspective, after two major negative prints last Thursday and Friday, this is just a continuation now, so the probability of a continued decline will be higher; at the same time, the 5-day moving average is turning in the following direction: if the market pulls up first today, it will easily fall to the 5-day moving average and below; of course, if there is another continuous sideways movement in a certain range, such as November 26 - December 6, this may weaken the downward momentum; Currently, the 5-day moving average resistance is 2655, the 10-day moving average resistance is 2662. If it rises, it will still maintain a short-term downward correction. For support, continue to pay attention to the path of the last parallel channel alt and the path of a previous ascending channel alt, corresponding to 2628-26 and 2609 respectively; only if it effectively breaks 2609 and closes well below this position, it may open more downside space; At the 4-hour level, the general movement of the Asian and European sessions today is very small. The market is waiting for the Fed's interest rate announcement and Powell's speech in the second half of the night; continue to pay attention to the gains and losses of the 10-day moving average. If it closes far from or below this moving average, the general pattern of a slow decline is still maintained; only a large positive close above it can effectively break it, but the next resistance is not far away, just at 2655; therefore, in the short term, gold is still under great pressure. Although there are some signs of bottom deviation, the recovery power is still not great; it looks weak below 2650 and volatile below 2664. Short-term short orders can be intervened around 2650 in the evening. Unless the Fed unexpectedly cuts interest rates, do not consider any long orders before the event, and only consider the ultra-short-term long order wave. And if the Fed decides not to cut interest rates, then you can open a short position for gold and make short-term plans at the midline level. If the overall movement range is not large, it can still fluctuate between 2680-2600;

12.18 Gold intraday operation strategyYesterday, gold ushered in a repressive technical correction and fell in a volatile consolidation. The European market was under pressure and weakened rapidly at the 2658 mark. The US market fluctuated downwards and pierced the 2633 mark, stabilizing and closing with shock. The daily K-line closed negative. The overall short-term long and short gold price is around 2633- 2665 shock, short-term gold price In an extremely weak short position, friends who have followed my TradingView can see that the recent trend is dominated by rebound short selling. Today we continue to treat it with a rebound short selling mentality and continue to focus on the upper 2656-2665 line suppression. If the rebound does not break, continue short selling. Today, we continue to treat it with a rebound shorting mentality, continue to pay attention to the suppression of the 2656-2665 line above, and continue to short if the rebound does not break.Today, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce the interest rate decision and economic forecast summary. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Investors will pay close attention to the meeting statement and the press conference held by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell after the meeting to further judge future policy trends. The Federal Reserve's updated economic forecasts and dot plots are also the focus of the market, as they may reshape expectations for the interest rate trajectory in 2025 and 2026. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange's "Fed Watch Tool" shows that traders expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday with a 99% chance. In addition, investors are betting that the Fed will cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025. In a low-interest rate environment, non-yielding gold tends to perform well.From the current 4-hour analysis, focus on the 2656-2665 first-line suppression at the top, and the 2625-2630 first-line support at the bottom. In terms of operation, the main focus is on rebound short selling. The mid-line bulls will wait and see and move less, pursue orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Gold operation strategy:1. Gold rebounds to 2658-2665, short 2671, stop loss 2671, target 2635-2642;News: On Wednesday (December 18), the market focused on the upcoming interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the related economic outlook. The Fed is expected to announce a 25 basis point cut in the federal funds rate, the third consecutive rate cut, which will affect the trend of the US dollar in the short term and have an indirect impact on other market assets. The market currently generally expects that the Fed will further slow the pace of rate cuts in 2025. Although the Fed may announce a 25 basis point rate cut tonight, the market is still concerned about the future interest rate path. If the Fed's dot plot predicts a slowdown in rate cuts in 2025, the US dollar may continue to strengthen, thus exerting downward pressure on gold and silver. For gold, the strength of the US dollar will make it more expensive in other currencies, suppressing its demand. On the other hand, if the Fed's rhetoric is more dovish, indicating that the pace of future rate cuts may be slower, precious metals may rebound. Gold trend analysis: Gold closed yesterday with a long lower shadow and a small shadow, which combined with Monday's pattern to form a small "rubbing pattern". If this pattern is at a relatively high level with a continuous rise, or a relatively low level with a wave of decline, it is a reversal signal. will be strong; if it is in the middle of a wave of rising or falling, it will continue to rise. The probability of continued decline may be higher; from the current point of view, after the two major negative pressures last Thursday and Friday, it is just a continuation at this time, so the probability of continued decline will be higher; at the same time, the 5-day moving average turns to the direction If the market pulls up first today, it will easily fall back to the 5-day moving average and below; Of course, if there is another sustained sideways movement in a certain range like November 26 to December 6, it may weaken the downward momentum; at this time, the 5-day moving average resistance is 2655, The 10-day moving average resistance is 2662. If it rises, it still maintains a short-term bearish correction. For support, continue to pay attention to the lower track of the recent parallel channel and the lower track of a previous rising channel, which correspond to 2628-26 and 2609 respectively; only if it effectively breaks through 2609 and closes far below this position, can it open up further downward space; On the 4-hour level, the overall movement of the Asian and European sessions today is very small. The market is waiting for the Fed's interest rate announcement and Powell's speech in the second half of the night; continue to pay attention to the gains and losses of the 10-day moving average. If it closes not far from this moving average, or below it, the overall pattern of slow decline is still maintained; only a big positive closing above it can effectively break through, but the next resistance middle track is not far away, just at 2655; therefore, in the short term, gold is still under great pressure. Although there are some signs of bottom divergence, the rebound strength is still not large; it looks weak below 2650, and it looks volatile below 2664. Short-term short orders can be intervened near 2650 in the evening. Do not consider any long orders before the event, unless the Fed unexpectedly cuts interest rates, and only consider a wave of ultra-short-term long orders. And if the Fed decides not to cut interest rates, then you can go short on gold and make short-term plans at the mid-line level. If the overall movement range is not large, it may still fluctuate between 2680-2600;Yesterday, the technical aspect of gold was suppressed below 2650 throughout the day, showing a weak and volatile trend. The U.S. market fell slightly and fell back to the 2632 mark, oscillating sideways. After the interest rate meeting, it quickly penetrated the 2600 mark downwards, forming a unilateral short downward trend. The final price of gold closed at 2 The closing below 600 suppressed the long-term decline, and the overall gold price has completely entered a weak unilateral short position. In the first few days of this week, I gave short selling trading strategies. I believe friends who follow my TradingView community can see that, today Continue to short on the day's rebound. From the 4-hour analysis, today's upper resistance is around 2625-30. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to be short and follow the trend to fall. The lower target is still concerned about breaking the bottom. The short-term long and short strength watershed is 2640. The daily level is under pressure below this position and continues to maintain the main short rhythm of the rebound. The counter-trend long orders are not involved. Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold rebounds to 2625-2632, short position, stop loss 2637, target 2605-2600;