Technical analysis by Matthew_TradeRFX about Symbol BTC: Buy recommendation (12/15/2025)

Market State: – Bitcoin is trading inside a defined sideways structure, bounded by a strong support zone near 87,500–88,000 and a heavy resistance band around 90,500–91,000. – The sharp sell-off into support was immediately absorbed, followed by a rebound — confirming buyers are defending the range, not abandoning it. Key Levels: – Strong Support: 87,500 – 88,000 – Range Mid / Balance: ~89,000 – Strong Resistance: 90,500 – 91,000 – Breakout Trigger: Acceptance above 91,000 Price Action Read: – Repeated rejections at resistance and higher lows from support signal range compression. – This is not trend continuation yet — it is market indecision resolved through time, not price. NEXT MOVE SCENARIOS ➡️ Primary Scenario – Range Continuation – Price oscillates between support and resistance. – Buy reactions near 87,500–88,000, fade moves into 90,500–91,000. ➡️ Breakout Scenario (Macro-Driven) – A decisive break and acceptance above 91,000 requires: • Dovish Fed repricing • USD weakness • Broader risk-on rotation – Only then does upside expansion become sustainable. ❌ Invalidation: – A clean breakdown below 87,500 would shift bias to deeper corrective price discovery.Bitcoin (BTC/USD) — Market Update: Consolidation Phase Before the Next Break Bitcoin has moved differently from the earlier projection, with price extending lower instead of following the initial sideways path. However, this deviation does not invalidate the broader market thesis. What we are seeing now is a liquidity-driven reset, after which BTC is transitioning into a consolidation and accumulation phase rather than a sustained bearish trend. From a macro perspective, the crypto market remains highly sensitive to global liquidity conditions. Ongoing uncertainty around the timing of Fed rate cuts, fluctuations in U.S. Treasury yields, and short-term USD strength have pressured risk assets, triggering forced liquidations across crypto markets. At the same time, institutional participation via spot BTC ETFs continues to absorb supply on sharp dips, preventing deeper structural breakdowns. This dynamic typically results in range-bound price action as the market digests macro signals. Technically, Bitcoin is stabilizing near a well-defined support area after an aggressive sell-off. Selling momentum has slowed, volatility is compressing, and price action is beginning to overlap—classic characteristics of accumulation after liquidation. In this environment, false breakouts are common, and patience becomes a strategic advantage. Looking ahead, the most probable scenario is sideways movement with gradual accumulation, as both buyers and sellers wait for a clear macro catalyst. A decisive breakout either through renewed risk-on sentiment or confirmation of easier financial conditions—will be needed to unlock the next impulsive move. Until that catalyst emerges, traders should avoid overtrading, respect range boundaries, and remain patient while the market builds the foundation for its next expansion.