Technical analysis by UA_CAPITAL about Symbol BTC: Sell recommendation (12/18/2025)

📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment is currently extremely bearish. We continue to see consistent outflows from Bitcoin ETFs. In addition, the Fear & Greed Index is sitting at 22 (Fear zone) and has remained there for some time. Bitcoin has largely decoupled from the S&P 500 (US markets), and capital does not appear to be flowing into crypto at the moment. Unless a new and strong narrative emerges, I do not expect the market direction to change. Today’s CPI data came in at 2.7% versus a 3.1% expectation, which could act as a positive catalyst for risk assets. We saw this effect clearly in U.S. equities; however, Bitcoin and the broader crypto market remained unresponsive. This further confirms my view that sentiment remains aggressively bearish. 📈 Technical Analysis Price has been in a clear downtrend for some time. Over the past month, Bitcoin has been consolidating within a tight range. In my opinion, this consolidation is more likely to resolve to the downside. While risk assets such as US100 continue to push higher, Bitcoin’s inability to follow reflects clear relative weakness. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction I am monitoring two main scenarios: Scenario 1 (Red Line – More Likely) I expect price to decline toward $80,500, where we may see a short term bounce. However, I believe this bounce will fade, with the primary downside target at $74,500. After price runs $74,500, I will be looking for potential long/buy opportunities. Scenario 2 (Black Line) Price first moves up toward $96,000, gets rejected from that level, and then closes back below it. From there, I expect continuation to the downside toward $80,500 and potentially $74,500. 💬 For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack free access available. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.