Alireza_ITS

Hi all! ADAUSDT looks primed for an upside breakout in continuation of its higher timeframe trend. Price has been compressing and consolidating around 0.8500 — which lines up with the 0.5 HTF Fibonacci retracement. 📌 Upside Targets: First objective: sweep the weak high from 14 August and fill the imbalance around 1.0400. If sentiment stays bullish, the next target is the 1.1000 zone, which aligns with the 0.886 HTF Fibonacci retracement. 📌 Entry Trigger: Look for a 1H close above 0.8700. That would confirm short-term bullish sentiment and open the path higher. 📌 Confluences Supporting the Long Bias: Fibonacci Confluence → 0.5 retracement support at 0.8500 + 0.886 retracement at 1.1000. Intermarket Correlation → ADA has a ~85% correlation with ETHUSDT and a ~79% correlation with BTCUSDT. With ETH showing bullish structure, ADA statistically tends to follow. Open Interest Dynamics → OI has been bleeding out since 20 Aug, yet price barely reacts. Leverage is being flushed out, but spot/passive buying keeps absorbing liquidity. CVD Data → Both CVD spot and CVD futures are trending down while price holds firm and even swings higher. This hidden bullish divergence = absorption in action. 📌 Invalidation: A daily/1H close below 0.8420 invalidates the setup. ⚠️ My View: The confluence here is strong — Fibonacci structure, intermarket correlation, OI flush, and CVD absorption all point to underlying strength. Until 0.8420 breaks, I’m leaning bullish with eyes on 1.0400 first, then 1.1000.

Hi all! SEIUSDT is showing a potential high-reward, low-risk bullish setup. A harmonic pattern is forming, aligning with key confluences on the higher timeframes. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: 0.3000 → Wait for lower timeframe acceptance here before considering long entries. 0.3400 – 0.3500 → First major resistance zone. This area overlaps with a potential bearish harmonic PRZ. If open interest turns bearish, divergences appear, or sentiment shifts, this zone could act as strong resistance. 0.4250 → If 0.3500 is broken with momentum, continuation towards this level is likely. ⚠️ Game Plan: Look for confirmation around 0.3000 before entering long. Manage risk closely near 0.3400 – 0.3500. A breakout above 0.3500 could open the path towards 0.4250.

1. Why this zone matters Price has reached the 0.886 Fib retrace of the May -> Jun swing. Momentum is fading: 1‑hour RSI peaked lower (60 vs. 69 on the prior swing). OBV and hourly volume both rolling over 2. Order‑flow snapshot (since 14 Jul 00:00 UTC) Spot CVD → up   Retail/FIAT buyers still lifting offers. Perp CVD → down Aggressive shorts absorbing that demand. Aggregated OI → up, now stalling Fresh longs trapped; beginning to unwind. Interpretation: spot bids are being offset by short perps, and the build‑up in leverage is leaking—classic exhaustion. 3. Historical stats to know The combo Spot CVD ↑ + Perp CVD ↓ + OI roll‑over + RSI bear‑div has produced a ≥ 1 % downside move within 30 minutes about 65 % of the time on tier‑1 alts (Jan 2023 – Apr 2025 sample). 4. Checklist before I short M5 structure break (lower‑high plus close below the last M5 swing low). Need a 1H candle CLOSE below the yellow ascending trendline! Perp CVD flips ≤ 0 and OI prints two consecutive down‑ticks. TPO sell tail with at least 3 single prints right at the high. If all three fire → short is live. Otherwise, stand aside. Bottom line Momentum is fading; spot buying is being soaked up by stealth perp shorts, and leverage is already leaking out. Wait for the checklist—then look for a mean‑reversion move lower. And remember: Reaction beats prediction.This is not financial advice.This is not financial advice.I had closed my position with very small loss when we broke out of 16.60 - We can look for a re-enter here beware though - market might blast higher. Use tight stops here.Last note is for the other LINKUSDT setup.

This is for my own reference. For my own reference.Break-even. Bad high => probably going to get swept. Looking for a new short at around 0.7800.

Short the imbalance at 4.890. Fibo confluence at the 0.5. Order flow showing single prints at the imbalance area at 3.495Net short increase on ByBit at 07:30. Shorts sitting around 3.464 => beware of a squeeze.

Edge: - Order Flow => Increase in OI, decrease in CVD, strong increase in net shorts. - structural edge - CVD spot and CVD futures are diverging: CVD spot going down => CVD futures staying flat/increasing slightly. Latest wave up is solely made by leveraged positions. No real demand.

CVD divergence Order flow showing OI rise + Net Short rise at 08:30 - Aggressive sellers kicking in Watch out for a short squeeze above 13.750. Imbalance between 12.50 and 12.73 - Target is AB=CD of the initial move. Price likely to bounce there.SL to entry at 13.59.Break even. Can't lose.

In the depths of this market’s chaos, where fear meets greed and uncertainty lingers, a silent battle unfolds. Hidden beneath the wicks and wicks of deception, stealthy accumulation is in motion.CVD whispers the secrets of absorption, longs are quietly stacking, and the footprints of liquidity hunts are becoming clear. A hidden bullish divergence creeps into existence, masked by the illusion of weakness. The impatient sell, the fearful exit, yet the patient watch.And just when the crowd is convinced the tide has turned against them… the market strikes.Liquidity gets taken, shorts get squeezed, and price erupts before anyone even realizes what just happened.The question is: Are you prepared?

For future reference. Breakout => retest => continuationExpecting a move. Cup and Handle playing out - I think lots of people that gained this coin via an Airdrop had been selling. This looks to dry up.All positions closed. Expecting a short-term dip in the crypto markets.