Technical analysis by AR33_ about Symbol BTC: Buy recommendation (12/12/2025)

Bitcoin printed a clear correction from the 126,333 spot top into 80,625, a 36% retrace that finally reset an overheated trend. After that impulse down, price stopped bleeding and started building a base. That is the context for my long, not a breakout chase. My first entry triggered at 85,000. If price sweeps lower, I will add, with my final planned entry sitting in the 72,000 to 70,000 region. The whole idea is simple: scale into higher time frame demand after a deep reset, then let the market do the work if it wants to rotate back into risk. Technicals: on the daily, the selloff created an obvious “damage candle” sequence, followed by compression and range behavior. I am treating the 80K to 85K band as the core demand zone. The level that matters for confirmation is the recovery of the mid range resistance around 94,652, because a clean reclaim would shift the structure from “bounce” to “reversal attempt” and opens the door for a move back into the 100K area and, eventually, a retest of the prior ATH zone near 126K if momentum returns. Fundamentals : the macro backdrop is supportive for risk if financial conditions keep easing. The Fed has already moved policy lower and continues to guide the market with forward projections, which is the type of environment that can reprice duration and high beta assets.  At the same time, institutional crypto flows have been rebuilding. CoinShares reported a rebound in digital asset ETP inflows with Bitcoin leading, and daily US spot Bitcoin ETF flow data has also shown positive net flows on recent sessions.  On derivatives, CME positioning and open interest remain a key dashboard for whether this base is being built with size behind it.  Execution note: I am not trying to “be right” on the exact bottom. I am trying to be positioned where the risk is definable and the upside is asymmetric. If the narrative changes, I will adjust. If the market gives the move, I will pay myself and protect capital. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.