Technical analysis by Matthew_TradeRFX about Symbol BTC: Buy recommendation (12/10/2025)

📊 (1) MARKET STRUCTURE Bitcoin on H4 is forming a clean ascending channel, characterized by: -Higher Lows -Higher Highs -Consistent reactions from both channel boundaries -Smooth oscillation inside a rising structure This confirms a sustained bullish cycle of accumulation → expansion → retracement → continuation. The latest swing low touches the lower boundary of the channel and reacts sharply upward a typical sign of demand reactivation. 📉 (2) PRICE REACTION Recent candles present: -Strong rejection wicks at the channel’s demand zone -Reduced bearish momentum after each corrective leg -Higher swing bottoms forming in rhythm These behaviors indicate that sellers are being absorbed while buyers patiently step in. The projected yellow legs show the market’s tendency to respect the channel perfectly — a bullish pattern repeating multiple times. 🌐 (3) MACRO & FUNDAMENTALS SUPPORTING THE UPTREND The macro environment is aligning strongly in favor of Bitcoin: ✔ Fed Rate-Cut Expectations 2024–2025 Recent FOMC signals show a shift toward a softer monetary policy cycle. Lower interest rates historically weaken the USD and strengthen risk-on assets like BTC. ✔ ETF Inflows Remain Positive Institutional capital continues flowing into Bitcoin ETFs, showing long-term confidence. Accumulation from large funds typically stabilizes price and reduces downside risk. ✔ Global Liquidity Expansion Central banks across APAC and Europe lean toward easing. Liquidity expansion fuels upward momentum in major crypto assets. ✔ Halving Cycle Psychology Post-halving periods statistically favor medium-term uptrends as supply tightens. All macro signals point toward a favorable environment for a continuation move upward. ⏳ (4) HTF CONTEXT On the higher timeframe, the structure reflects: -Bitcoin has already printed a major bottom -Uptrend is intact even with local corrections -Market is transitioning from Accumulation → Markup phase Compression inside the rising channel usually leads to a strong breakout above 97,000–100,000. 📐 (5) EXPECTATION High-probability scenario: -BTC continues oscillating inside the ascending channel -Creates 2–3 more Higher Lows as drawn -Approaches the upper boundary at 96,500–97,000 -Breakout triggers momentum toward 100,000+ This behavior aligns with both structural patterns and macro tailwinds. 🎯 (6) TRADING INSIGHT The market is in the strongest type of bullish structure: a rising channel supported by macro liquidity, ETF demand, and post-halving momentum. The path of least resistance remains upward.