Technical analysis by illuminati_K027 about Symbol BTC on 12/17/2025

When we think about the future direction of Bitcoin, it can be outlined as follows.It is likely that Bitcoin could experience a downward trend for about a year, potentially falling into the $30,000–$50,000 range before forming a bottom. Once that bottom is established, a final major bull cycle may begin around 2027, eventually pushing Bitcoin to challenge a new all-time high somewhere above $200,000. However, if such a scenario unfolds, the large institutions that many retail investors have long trusted may execute a well-orchestrated distribution, transferring their holdings to the public and realizing substantial profits. At that point, the first round of this game would come to an end, and a prolonged bearish phase of three to four years could follow before the second round begins.It is important to emphasize that this outlook represents a baseline scenario derived from Bitcoin’s historically observed market cycles and halving-driven supply dynamics. However, the introduction of quantum computing as an active attack vector fundamentally alters the risk profile. Should quantum-capable systems begin real-world cryptographic attacks on public blockchains, Bitcoin could enter a worst-case scenario in which traditional market cycles cease to function as reliable reference models. In such a case, price behavior would no longer be governed primarily by supply scarcity or investor psychology, but by an abrupt loss of confidence in protocol-level security. This would represent a structural break rather than an extension or distortion of existing cycles. Critically, the severity and timing of this disruption would depend not merely on the commercial availability of quantum computers, but on the moment they are actively deployed to test or exploit cryptographic vulnerabilities. The closer this attack phase occurs to a market peak or late-stage distribution phase, the more violently the conventional cycle could collapse. Therefore, while this analysis focuses on the traditional cyclical framework, it must be understood that quantum-driven security breaches constitute a regime-change risk—one capable of pushing Bitcoin’s trajectory far outside historical expectations and rendering standard cycle-based projections obsolete.