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After a clean downtrend with lower highs and lower lows, ETH has just printed a clear local reversal from the previous demand zone around $2 480–$2 510. Price-action shows us a rounded bottom, that is holding above the 0.5 Fib from the previous pump.We now see:✅ Break of structure on the lower timeframes (check 15m) ✅ Price reclaiming 20/50 EMA with increasing volume✅ Strong green engulfing candle, coming before momentum shift✅ Stop hunter candle below support and quick recovery aka retest.Trade Idea:If ETH holds above $2510–$2520, we may see a strong move toward the next supply zone near $2750–$2780.Entry: $2520–$2530Stop-loss: Below $2440 (or around $2400 for safer invalidation below Fib 0.5)Targets:• TP1: $2666• TP2: $2720• TP3: $2770🟩 Watch for confirmation with a candle close above $2540 + volume spike.🟥 Cancel if price loses $2480 local support zone.

(c) First things first.First Top: Around $2,860 on May 6.Second Top: Around $2,830–2,850, recently.Neckline is near marked by horizontal 0.5 Fibonacci level — current setup is very clean. I would say even too clean to be truth.Price has pulled back after the second peak and is hovering near the neckline. No breakdown yet, but we are close to that._________________________________________📉 Trade Setup (If Double Top Confirms)1. Entry:→ Short below the neckline, approx. @ $2 430 with confirmation (candle should close below this level).2. Stop Loss (SL):**→ Should be above second top, around $2 860.→ High risk SL: Above recent candle high ~$2 620.3. Take Profit (TP):**→ We get it from height measure:Top was at $2 850, neckline at $2 430 = ~$400 range→ TP1: $2 430 − $420 = $2 010→ TP2: Optional — 0.618 Fib zone near $1 860_________________________________________🔁 Retest Setup (If Break + Retest Happens)If price breaks below the neckline and then comes back up to retest ~$2 430 as resistance, we are looking to:1) Weak bullish candle or bearish engulfing on retest2) Lower volume on retest3) Enter short there with a tighter SL above retest wick.⚠️ !! WARNING !!DOUBLE TOP IS Not yet confirmed – price needs to break neckline and re-test it.We are already in BULL's market, therefore FOLLOW THE GLOBAL TREND.We are expecting volatility today because of Powells speech, thereofre this setup can be a TRAP, especially, If price closes back above ~$2 600 with strength — pattern is invalidated. If you trade against the trend you should be ready for consequences. Good luck!DOUBLE TOP IS NOT CONFIRMED

🕯️ Spinning Top candle – What It Means!?A spinning top has:1. Small body (open ≈ close)2. Long upper and lower wicksWhat it shows? It shows indecision between buyers and sellers after a previous move.Ok, so what we can learn from it?📉 We can learn how to Trade a Spinning Top candle!THIS IS A SHORT SETUP (if confirmation follows)Confirmation candle: A bearish candle that closes below the spinning top’s low ($106,407)Entry: ~$106,350–106,400 (after breakdown)Stop Loss: Above the high of the spinning top: $107,350Take Profit: $103,800 (deeper pullback near EMAs)Probability: 65/35 bearish if next candle confirms rejection.Enough theory, see yourself!Spinning Top Setup Status: INVALID1. Next 1H candle body closed inside the spinning top range.2. No confirmation of breakdown.

I'm expecting BTC to retest nearest fibs, grab liqudity near 101 800 and then rally to the previous ATH levels.Let's see how it unfolds :)

Bearish pin bar appeared + bearish divergence, expecting to get into a minor correction before further growth.This post is nostly dedicated to bearish pin bar to see how it works in real time environment during active trade.Bearish pin bar worked as a charm this time. Wonderfull!

Bitcoin 4H Chart Analysis1. Trend Structure:Current trend: Strong bullish impulse from ~$84,000.Price broke previous highs (~$100,000) and is holding above.All EMAs (50/100/200) are sloping upward — confirming the uptrend.No reversal signs yet in the current structure.2. RSI (Relative Strength Index):RSI is near 80, but is it overbought?No clear bearish divergence on the 4H chart.RSI might cool off via sideway consolidation movement, not necessarily a sharp drop.3. Key Levels:Current Price: ~$103,800Immediate Resistance: $104,400–$105,000Major Resistance: $106,800–$108,000Immediate Support: $102,000 → $100,500Key Support Zone: $98,000–$99,0004. Scenarios:Scenario A – Final push to ~$105k, then pullbackPrice breaks $104.4k, reaches ~$105k, then retraces to ~$101.5k–$102k.Probability: 60%Scenario B – Strong breakout to $106k–$108k without pullbackPrice continues impulsively despite RSI being overheated.Probability: 30%Scenario C – Reversal from current level (~$103.8k)Price fails to break $104.4k, forms a double top or fakeout.Probability: 10%Conclusion:Current trend is bullish, but momentum is stretched in consolidation.Most likely: price will test $104.4k–105k and pull back slightly before deciding the next move up.If price moves above $106k cleanly, we’re likely entering a new breakout phase and on the way for the new ATH!Soo, we have met several factors that say current move could be followed by further growth.Todays low was met even at 100 718, if you took short from that area - congrats! Otherwise, keep watching!

🕰️ Timeframe: 4H📈 Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (Bullish Reversal Setup)📍 Current Price: $1,518📏 Neckline: ~$1,589 (marked in blue)🧠 Pattern Structure:Left Shoulder: ~$1,475Head: ~$1,420Right Shoulder: ~$1,470Neckline: ~$1,589Measured Target: Neckline to bottom = ~$1,589 - $1,420 = $169→ Breakout Target = $1,589 + 169 = $1,758** — aligns [perfectly] with Fib 0.65 ($1,762)**🧩 Confluence Factors:🔹 Fibonacci 0.65 @ $1762 = Target zone of the pattern🔹 Fibonacci 0.618 @ $1915 = Secondary resistance zone🔹 Clean neckline retest idea → breakout & retest of $1589 = ideal entry trigger🔹 RSI divergence (if any) & volume confirmation on breakout = final confidence boost✅ Strategy Plan:Entry Idea: Break & retest of $1589Take-Profit: $1758–1766Stop-Loss: Below right shoulder ($1465–1470 zone)Risk/Reward: ~2.5R depending on entry accuracyProbability: 65/35 bullish continuation if neckline breaks with strong volumeHalfway there50% closing right now, SL moved to break even.

📊 Ethereum (ETH/USDT) - Daily Outlook 📊🔹 Current Price: $1,809🔹 Key Levels:🟢 Support: $1,762 (Fib 0.65), $1,915 (Fib 0.618)🔴 Resistance: $2,481 (Fib 0.5), $3,047 (Fib 0.382)🔮 Possible Scenarios:📉 Scenario 1: Bounce from Fib 0.65 📈ETH is testing the key golden pocket zone ($1,762–$1,915).If buyers step in, we could see a relief rally towards the $2,000-$2,100 zone.Breaking above $2,100 could trigger a move towards $2,480 (Fib 0.5).🔹 Odds: 55/45📈 Scenario 2: Break Below 0.65, Retest Lower Levels 🚨If ETH loses $1,762, it may drop further towards the $1,600-$1,500 range.Bearish EMAs (all sloping down) suggest ongoing downside pressure.RSI is still weak, showing no strong reversal signals yet.🔹 Odds: 45/55⚠️ EMA & RSI ConsiderationsETH is trading below all key EMAs (50, 100, 200), confirming a bearish structure.RSI is hovering around 40 but not yet oversold, meaning more downside is possible.A bullish divergence on RSI would strengthen the bounce scenario.🎯 Key Watch Points:1️⃣ Holding above $1,762-$1,915 zone = bullish potential.2️⃣ Reclaiming 50 EMA ($2,100) = stronger confirmation for upside.3️⃣ Losing $1,762 = further downside risk.🚀 Short-term caution, but golden pocket zone [u](right now)[/u] could be a reversal opportunity, especially if you do believe in ETH in a long-term.Unfortunately, Ethereum decided to visit lower lows and went with scenario 2.

🔹 Current Price: 84,070🔹 Key Levels:🟢 Support: 78,189 (Fib 0.65), 72,138 (Fib 0.618)🔴 Resistance: 97,418 (Fib 0.886), 109,609 (Fib 1.0)🔮 Possible Scenarios:📉 Scenario 1: Deeper Pullback Before Rally 🚀BTC drops to the golden pocket (Fib 0.618-0.65 at 72k-78k).Bulls step in, creating a higher low.If confirmed, BTC pushes back to 98k and eventually towards 1.618 Fib at 175k.🔹 Odds: 60/40📈 Scenario 2: Immediate Rebound and Breakout 💥BTC holds current support (~84k) and bounces.Breaks through 97k resistance, confirming strength.Push towards 109k, then 134k.🔹 Odds: 40/60 (lower probability due to weak momentum signals).⚠️ Scenario 3: Bearish Case: Break Below 72kIf BTC loses 72k, we could see 56k (Fib 0.5) tested.Would invalidate bullish structure short-term.🔹 Odds: 30/70🎯 Key Watch Points:1️⃣ Reaction at 78-72k: If buyers step in aggressively, scenario 1 is more likely.2️⃣ Strength above 97k: If BTC reclaims this level, bulls take control.3️⃣ Macro environment: External factors (ETF flows, Fed policy) could accelerate or delay moves.🚀 Long-term structure remains bullish, but in short-term shakeouts are very likely.

🟢 HBAR/USDT Long Setup 🟢🔹 Entry: 0.181🔹 Take Profit: 0.273🔹 Stop Loss: 0.16🔹 Risk/Reward: ~4.3R🎯 Idea:HBAR is sitting at a key support level, showing signs of accumulation with multiple daily candle wicks rejecting the lower zones. The EMAs are stacked bearishly, but price is consolidating at a long-term demand zone, increasing the probability of a breakout.⚡️ Bullish Triggers:1️⃣ Multiple rejections of the 0.18 zone suggest strong demand.2️⃣ Volume profile hints at absorption—sellers are getting exhausted.3️⃣ A move above 0.196 could trigger momentum buyers, confirming the uptrend.⚠️ Bearish Risks:If BTC dumps, alts will likely follow.Breakdown below 0.17 invalidates the setup.Lack of volume could result in a slow grind rather than a clean breakout.📌 Plan:If price gains strength above 0.196, I might look to add more.If we struggle to hold above 0.20, I’ll watch for weakness and consider trailing SL.A clean break of 0.22 could accelerate the move towards TP.Fingers crossed! Let's see how this plays out. 🚀Okaaay, let's go!stops happens