EmmaChartist

Hello everyone, after a strong rally to new highs, gold (XAU/USD) is entering a necessary corrective phase before deciding its next direction. On the H1 timeframe, price is temporarily consolidating around $4,090 – a key support area where buyers are beginning to show signs of defence. From a technical perspective, the overall bullish structure remains intact as price continues to form liquidity zones followed by FVG fills. The $4,090–$4,080 zone still acts as the short-term defensive line for buyers. If this area holds, gold may rebound to retest $4,120–$4,130 – a region where selling pressure previously intensified. Ichimoku Cloud remains below price and has yet to signal a bearish reversal, indicating that this move is still a correction rather than distribution. On the news side, gold continues to receive medium-term support from expectations of a Fed rate cut in December, a cooling US dollar, declining bond yields and lingering geopolitical risks. While US–China trade dialogue may offer temporary signs of easing tension, institutional capital still favours defensive positioning, keeping gold within its broader uptrend. In the short term, I prioritise the scenario of gold extending its correction to gather liquidity around $4,080–$4,090 before potentially resuming its upside. Only a decisive break below this zone with strong bearish momentum would expose the psychological level at $4,000. What do you think about gold’s current trend – is this just a healthy pullback or an early warning of a deeper decline?

Hello everyone, after last week's sharp sell-off, the market is gradually stabilising, and Bitcoin is showing notable signs of recovery. The price is currently holding steady around $110,500 – not yet a breakout signal, but enough to indicate that buyers are still present and capital is cautiously returning. On the H4 chart, the price structure has shifted into a recovery consolidation phase after forming a temporary bottom near $108,000. This is a crucial support zone—not only because the price has bounced multiple times, but also due to continuous bottom-fishing liquidity, suggesting that despite sellers' efforts to push lower, they have not been able to break through the buyers' defence. The nearest resistance zone is at $111,800–$112,500, where FVGs overlap with the Ichimoku cloud's edge, making it a significant test for the rally's strength. A breakout above this level would confirm a new uptrend, targeting $114,200–$116,000. Key observations: The Ichimoku cloud is narrowing, signalling an impending breakout. Additionally, each recent dip has seen strong absorption, a characteristic of smart money accumulation. Regarding news, the current environment supports a recovery scenario: Risk-on sentiment is returning, with capital moving out of USD and into risk assets like crypto. US bond yields are declining, reducing pressure on Bitcoin. Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to attract capital, reinforcing confidence in the long-term trend. The market is awaiting US economic data (CPI, PCE) – weaker figures could give the Fed more reason to ease, benefiting Bitcoin. I lean towards the scenario where the price continues to consolidate around $109,500–$111,000 before breaking out to $112,500. Only a significant drop below $108,000 with high volume would reverse the trend. For now, the bulls are back—but they're moving wisely, quietly, and without fanfare.

Hello everyone, Gold is currently trading around 4,112 USD on the H4 chart after a fairly deep correction. Many traders seem concerned seeing strong selling pressure, but a closer look at price action reveals this is merely a technical pullback, not a signal of a long-term trend reversal. After the parabolic surge, gold paused due to profit-taking. The dense Fair Value Gaps (FVG) in the 4,050–4,130 USD area indicate plenty of “unfinished business” — liquidity has not been fully tested, stop-losses not swept, supply and demand not fully balanced. The 4,050 USD zone is key support, both technically and psychologically for buyers. Holding above this level preserves the H4 uptrend structure. Meanwhile, the 4,130 USD zone presents a short-term resistance — FVG combined with the Ichimoku cloud — and gold must decisively handle this region to continue higher. From the news perspective, the market is caught between two forces: anticipation of Fed rate decisions and the upcoming US CPI, which could trigger volatility; versus easing US–China tensions, temporarily reducing safe-haven demand. The recent selling was mostly profit-taking after a 5.5% rally earlier this month; buyers haven’t exited, they are merely reorganising positions before returning. My preferred scenario: gold retests 4,050–4,070 USD, sweeps remaining liquidity, and then bounces to test 4,130 USD. Only if 4,050 USD breaks with high volume would the market likely head toward 4,000 USD, where buyers will defend aggressively. If it holds, a recovery is expected and gold could target higher levels. Do you see this as a normal pullback or a precursor to a sharp drop? Share your thoughts below.

Hello everyone, looking at the current price structure of ETH/USD, I believe the market is in a technical accumulation phase following a sharp decline, rather than showing clear reversal signals. ETH is hovering around $3,825 after a small rebound from $3,780. This is a short-term support zone, but buyers remain weak as the price is still below the Ichimoku cloud on the 4H chart – confirming that the primary trend remains bearish. The Fair Value Gap areas at $3,900–$4,100 act as dynamic resistance, and any rebound toward these levels is likely to face selling pressure. Meanwhile, macro news continues to weigh on crypto, with the USD strengthening after strong PMI data and markets awaiting the GDP – PCE report at the end of the week for clues on the Fed’s next move. When liquidity is cautious, ETH struggles to gain momentum. Given the current picture, I lean toward a scenario where ETH tests the $3,750–$3,780 support zone, potentially sweeping liquidity down to $3,700 before bouncing back toward $3,950–$4,050. However, if $3,700 is broken with high volume, the $3,500 area becomes the next target for sellers. Do you think ETH will hold $3,780, or continue to drop deeper? Share your thoughts in the comments below.

Hello everyone, the gold market just experienced a dramatic session, with the front-month futures contract falling over 5.39% in a single day, marking the deepest drop since June 2013. This sharp correction follows an extended period of rapid gains, forcing many traders to reassess the short-term trend. Main reasons behind the sharp drop Correction after strong growth: Gold has surged over 128% from its 2011 baseline, but the lack of intermittent pullbacks created expectations for a significant retracement. When the correction occurred, it happened quickly and steeply, just as many veteran traders anticipated. Divergence with silver: Although silver fell 7.2%, its decline was “modest” compared to gold. Gold’s parabolic rise contrasted with silver’s steadier gains, reinforcing the likelihood that gold would continue adjusting while silver maintained a sustainable upward trajectory. Historical surge dynamics: From lows around 2,500 USD/oz, gold soared past 4,200 USD with hardly any meaningful consolidation. A long-term surge without pullbacks almost inevitably leads to sharp reversals, clearly illustrated by yesterday’s drop. With the Double Top pattern fully formed and the neckline broken, I expect gold could fall to the strong support zone around 4,000 USD or lower if the decline continues. Current resistance stands at 4,200 USD, a level difficult for gold to reclaim in the short term. The market is confirming a downtrend, so traders should monitor the support zones closely to identify optimal entry points. Do you think this is a buying opportunity at lower gold prices or just a temporary dip? Share your thoughts below!

Hello everyone, SOLUSDT is pausing around 185 USD after a corrective pullback from the 200 USD area. This is not a negative signal but a market rebalancing phase following the prior uptrend. The bullish structure remains intact with a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, showing no signs of a trend break. Currently, price is retesting the key support at 185 USD, which aligns with a Fair Value Gap (FVG) that attracts liquidity and often triggers renewed buying interest. If this zone holds, SOL is likely to rebound towards 190 USD before challenging the psychological 200 USD level. Conversely, a clear break below 185 USD could see deeper FVG zones around 180 USD or 175 USD acting as the next equilibrium points. Trading volume is declining while price moves sideways – indicating an accumulation phase awaiting a new catalyst rather than a sell-off. From a fundamental perspective, the Solana ecosystem continues to attract capital from DeFi and AI sectors, with no negative news suggesting a reversal. Current volatility largely depends on general market sentiment and Bitcoin’s behavior. The sensible strategy is to monitor price reaction at 185 USD: a clear bounce may warrant trend-following buys targeting 190–200 USD, while a break should prompt patience until the 180 USD zone before making any decisions – avoiding FOMO at all costs. Do you think 185 USD represents a buying opportunity or a signal of deeper downside? Share your perspective below!

Hello everyone, Tesla has staged a notable recovery today, with price trading around $447.43, up 1.82% from the previous session. Importantly, the price has broken above the $443.70 resistance level, signalling that buying momentum has returned to the market. Currently, the price structure leans towards a short-term bullish outlook. If Tesla can sustain above $445, the upward move may continue toward the $455–$460 region, which is seen as the next resistance zone. However, if the price weakens and falls back under $440, a corrective move toward $430 would come back into play. This remains a key support area to watch. From a news perspective, market sentiment is being strongly supported. CEO Elon Musk has projected that Tesla’s vehicle sales could grow by 20–30% next year, easing investor concerns around the robotaxi project. Following his remarks, Tesla shares listed in Frankfurt surged as much as 12%, reaching their highest level in two weeks, suggesting that confidence is gradually returning to the stock. So what do you think – will Tesla hold above $445 and head toward $460, or will it retest $440 before any continuation? Share your view below!

Hello everyone, Gold continues to maintain a constructive structure after its strong recovery from the 4,100 USD zone, currently trading around 4,345 USD/oz on the H4 chart. Technically, the bullish structure remains intact as previous Fair Value Gaps (FVG) below price are still unfilled and price continues to respect the upper boundary of the Ichimoku cloud (Kumo). As long as price stays above 4,300 USD, upside potential toward 4,400–4,450 USD remains valid. However, a healthy retest toward 4,200–4,100 USD (overlapping FVG + lower Kumo boundary) should not be ruled out as part of liquidity collection. On the macro side, fundamentals continue to support the bullish bias. Reuters reported gold gained over 2% in the latest session as markets increased bets on Fed rate cuts amid cooling economic signals in the US. Concerns over a potential US government shutdown also boosted demand for safe-haven assets. HSBC recently raised its gold forecast for 2025–2026, citing strong central bank accumulation, while Goldman Sachs emphasised that this rally is driven by genuine capital flows—not emotional fear. Financial Times, however, noted that the “debasement trade” effect (gold rising strongly due to a weaker USD) has yet to fully ignite, suggesting the uptrend still has room to extend. I remain bullish overall. Above 4,300 USD, buying pullbacks remains my preferred strategy, targeting 4,400–4,450 USD initially and potentially 4,500 USD if momentum strengthens. A dip towards 4,200 USD would not negate the trend—instead, it would provide a better accumulation opportunity. If trading this setup, I would protect long positions with a stop-loss below 4,200 USD given upcoming high-impact events such as US GDP, CPI and Fed speeches. In short, gold continues to follow a medium-term uptrend. Rather than chasing tops, it is wiser to wait patiently for clean entry points and trade with the trend, not against it.

Hello everyone, Ethereum is showing a convincing recovery after the recent sharp decline from the 4,400–4,500 region. On the H4 timeframe, price formed a short-term bottom near 3,780 before bouncing, maintaining a Higher Low structure – a signal that buyers have begun to regain partial control of market momentum. More importantly, ETH has just broken through the final Fair Value Gap of the previous downtrend and is now approaching the key resistance zone at 4,100–4,200 – which aligns with the upper boundary of the Ichimoku Kumo and a significant historical supply zone. This will be a decisive region to determine whether the ongoing move is merely a pullback or the beginning of a new bullish leg toward 4,300–4,350 or even 4,420 where another unfilled FVG remains. On the macro side, current sentiment slightly favours the bulls. US bond yields have cooled off, putting pressure on the Dollar and allowing capital to rotate back into risk assets like crypto. The market is also pricing in a 70% probability of a Fed rate cut in December 2025, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as gold and Ethereum. Adding to that, Ethereum Spot ETF approval is entering its final review phase, raising expectations of institutional inflows – similar to the effect seen with Bitcoin previously. However, I remain cautiously optimistic as the upside bias has yet to be confirmed without a decisive candle close above 4,200. This area may trigger short-term profit-taking. If ETH faces rejection here, a pullback to 4,000–4,050 would be considered healthy, and a deeper correction towards 3,880–3,820 (bullish FVG + previous structure support) is also possible before bulls accumulate enough liquidity for the next leg. Do you think ETH breaks 4,200 from here – or one more liquidity sweep before launch?

Hello everyone, Gold has entered a corrective phase after reaching the historical peak at 4,380–4,400 USD/oz. Selling pressure has emerged, triggering a strong bearish candle and sending price back to retest the 4,220–4,240 USD zone — also the lower boundary of the Kumo cloud on the Ichimoku system, acting as short-term support. At the moment, gold is attempting a slight recovery around 4,265 USD but still trades inside the Kumo cloud, suggesting a sideways correction after an overheated rally. On the H1 chart, the bullish structure has temporarily weakened with a sequence of Lower Highs and Lower Lows forming. The 4,280–4,310 USD area is a red Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, currently serving as the nearest resistance where sellers may re-enter. Meanwhile, the thick Kumo cloud continues to reflect persistent corrective pressure, especially as recent declines were supported by rising volume — confirming profit-taking at peak levels. From a fundamental perspective, this retracement is a healthy “cool-down” following nine consecutive weeks of gains. Gold surged nearly 25% in just two months — an exceptionally rare move in history — so profit-taking was inevitable. Additionally, sentiment has been influenced by the Federal Reserve’s lack of clear commitment regarding the timing of rate cuts. Recent US macro data such as CPI and retail sales exceeded expectations, giving the Fed justification to maintain a cautious stance. This has boosted the US Dollar Index (DXY) back toward 106.5, while the US 10-year Treasury yield has moved near 4.1%, reducing gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. Risk sentiment has also improved as geopolitical tension between the US and China cooled and the US government avoided a shutdown, prompting some safe-haven flows to rotate out of gold. Several analysts agree that this pullback is constructive for the broader trend, with Alex Kuptsikevich from FxPro noting that gold was “overbought” and needed a rebalancing phase, while Phillip Streible of Blue Line Futures reiterated that the long-term trend remains bullish. In the short term, gold may continue to move within the 4,220–4,280 USD range, with a potential retest of the 4,210–4,220 USD zone — the lower boundary of the Kumo cloud. If buyers step back in and price breaks above 4,285 USD, a rebound toward the 4,300–4,315 USD FVG resistance zone is likely before the market decides its next direction. Only a confirmed break below 4,200 USD would reinforce further downside toward 4,150 USD. Conversely, holding above 4,200 USD would suggest gold is still in a healthy consolidation phase and retains the potential to revisit 4,300–4,350 USD in the coming sessions.