Alireza_ITS

1. Why this zone matters Price has reached the 0.886 Fib retrace of the May -> Jun swing. Momentum is fading: 1‑hour RSI peaked lower (60 vs. 69 on the prior swing). OBV and hourly volume both rolling over 2. Order‑flow snapshot (since 14 Jul 00:00 UTC) Spot CVD → up   Retail/FIAT buyers still lifting offers. Perp CVD → down Aggressive shorts absorbing that demand. Aggregated OI → up, now stalling Fresh longs trapped; beginning to unwind. Interpretation: spot bids are being offset by short perps, and the build‑up in leverage is leaking—classic exhaustion. 3. Historical stats to know The combo Spot CVD ↑ + Perp CVD ↓ + OI roll‑over + RSI bear‑div has produced a ≥ 1 % downside move within 30 minutes about 65 % of the time on tier‑1 alts (Jan 2023 – Apr 2025 sample). 4. Checklist before I short M5 structure break (lower‑high plus close below the last M5 swing low). Need a 1H candle CLOSE below the yellow ascending trendline! Perp CVD flips ≤ 0 and OI prints two consecutive down‑ticks. TPO sell tail with at least 3 single prints right at the high. If all three fire → short is live. Otherwise, stand aside. Bottom line Momentum is fading; spot buying is being soaked up by stealth perp shorts, and leverage is already leaking out. Wait for the checklist—then look for a mean‑reversion move lower. And remember: Reaction beats prediction.This is not financial advice.This is not financial advice.I had closed my position with very small loss when we broke out of 16.60 - We can look for a re-enter here beware though - market might blast higher. Use tight stops here.Last note is for the other LINKUSDT setup.

This is for my own reference. For my own reference.Break-even. Bad high => probably going to get swept. Looking for a new short at around 0.7800.

Short the imbalance at 4.890. Fibo confluence at the 0.5. Order flow showing single prints at the imbalance area at 3.495Net short increase on ByBit at 07:30. Shorts sitting around 3.464 => beware of a squeeze.

Edge: - Order Flow => Increase in OI, decrease in CVD, strong increase in net shorts. - structural edge - CVD spot and CVD futures are diverging: CVD spot going down => CVD futures staying flat/increasing slightly. Latest wave up is solely made by leveraged positions. No real demand.

CVD divergence Order flow showing OI rise + Net Short rise at 08:30 - Aggressive sellers kicking in Watch out for a short squeeze above 13.750. Imbalance between 12.50 and 12.73 - Target is AB=CD of the initial move. Price likely to bounce there.SL to entry at 13.59.Break even. Can't lose.

In the depths of this market’s chaos, where fear meets greed and uncertainty lingers, a silent battle unfolds. Hidden beneath the wicks and wicks of deception, stealthy accumulation is in motion.CVD whispers the secrets of absorption, longs are quietly stacking, and the footprints of liquidity hunts are becoming clear. A hidden bullish divergence creeps into existence, masked by the illusion of weakness. The impatient sell, the fearful exit, yet the patient watch.And just when the crowd is convinced the tide has turned against them… the market strikes.Liquidity gets taken, shorts get squeezed, and price erupts before anyone even realizes what just happened.The question is: Are you prepared?

For future reference. Breakout => retest => continuationExpecting a move. Cup and Handle playing out - I think lots of people that gained this coin via an Airdrop had been selling. This looks to dry up.All positions closed. Expecting a short-term dip in the crypto markets.