Technical analysis by minno91 about Symbol BTC: Buy recommendation (15 hour ago)

Market Overview Last week (Dec 15–19) was macro-heavy, with the most important events (US CPI + central banks) already behind us. Today feels more like a cool-down day — lighter data, comments only, no new “market killer” on the calendar. The base macro narrative remains soft landing + cooling inflation, which is generally a friendly environment for risk assets. Bull-market peak indicators on Coinglass are still quiet — none of the major top signals are active. In other words: no historical signs of a cycle top yet. ETF flows remain a big positive. Total cumulative inflows are still massive (~$57–58B), and even though short-term flows are choppy, we continue to see strong dip-buying days (e.g. +$436.9M on Dec 17). Big money hasn’t left the room. On the derivatives side, open interest has been reset without a crash in spot demand. Leverage got cleaned, funding is neutral, and the market looks healthy, not euphoric. TL;DR: BTC is still in a bull market, currently going through a normal correction inside the trend. This is a dip-buying environment, not a “short the cycle” one. ⸻ BTCUSDT – Swing Trade Plan •Direction: Long •Entry zone: $80,500 – $82,000 •Stop-loss: $77,000 – $77,500 •Target 1: $92,000 – $93,000 •Target 2 (optional): $100,000+ •Holding time: 2–6 weeks ⸻ Why This Setup Makes Sense •Cycle context: No bull-market top signals, no extreme sentiment, no valuation excesses. Historically, this is where buying deeper pullbacks works best. •Macro backdrop: CPI and central banks are behind us for now, inflation is cooling, and the soft-landing narrative is intact. That’s usually supportive for BTC, not bearish. •ETF demand: Every meaningful dip keeps getting absorbed by institutional flows. Short-term noise, long-term demand. •Leverage reset: Open interest dropped, funding cooled off — the market is no longer crowded. This reduces downside risk and improves R:R for swing longs. •Structure & levels: The $80.5k–$82k zone aligns with HTF support and offers clean R:R toward the upper range. Stop below $77k protects against a deeper correction without overstaying the trade. ⸻ Invalidation – When This Idea Is Wrong •Trend invalidation: Daily or weekly closes below ~$77k with strong volume + clear shift to risk-off macro (hawkish data, rising DXY) → swing long invalid. •Structure invalidation: If BTC can’t reclaim $90–92k within 4–6 weeks and starts printing lower highs / lower lows on daily, the setup loses momentum. •Macro invalidation: Ahead of new CPI / PCE / FOMC, avoid adding risk. If macro expectations turn clearly hawkish, protecting capital comes first. ⸻ Final note: This is a buy-the-dip swing idea inside a bull market, not a moon bet and not financial advice. Risk management stays king.