Technical analysis by Matthew_TradeRFX about Symbol BTC on 12/8/2025

BTC MARKET ANALYSIS – 1H 1. Current Price Structure - BTC continues to move inside a wide sideway range, with price repeatedly rejecting both the resistance zone and the support zone. - After the strong drop earlier, the market has entered a compression structure, signaling accumulation rather than continuation of the downtrend. - The sideway zone is clearly defined: + Resistance zone: 92,500 – 93,500 + Support zone: 88,700 – 89,500 The repeated sweep of highs and lows shows liquidity collection, a classic sign of market-makers positioning before major macro events. 2. Liquidity Zones - Resistance liquidity: A large cluster located at the top of the range. Price has tapped this zone multiple times → liquidity is building for a potential breakout. - Support liquidity: Several wick spikes into the support zone indicate stop-loss hunts and accumulation by larger players. - BTC is effectively building a liquidity box, preparing fuel for the next impulsive move. 3. Today’s Market Scenario 🔹 Main Scenario – Sideway Until FED → Then Breakout - BTC is entering a news compression phase, where the market moves sideways waiting for high-impact events. - With FED policy statements and U.S. inflation data approaching, traders and institutions are delaying large entries. The structure suggests: + Price continues ranging inside the sideway zone. + More false breaks (liquidity taps) both at support and resistance. + Once FED news is released → volatility expansion. + Highest probability: BTC breaks the resistance zone upward after news clears uncertainty. This aligns perfectly with your green-path projection on the chart. 4. Market Psychology Before major macro announcements, the market often freezes, showing: - Low volatility - Tight consolidation - Fake moves above and below the range Smart money avoids early positioning; instead, they accumulate inside the range. Retail traders become confused or trapped → ideal environment for MM to collect orders. Sideway → Liquidity → News → Expansion. This is exactly the structure BTC is showing now. 5. Intraday Strategy Do not chase breakouts before FED → high probability they are false moves. Best strategies: - Buy near support zone with tight SL. - Sell near resistance zone if price rejects and stays below. - Wait for FED announcement → then trade breakout with confirmation. Upside target after clean breakout: 94,500 – 96,000 Potential expansion if momentum is strong: 98,000+ Stay patient. Sideways is not weakness — it’s preparation. The market is saving energy for the traders who know how to wait.📌 Bitcoin Sideways Scenario — Awaiting Major Catalysts Bitcoin is likely to remain in a sideways consolidation range as the market pauses ahead of key macroeconomic events. Current price action shows decreasing volatility, balanced liquidity on both sides, and a tightening structure all typical signs of a market waiting for new information before choosing direction. Traders can expect BTC to fluctuate within its current support–resistance zone while participants reassess risk sentiment in anticipation of upcoming data releases such as U.S. inflation figures, Federal Reserve policy signals, and shifts in broader risk-asset flows. Until those catalysts arrive, a neutral, range-bound structure remains the most probable scenario.BTC Outlook — Bias Turning Bullish as Macro Conditions Improve Bitcoin moved exactly as expected yesterday, hitting your targets cleanly. Now price is holding above key demand zones, showing early signs of a bullish shift even while remaining in short-term consolidation. Structure: Accumulation Inside the Range BTC continues ranging, sweeping liquidity at both edges a typical setup before expansion. Buyers are quietly defending higher-timeframe support, signaling accumulation rather than weakness. Macro Turning Supportive Fed leaning dovish → rate-cut expectations rising → weaker USD → bullish for BTC Global liquidity improving, risk assets rotating higher ETF inflows still strong, absorbing supply on every dip Geopolitical uncertainty keeping hedge demand elevated These factors raise the probability of an upside breakout. Expect BTC may keep ranging short-term, but the bias now favors a bullish breakout once liquidity builds and price breaks the upper range with momentum.