Technical analysis by FlorinCharts about Symbol BTC on 12/15/2025

1. Jobs report (NFP, unemployment, wages) 👷‍♂️ Very good / hawkish for Fed NFP: > 250k new jobs. Unemployment rate: ≤ 4.0%. Average hourly earnings YoY: ≥ 4.0%. Typical read: economy still strong, “higher for longer” rates; can pressure stocks short term and is usually negative for BTC as real yields/UST bid up.​ Clearly bad / dovish for Fed NFP: < 100k new jobs, or negative revision cluster. Unemployment rate: ≥ 4.4–4.5%. Wage growth YoY: ≤ 3.5%. Typical read: cooling labor market, more cuts priced; generally supportive for equities and often bullish BTC via liquidity/risk-on narrative.​ 2. Retail sales 🛒 Good demand signal Headline/control retail sales: ≥ +0.5% MoM and broad-based. Read: consumer still spending, growth backdrop OK; modestly positive for cyclicals but can keep the Fed cautious, mixed for BTC.​ Weak demand signal Headline/control retail sales: ≤ 0.0% MoM or negative, especially if previous month revised down. Read: demand softening, recession whispers; increases cut odds, usually net bullish indices if not catastrophic, mildly bullish BTC.​ 3. CPI / core CPI 🔥 Too hot Headline CPI YoY: > 3.0–3.2%. Core CPI YoY: > 3.0% or core monthly ≥ 0.3–0.4%. Read: disinflation stalling; markets re‑price fewer cuts, UST yields pop, typically negative for high‑beta stocks and BTC.​ Comfortably cool Headline CPI YoY: ≤ 2.7–2.8%. Core CPI YoY: ≤ 2.7–2.8%, monthly core around 0.2%. Read: inflation close to “mission accomplished”; supportive for risk assets and usually good for BTC as real yields drift lower.​ 4. Core PCE 🔥 Hawkish Core PCE YoY: ≥ 3.0% or re‑accelerating vs prior print. Read: Fed’s preferred gauge still too high; bearish for duration, a headwind for growth stocks and BTC.​ Conclusion for this week: markets are set up for reaction, not trend-building, and thin year-end liquidity means moves can overshoot in both directions.