Crypto4light

Friendly reminder: Celestia seed round in 2021 was priced at $0.01, so all those funds that participated in that round are still over 6000% in profit at current values! Even those who got in on the 2022 rounds at $0.09 cents are still over 500% in profit! So I hope you didn't miss the main analysis I posted when TIA was at its peak values! Everyone was laughing back then, saying I don't understand the technology, and stories about Celestia dropping below $1 seemed like pure fantasy to them! Now it's reality, and another reality is that Celestia as a protocol has about 50 active users per day + around $200 in daily profit from fees, and that's with $55 million raised in investor rounds! Probably only now will it start to become clear to you that fundamental metrics are just a game of marketing)) The key is simply to study the price delivery algorithm! So in the worst-case scenario, TIA will just get delisted from exchanges, like they've done with many projects! Then of course the plan will be canceled! But with positive altcoin dynamics and if Bitcoin dominance drops below 50%, then in theory we'll first close the local downward order flow, hitting the listing price first, then the exit line price for take profit, then the maximum, which in the most positive scenario is the equilibrium of the entire downward move from the peak values! Around $12!

Understanding the conditions in which the price is at the moment gives us the context within which we will use the tools. Its just a 4 most common price moves on a charts what you can find on different timeframes Expansion - It's an impulse growth or fall in the price. Reversal - Change in the direction of price movement, opposite to the trend Correction - It's a movement within the structure Consolidation - Sideways price movement; conditions under which it is impossible to clearly define the direction The first thing to define before opening a position is the context. Taking into account the structure and liquidity zones, determine where the price is now and where it is most likely to go. When the direction is clear, look at the points of interest (POI) from which you can expect a reaction. Inside the zone of interest, we are waiting for confirmation to enter the position. Confirmation is a change of structure in a later period, which confirms the validity of the POI. Thanks for reading

Just what if....hard to adjust by timing! Because macro to much affect the sp500/ gold and crypto. But just an idea Probably global plan about 139k like a top for Bitcoin still relevant in October / November BTCUSDT.PFor current moment direction and model done

Simple channel on BTCUSDT.P retest of equilibrium with main liquidations of 20x - 40x leverages around 113600 this weekend or if we will see some bad macro news drop by end of 12-15 august 109900 keep charts simple

For WIFUSDT crucial moment will be really soon! For upside move we need break the local structure and reach over than marked level3rd Feb we got a signal to buy and could fix +29% profitNow with bigger divergency and money inflow on 4h and 12h we need move much higher if we want to see shift of the trendIf we will not break the structure next steps is 0.53 and even 0.38 cents for Wif. what i dont like its a stop at 0.55 round numbers! so often we come back and sweep liquidity at this round numbers levels!Global targets for spring 2025 still the same conservative 2.75 and new ath around 7$ by eof Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.---•Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ •For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!

Market activity measures the level of trading intensity in a market. It includes transaction volume, price fluctuations, supply and demand, and how different participants interact. In crypto, this is reflected in metrics like trading volume, liquidity, and order book depth. Example: Bitcoin ( BTC ) trading volume spikes when major news (e.g., ETF approvals) or macroeconomic events occur. This increased activity shows how market sentiment drives price movement. Who Are the Market Participants? Market participants are anyone buying or selling an asset. In crypto, this includes: - Retail traders (individuals buying BTC, ETH, etc.) - Institutional investors (hedge funds, large companies) - Market makers (liquidity providers ensuring smooth order flow) - Miners & validators (securing the network and earning rewards) The more participants in a market, the more liquid it becomes, making price movements smoother and reducing volatility. Example: Bigger CEX have a deeper liquidity than a small DEX, meaning orders execute faster with less slippage. Price + Time = Value (Crypto Perspective) One fundamental rule in markets is: ➡️ Price + Time = Value This means that an asset’s value is determined not just by its price but also by how long people are willing to hold or trade it. Example: A long-term BTC holder who bought at $1,000 and held for 5 years sees a much different "value" than a day trader who flips BTC in minutes. Additionally, crypto markets always have price levels that attract buyers and sellers (support and resistance levels). Example: Bitcoin's $20,000 level in past cycles acted as both strong support and resistance, attracting buyers when the price dipped and sellers when it surged. Market Analysis & Price Patterns (Normal Distribution in Crypto) To analyze market activity, traders break price movements into time segments. One useful tool is the normal distribution curve, which shows where most trades happen. Example: In on-chain analysis, if most Bitcoin transactions happen between $40,000–$45,000, this becomes the value area where market participants agree on price. Crypto analogy: Think of a whale buying BTC in chunks over days, forming a distribution pattern. If they stop buying, price trends shift. Supply & Demand in Crypto (Using a Bakery Analogy) Markets function based on supply and demand. Imagine a bakery: In the morning, fresh bread (high demand, low supply) = higher prices By evening, leftover bread (low demand, excess supply) = discounted prices The same happens in crypto: New altcoin launch: Limited supply, high hype = price pumps Token unlocks: More supply enters the market = price dumps Example: When a project like Aptos (APT) unlocks millions of tokens, supply increases, and the price often drops due to selling pressure. Short-Term vs. Long-Term Market Trends Markets move in different timeframes—hourly, daily, weekly, and even yearly trends. Short-term example: Ethereum’s price swings daily based on trader speculation. Long-term example: Bitcoin halving cycles create multi-year trends that drive overall growth. Example: In 2020, BTC was under $10K, but by 2021, it reached $69K due to long-term macro factors. Crypto Market Makers (Real-World Examples) Bitcoin Miners: Similar to a car company adjusting production, Bitcoin miners decide whether to sell mined BTC or hold it for higher prices. 2️⃣Whales & Institutions: Like property developers adjusting prices, whales accumulate crypto at low prices and distribute at highs. 3️⃣Liquidity Pools in DeFi: Like restaurants pricing meals based on demand, liquidity providers adjust fees and slippage in Uniswap pools. Example: Alameda Research (before FTX collapsed) was a key market maker, providing liquidity across major crypto exchanges. Long-Term Disruptions (Crypto Example: Ethereum vs. Bitcoin) Long-term players reshape entire markets over time. Example: Bitcoin ( BTC ) was the first mover, dominating the crypto market for years. Ethereum (ETH) introduced smart contracts, shifting activity from BTC to DeFi, NFTs, and Web3. Now, new chains like Solana challenge ETH, forcing changes in network fees and scalability. This mirrors how Japanese car companies disrupted the U.S. market, forcing competitors to evolve. How to Spot Fair Prices in Crypto? Markets always seek equilibrium—a price where buyers and sellers agree. Example: If a new altcoin doubles in price, but trading volume drops, it signals overvaluation. If on-chain data shows steady BTC accumulation, it suggests a fair price floor forming. ➡️ Traders watch repeated transactions to gauge market sentiment. Consumer Awareness in Crypto As investors, we naturally understand how price and time impact value. However, we also need to watch long-term market participants like: Whales (Smart Money): Who is accumulating? On-Chain Data: Are large wallets buying or selling? Institutional Trends: Are hedge funds moving into crypto? 📌 Example: When Tesla bought #bitcoin in 2021, it signaled institutional confidence, but when they sold, market sentiment shifted. Final Thoughts Crypto markets follow the same supply and demand principles as traditional markets but with 24/7 trading, higher volatility, and unique tokenomics. Understanding market activity helps traders anticipate moves and make better investment decisions. 🚀 Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- •Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ •For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!

The main plan for the bull market was shared back in June 2023, but today, let's focus on mid-term targets and refine key points. VTHOUSDT 1. Accumulation ZonesClear accumulation zones are highlighted on the global chart.If you accumulated near these zones, it would make sense to take partial profits after the new listing on a Korean exchange.2. Mid-Term TargetsMid-term targets are clearly marked on the chart.The red block represents a logical zone for profit-taking.If the timeline aligns with spring 2025 and Bitcoin dominance drops to around 40%, it would be a good point to exit the position completely (100%).3. Belief in ATHIf you believe in a potential all-time high (ATH), you can wait for higher targets. This analysis reflects my personal observations.4. Weekly Chart CompressionOn the weekly chart, we’ve partially removed the compression that formed back in 2022, but not entirely.5. Market Mood IndicatorMy Market Mood indicator perfectly highlighted the accumulation zone during the capitulation phase.Everyone who wanted to accumulate VTHO had plenty of time to do so.6. Money Power IndicatorMy Money Power indicator shows:Blue columns represent where large players accumulated VTHO.Orange columns represent where partial profit-taking occurred.At this point, I believe we can continue moving toward major targets.Hope you enjoyed the content I created! You can support this idea with your likes and comments so more people can see it.✅ Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only, not for financial investment purposes.Check out my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section below ↓For more ideas, please hit "Like" and "Follow"!

The ELA token, a Layer-2 solution for Bitcoin, shows potential to emerge as one of the hidden gems of 2025, provided the project gains sufficient marketing traction. The team is actively working on utility improvements, but the token currently lacks widespread popularity. ELAUSDT Key Technical Insights - Accumulation PhaseFrom a technical perspective, ELA has been in a prolonged accumulation phase, indicating a possible preparatory stage for future upward movement.The monthly fair value gap is likely to act as a magnet for price, suggesting further upward potential.Observations on the Money Power Indicator highlight zones where large players have accumulated positions, hinting at a foundational strength in the market structure.On the Market Mood Indicator, the monthly chart shows we are currently in the zone of disbelief following a period of capitulation—a traditionally bullish signal.There are two key liquidity pools above the current price levels that are likely to act as magnets for future price action.With the right marketing push and continued development of its utility, ELA could position itself as a standout performer in the upcoming market cycle. Based on its market capitalization, reaching the $35 range seems highly achievable, aligning with historical patterns and technical indicators.Hope you enjoyed the content I created! You can support this idea with your likes and comments so more people can see it.✅ Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only, not for financial investment purposes.Check out my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section below ↓For more ideas, please hit "Like" and "Follow"!

The Sui (SUI) token has reached a new All-Time High (ATH), marking a significant milestone in its journey. Let’s analyze what might be ahead based on the IAP model and current market conditions. SUIUSDT Perfect Model ExecutionAccording to my IAP model, everything has played out beautifully so far.After the recent correction, we’ve established a new Fibonacci structure, highlighting the next local levels to watch.Potential Long-Term TargetsBased on the model, 3000-5000% growth seems plausible in the upcoming cycles.Targets of $11 or even $20 for SUI could be within reach, given strong market momentum.The Money Power Indicator on the monthly timeframe reveals a capital outflow, which raises some caution about the current accumulation phase.While this isn’t an immediate red flag, it’s something to keep an eye on as the market progresses.Spring 2025: A Green Season for Altcoins?My outlook for Spring 2025 remains optimistic, with expectations of a major altcoin movement driving substantial growth across the board, including SUI.StrategyConsider positioning at support levels within the Fibonacci retracement.Look for signals of institutional capital inflow or accumulation to confirm a sustained upward trend.Keep an eye on macro conditions and timing, as 2025 could be pivotal for altcoin rallies.Hope you enjoyed the content I created! You can support this idea with your likes and comments so more people can see it.✅ Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only, not for financial investment purposes.

The SushiSwap (SUSHI) token has an interesting story heading into the next altseason. While many tokens avoided updating their historical lows, SUSHIUSDT stands out as one of the few that broke below its November 2020 low—proving that in crypto, never say never!The levels we’ve outlined suggest that SUSHI is trading within a clear accumulation zone.A continuation of the uptrend appears likely, targeting the green block region.Market Capitalization TargetsSUSHI's previous high market capitalization reached $3.5 billion, aligning with the green block level. This could act as a mid-term target for the upcoming cycle.If you believe in SUSHI breaking into uncharted territory, the higher targets have been marked for reference.The largest purchases by major players were highlighted on the monthly timeframe.This institutional activity strongly supports the potential for a significant upward movement.Accumulation near the current levels aligns with both technical and market sentiment indicators.Mid-term traders could consider targeting the $3.5 billion market cap level, while long-term holders can set their sights on a potential new ATH.Hope you enjoyed the content I created! You can support this idea with your likes and comments so more people can see it.✅ Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only, not for financial investment purposes.Check out my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section below ↓For more ideas, please hit "Like" and "Follow"!