Technical analysis by LouisJack66_trade about Symbol BTC: Sell recommendation (12/17/2025)

Today, BTCUSD is experiencing a narrow-range consolidation following a oversold rebound. Despite bouncing roughly 3% from its overnight low, the bearish structure on the daily timeframe remains intact. Market sentiment stays cautious, and the short-term trend will still hinge on the defense of key price levels and upcoming macroeconomic data releases. The November U.S. nonfarm payroll data delivered a strong headline but weak internals outcome. It neither altered market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy nor provided clear unilateral guidance. Meanwhile, year-end institutional settlements have triggered liquidity tightening, coupled with a slowdown in stablecoin growth, which has weighed on Bitcoin’s short-term risk appetite. Additionally, expectations surrounding the Bank of Japan’s interest rate hike remain uncertain—an unexpected 50-basis-point rate hike could spark a fresh round of correction in Bitcoin prices. On the support front, the $85,000–$86,000 zone serves as the core support range. This level not only marks the early November low but also encompasses the average cost basis of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. Approximately 400,000 BTC were purchased within this range, making it a robust structural support for the year. A breakdown below this zone would open the door to a further decline toward $80,000–$82,000. For resistance, the initial hurdle lies at $88,000–$88,500 (yesterday’s rebound peak), with further resistance at $89,700–$90,500. A decisive breakout above this upper resistance band would pave the way for a potential rally toward $94,000. In summary, BTCUSD is likely to trade within the $85,000–$94,000 range in the short term. Going forward, focus should be placed on the U.S. inflation data and remarks from Federal Reserve officials scheduled for Thursday. Ahead of the release of these key data points and policy signals, the market will most likely adopt a wait-and-see stance, with prices lacking a clear directional bias. Trading Strategy: Buy 86000 - 86500 SL 85500 TP 87500 - 88000 Sell 88000 - 88500 SL 89000 TP 86000 - 85500Target TP zone hit as expected