Technical analysis by Alireza_ITS about Symbol SUI: Sell recommendation (7/16/2025)

1. Why this zone matters Price has reached the 0.886 Fib retrace of the May -> Jun swing. Momentum is fading: 1‑hour RSI peaked lower (60 vs. 69 on the prior swing). OBV and hourly volume both rolling over 2. Order‑flow snapshot (since 14 Jul 00:00 UTC) Spot CVD → up   Retail/FIAT buyers still lifting offers. Perp CVD → down Aggressive shorts absorbing that demand. Aggregated OI → up, now stalling Fresh longs trapped; beginning to unwind. Interpretation: spot bids are being offset by short perps, and the build‑up in leverage is leaking—classic exhaustion. 3. Historical stats to know The combo Spot CVD ↑ + Perp CVD ↓ + OI roll‑over + RSI bear‑div has produced a ≥ 1 % downside move within 30 minutes about 65 % of the time on tier‑1 alts (Jan 2023 – Apr 2025 sample). 4. Checklist before I short M5 structure break (lower‑high plus close below the last M5 swing low). Need a 1H candle CLOSE below the yellow ascending trendline! Perp CVD flips ≤ 0 and OI prints two consecutive down‑ticks. TPO sell tail with at least 3 single prints right at the high. If all three fire → short is live. Otherwise, stand aside. Bottom line Momentum is fading; spot buying is being soaked up by stealth perp shorts, and leverage is already leaking out. Wait for the checklist—then look for a mean‑reversion move lower. And remember: Reaction beats prediction.This is not financial advice.This is not financial advice.I had closed my position with very small loss when we broke out of 16.60 - We can look for a re-enter here beware though - market might blast higher. Use tight stops here.Last note is for the other LINKUSDT setup.