Technical analysis by cryptodailyuk about Symbol BTC on 12/4/2025

cryptodailyuk
تحلیل نمودار 4 ساعته بیت کوین: آیا کانال صعودی میشکند؟ (سطوح کلیدی 90,000 دلار)

1. Market Structure: Rising Channel (Upward Wedge / Rising Channel) The chart clearly shows that BTC is moving within an ascending channel, with: the upper boundary around USD 95,000–95,500, the lower boundary currently reaching USD 86,500–87,000. This is a potentially exhausting formation, and lower breakouts are often dynamic. 2. Current Situation: Rebound from the upper band and Stoch RSI overbought → decline The price has stopped exactly at the upper resistance of the channel and has begun a correction. This is typical behavior – the market usually returns to the middle or lower edge of the channel. Stoch RSI on 4H – has made a strong reversal from the overbought zone → a signal for a short-term correction has already been generated. 3. Support Levels (most important): 🔴 USD 90,500–90,000 A very important zone – previous resistance ⇒ now support. Breakout = increased risk of a deeper breakout. 🔴 USD 88,500–88,000 A strong demand level for the 4-hour period, also aligned with the MA and local lows. 🔴 USD 86,500–87,000 The lower band of the channel – the most likely place for buyers to become active. 4. Resistance Levels: 🟢 USD 94,800 Previous local high – a breakout will be bullish. 🟢 USD 98,000–98,900 Strong resistance on the chart, likely target after a breakout of the channel to the upside. 5. Scenarios for the coming hours: 📉 Correction scenario (more likely based on the Stoch RSI) The price could fall to one of the following zones: 92,000 → test in progress 90,500–90,000 USD → main market decision level If it loses 90,000 → a move to 88,500–88,000 is natural. Deeper correction: test of the lower channel line – ~86,500 USD. In this scenario, we remain in an uptrend unless the channel breaks below. 📈 Uptrend scenario The current decline could only be: a local correction, a retest of the previous demand zone. Uptrend condition: ➡️ 4-hour candlestick retracement and close above ~94,000 USD. Then the target: 94,800 95,500 and after the channel breakout → $98,000–$99,000