FieryTrading

GRT has had two significant bullish impulses over the last two years. With price action picking up again over the last two weeks, I'm betting that we're seeing the start of the third GRT impulse.Note the bottom dotted support line. This has held for the last two years, and is likely to do so for the time being.I'm looking for a move towards 1$. Stop below the recent swing low.

In this analysis I want to take a closer look at previous bull-cycles and Bitcoin's behaviour in the months following the halving.The vertical yellow line is the date of the halving. The purple rectangle is the price action of the 160 days following the halving.We can very clearly see a few interesting similarities between the last three cycles:- The price pumps prior to the halving.- The price trades sideways for 160 days after the halving.- The "real" bull-run starts after the sideways price action has ended.If we follow the Rule of 160, the start of the next big bull-run would be somewhere around 27 september, which is this week!I'm aware that market conditions are different now than they were back then. Still, BTC is a very cyclical asset and has historically followed calendar based trends. There's data to suggest that we have to come down (check my previous posts), but there's also data like this that suggests that the price will increase.Time will tell. Interested to hear your opinions!

In this analysis I want to take a look at BTC's short-term price action: what can we expect over the next few days?As seen on the chart, the price is currently slightly reversing from the diagonal purple resistance. It's too early to call for a reversal, but we have to be cautious nevertheless.On the bottom you can see the RSI indicator flashing overbought. The previous 2 times this occurred it caused a reversal.This is exactly the same as today: RSI overbought and hitting resistance. This is not a time to be bullish. I'd wait for the price to pierce through the resistance. For aggressive bears, however, this seems like a perfect bearish swing-trade.Price is currently reversing from the exact area that I indicated in my analysis. If this continues we can easily move back towards the 54k-53k area.

LINK has recently touched the bottom purple support again. After 4 touches, this support seems to be an important level for traders.To optimize our entry, we're going to wait for the price to touch the support again in the coming weeks. With a stop below the recent fear-low and a target around the current all-time high we can construct a very decently bullish trade.Keep in mind that it's a risky bet. BTC is slowly bleeding and alts overall look bad. However, a R/R over 20 when trading from an established long-term support is worth a bit of risk.

TAO has been forming a bullish head & shoulders pattern over the last couple of months. The pattern is still not complete, so be patient for it to complete.If you're confident that this pattern will play out and the market will reverse, take a look at the higher risk trade I put on the right. Tighter stop, so higher potential profit!

This analysis is a follow-up on my previous ID post. As of this week, ID has successfully touched the bottom support and reversed from it. Too early to tell whether this is a long-term bottom, but at least the support held strong.If you were ever considering to buy ID, this is the time.

In this analysis I want to take a closer look at the state of the market. ATOM Was a decent performing token in the previous cycle, but it sadly failed to impress investors this cycle.Most striking is that ATOM is one of the few alts which has actually made a new bear-market low. This token has never entered a bullish phase like most tokens did and has basically made lower-lows throughout.This token had a 5B marketcap just a few months ago, so we're seeing some serious money leaving this token. Naturally, there's something going on in the background which amplifies the sell-off, but I'm looking at it as a potential signal that the alt market is currently in a bad spot.There's a lot of alts that are currently not far away from their bear-market lows. If we see more and more making fresh lows it could be an indication that more selling is yet to come.

TON has seen some serious volatility as of late. The founder, the CEO of Telegram, recently got arrested in France, which send the token down.For investors who missed the boat before, this is a great chance to step in. TON has arguably the biggest app for communication behind it, so there's still room for growth once Telegram incorporates TON into it's application on a deeper level.Looking at the chart, the most logical place to buy would be from the bottom diagonal support. I put the entry at 4$ as a guide, but feel free to move it up or down depending on where the price touches the support level.

In this analysis I want to come back to an analysis I made back in March and June this year. I talked about my Logarithmic Price Bands indicator and how it has successfully predicted a BTC top around in the yellow band.Over two months after the analysis, the price has fallen through the yellow price band again.It's looking like BTC is losing upward momentum quickly. The final nail to the coffin of the bullish trend would be some sort of -10% or larger drop in a single day. Stocks are also eyeballing a recession risk with the bond yield inversion un-inversing, so it's not far-fetched that BTC can drop 30%-40% from its current value.The long-term trend is still relatively bullish, but we can't have too many weeks more of this slow bleeding, it's killing momentum and interest, which is bearish.Ideally, one would start scaling in once the price reached the green area, which is currently located between 18k - 41k. I highly doubt BTC will go below 30k again (looking at the BTC dominance), but you never know.Bulls have to really start showing some force. Not just a few days of +1% or +2%, but a real >10% break out to stop this 6-month pattern of bleeding.Share your thoughts!

In previous ETH analyses I talked about this huge 8 year wedge pattern on the ETH chart. Where my initial takes were bullish, we've seen a bearish break out as of last week.From a neutral point of view, this is 100% bad news. ETH will likely fall more and move towards the 1000$-1500$ area (yellow). Might be a hot take, but most alts have been performing extremely poor recently and are down 60%-80% from their 2024 tops. Bitcoin is holding up relatively well, but that's because the BTC dominance increased by a factor of ~1.4x this year. Money is flowing out of alts (including ETH) and moving to stables and BTC.What do you think? Will ETH drop more, or go back up?