Technical analysis by Matthew_TradeRFX about Symbol BTC: Sell recommendation (12/11/2025)

Bitcoin has begun to move exactly in line with the projected downside structure. After rejecting the resistance zone around 91,543, price has broken below the short-term support and is now entering a clean retracement phase. At this stage, BTC is likely to continue following the descending path toward the key liquidity zones highlighted on your chart: Target 1: 89,068 Target 2: 87,794 Target 3: 86,386 The market structure shows clear lower highs and lower lows, signaling that sellers are currently in control. Until BTC can reclaim the mid-range zone above 90,800–91,000, the bearish outlook remains valid. This corrective move is healthy for the broader trend, helping sweep liquidity and rebalance price before any larger directional expansion.BTC Outlook — Bias Turning Bullish as Macro Conditions Improve Bitcoin moved exactly as expected yesterday, hitting your targets cleanly. Now price is holding above key demand zones, showing early signs of a bullish shift even while remaining in short-term consolidation. Structure: Accumulation Inside the Range BTC continues ranging, sweeping liquidity at both edges a typical setup before expansion. Buyers are quietly defending higher-timeframe support, signaling accumulation rather than weakness. Macro Turning Supportive Fed leaning dovish → rate-cut expectations rising → weaker USD → bullish for BTC Global liquidity improving, risk assets rotating higher ETF inflows still strong, absorbing supply on every dip Geopolitical uncertainty keeping hedge demand elevated These factors raise the probability of an upside breakout. Expect BTC may keep ranging short-term, but the bias now favors a bullish breakout once liquidity builds and price breaks the upper range with momentum.BTCUSD Update — Bearish Trend Confirmed with Downside Targets As per the updated analysis, BTCUSD has reversed its previous bullish momentum and is now poised for a downtrend toward lower targets. The chart shows a well-defined resistance zone at 91,563, where price has started to recoil and move lower. 🔹 Market State: Bearish Reversal Confirmed BTCUSD has now entered a consolidation phase below the resistance zone, with price rejecting the higher levels around 91,563. The market is setting up for a downside continuation with clear price action signals. The move lower has already begun, and targets are positioned around 89,200 (Target 1), 88,000 (Target 2), and 86,386 (Target 3). 🔹 Macro Factors Driving the Decline: 1. Risk-Off Sentiment Prevails Yesterday's decline can be attributed to the broad market risk-off sentiment. Concerns about global economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and weaker-than-expected economic data are pressuring risk assets like Bitcoin. 2. Strong USD and Profit-Taking The US dollar’s strength has been a key factor in BTC's retreat. As the dollar rises, investors typically retreat to more secure assets, causing Bitcoin and other risk assets to experience declines. Profit-taking after Bitcoin's recent surge also contributed to the market's downward movement. 3. Fed Rate Expectations Fed's hawkish stance (with interest rates possibly staying higher for longer) is placing further pressure on risk assets, making them less attractive to investors. This also increases the capital inflow into USD and dampens demand for Bitcoin. 4. Macro Data Weakness Poor economic indicators such as reduced job growth or disappointing inflation figures could contribute to the broader market decline. The weak economic data creates more uncertainty, prompting liquidation of higher-risk assets. 🔹 Price Expectations and Targets: Resistance Zone: 91,563 (Key Rejection Point) Target 1: 89,200 Target 2: 88,000 Target 3: 86,386 As long as price remains below 91,563, the bearish continuation setup is intact, and the market is expected to decline towards Target 1, then Target 2 and Target 3.