
BrettFogle
@t_BrettFogle
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BrettFogle

In this video I revisit my 2-year old study showing the potential path for Bitcoin to $150k to $200k and not only how we might get there, but the 11 reasons WHY. This is the same Fibonacci series that predicted the 2021 cycle high at the 3.618 (Log chart) and used the same way this cycle, with some interesting forecasts of: 1.618 - $100k 2.618 - $150k 3.618 - $200k There are quite a few confluences that we get to $150k like the measured moves from both the recent mini bull flag, but also the larger one from earlier this year. Also I touch on revisiting my study from 2 years ago where I may have discovered the retracemebnt multiple that correctlty predicted and held the 2022 lowes around $16k. It's a very interesting number you all will recognize (buy may not agree with). Let's see what happens! Let me know if I missed anything.. Please like, comment and share if you like the analysis. More ways to follow me in my bio.

BrettFogle

This is a very interesting study I started 2 years ago, and found a fascinating correlation with a specific number everyone is aware of, but not typically associated with trading or retracement levels... I'll reveal all this in the video, plus the NEW element we used to *potentially* reverse engineer the market top of THIS current cycle, which I think comes in end of the year. In prior Fib studies you can refer to in my Bio area, I've been forecasting $150k as the first 2025 cycle high, then a 20%-25% correction, followed by a push to $200k. Nothing terribly mind-bending there. But THIS study looks at the forecasting ability of the Trend-Based Fib Extension, and in this video we look at how it can also be used to reverse engineer the top price. Speculative at best, I get it. But very interesting, and wouldn't it be amazing if we see it play out. Let me know your thougnts and comments! (And I won't be mad if you suggest it for Editor's Pick!) Cheers, Brett ----- See my bio for links to more of what I do and how to find me online.

BrettFogle

In this video I cover Bitcoin's likely next move and why I sold my Bitcoin at $106k, plus where I think it bottoms and WHEN based on the next likely daily and weekly cycle low Feb 28th. Also price targets on Bitcoin, how and when it could get to $150k, why it dumps after that and after a summer correction, could rocket to $200k (examining the 11 factors to propel this). And we look at the longer term time frame for Bitcoin on the Monthly and 2 Month chart, where the RSI, Stoch/RSI, and MACD are showing early signs of topping out (but not likely there yet). I also revisit the USDT.D study I've been posting about, which is still very much a near-term concern, but plays nicely into the boom / bust timeline I've outlined above. Plus, a quick reviw of my 4-hour IBIT study, and how the 'Gaps' have been acting as magnets for price, much like the CME gaps, which typically fill. Lastly, we look at some Atlcoins poised for 10x, 30x, even 250x rebounds and long-term targets. So this is an action-packed video! Hope you enjoy! Leave a like and comment, and check out my bio for more tools and resources :)

BrettFogle

I just re-created this study which I heard about today, showing that the new market top for Bitcoin is typically where the 200 Week SMA crosses above the prior market cycle high. We'll also be watching the Pi Cycle Top signal, along with our 'Bear Market' confirmation signals which we developed last cycle (link in bio), which seem to signal programmatic selling... But this study is a simple way to prepare for and help determine when it's time to get out. The more signals pointing toward similar levels, the better. Personally I believe we could push up close to $150k in Febuary / March, followed by a 30% - 50% correction into the summer... Then a rip roaring rally to $200k by October / November 2025. Then it's Bear Market City. What do you think?

BrettFogle

In this video I break down what I'm seeing with Bitcoin and the possibility for an even deeper correction into the Green Buy-Block zones. I also revsit my Fibonacci projections for this cycle, with initial targets of up to $150k and ulitmately a $200k high target based on the 3.618 Fib retracement projection. There's confluence with these targets using the measured moves from the recent Bull Flag breakout as well. The BIG question is, where do we go from here? Here we check out the Pi Cycle Top indicator, and I make some potential projections... And propose the idea of a dual-cycle top, like we saw in 2013. It makes sense, that we see a Jan / February pump to new highs, followed by a recessionary bust in Q2 (March) into the summer and potentially into Q3. But then rally strongly up from there in Q4 as Oct, November and December are typically very bullish in a 4 year cycle. Either way, I think $200k is the cycle top, if we can get there. The USDT.D study has also been updated, to show 'sticky' support here on the lower trendline, allowing BTC to push higher again above $100k and even rally higher per above. But then we'll likely see a reversion to the mean, with the USDT.D and Total Market Cap / Bitcoin prices. Check out the video, and share some love with a Like, Comment, and Share. Best to luck to everyone! - Brett

BrettFogle

This is a shorter version of my video yesterday, just recapping what I've been seeing and forecasting in these markets. Didn't expect to see the rally to new ATH so quickly. Or the DXY to push up higher at the same time... But here we are breaking and apparently holding new ATH, so I do think we continue to push higher. Even if we get one more sell off, to re-test the ATH as support. Yesterday's pump was part short-squeeze, and part 1 1B in BTC ETF inflows. In this video we look at BTC and SOL, which I believe will lead the next leg of the Bull. Also an interesting speculative study on the Pi Cycle Top, and the idea we could see a double top or dual-cycle in the next 12 months, like we did in 2013. As well as recapping why my targets are $100k (conservative), $150k (base case), and $200k (aggressive) along with confluent targets based on measured moves from the Bull Flag breakout. Let me know what you think, and if I missed anything! Brett

BrettFogle

Hi everyone, In this video I break down how my Bitcoin forecast over the last few weeks has been playing out (nearly exactly) and where we likely go from here... I think Bulls are in control, and we'll see Bitcoin at ATH to $80k in the coming weeks... We review an article form POMP today, saying that who wins the election isn't really that important, and showing very bullish outomes after every previous election cycle... But I do think a Trump win is likely, and will propel Bitcoin higher faster. We look at the DXY and how that's rolling over nicely here, potentially taking us to "Bitcoin Rally Zone" and even the Vall-halla "Bitcoin Super Pump Rally Zone" where prices can really PUMP! I'm hearing more and more people talk about an early left-translated cycle and parabolic blow-off top by the end of THIS year, followed by an everything bubble bursting and deflationary bust. This is where a Trump win could save the long-tail of the 4-year cycle, by saving the economy. If nothing else, a Trump win would be more pro-crypto because it's not jus him but a very pro-crypto cabinet with RFK, Elan Musk, Cythia Lummis, and more. But we're not here to talk about politics! It's the markets reaction to the news, that matters. I've said 100 times THIS year and EVERY year... "Show me the charts, and I'll tell you the news". Lastly, I review my now Top 11 factors that could push Bitcoin to $100, $150k, and even $200k. And the charts showing the same... Interesting that the 1.618, 2.618, and 3.618 almost perfectly align with $100k, $150k, and $250k. I also show how these targets can be achieved by measured moves of the Bitcoin Bull-Flag breakouts, using 2 different scenarios. Let me know what you think below, and as always would appreciate a like, tip or share with someone you like in the crypto world! I we can get to 100 likes, I'll do more of these on a regular basis.. and do an end of week post-election breakdown. Thanks, and thanks again to TradingView for making this great platform we all use. Brett Fogle Moonstream Crypto

BrettFogle

In this video we examine the current Bitcoin chart at resistance. Most likely, we retrace here for a bit and then push higher into the next resistance zone of around $70k and possibly to retest the previous ATH zone @72k - 74k. Lots of sell pressure at the previous ATH which can also be seen on the Total Market Cap, using our Order Block Detector. Not much happening now and until we can find the money flow and volume to push up. Many people likely waiting for the election on Nov 5th, which coincides with the market cycle low according to our Market Cycle models (based on Hurst's research). Let me know your thoughts below, and please like the video. - Brett

BrettFogle

STX has been looking good and in a nice upward trending parallel channel since Dec 2022. Just trading that channel would have yielded some great returns, but we can also look to the Fibonacci retracement from the previous high to low, which we can see exactly forecast the next high as shown in the video. From there, we can run the Fib tool from the most recent high to low, which we seem to be coming out of in the ower edge of the bullish channel, giving us a $10 price target (5x). This coincides with the fractal I took from the last bullish pump to the previous high, and it looks like this is a viable path to $10, judging from the rounded bottoming pattern and the 50 day EMA turning higher. Let me know what you think of this video, leave a comment, and if I get 10 likes I'll try to do more of these weekly if not daily! More information is in my bio, and I'd love to hear your thoughts on this study 🚀

BrettFogle

In this video, I've pulled up an old chart from 2022 I've had on my desktop (not my original chart) that shows potential Waves 3-5 for Bitcion and the 4 year cycle high time targets. In my new chart, I've re-created this showing that we're ahead of schedule from the dark study, and the 4 year past cycle time targets for reaching ATH around 539 days after the halving. But as we know, we hit ATH's this cycle already BEFORE the halving, so it's unclear how that's going to affect the next phase. It would certainly make sense, that everybody (Big money, smart money and even us dumb money retail traders) will be looking to 'go all in' early... But also to GET OUT early. Remember, it's a game of musical chairs.. and the music is speeding up. For these reasons, and other global economic and political influences... I think we could STILL see a left-translated cycle and a parabolic bull rally going into Dec of this year... Unsure if that would be THE Top, but I'd be looking for some profit taking and correction there, which most likely WILL LOOK like the top. But may not actually be. We may still see the 4 year cycle play out, and continue to push higher until October '25 as the original study suggests (539 days post-halving). On the one hand, some are suggesting a deflationary market bust in early 2025 for both the stock market and Bitcoin / crypto. We'll have to wait and see. But it does look like we're experiencing the Wave 4 pullback, and poised to beging the final Wave 5 phase of the bull-run. What do you think? Would appreciate any likes, comments, or compliments below. Cheer always welcome! To the moon 🚀
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