Technical analysis by FalconLineTrading about Symbol ETH: Buy recommendation (19 hour ago)

FalconLineTrading
ارتقاء بزرگ اتریوم (Fusaka) در دسامبر 2025: استراتژی خرید و اهداف قیمتی شگفتانگیز!

Ethereum – December 3, 2025 ‘Fusaka’ Upgrade Confidence: 84% Impact Analysis •Major category upgrade for Scalability + Security + UX → Ethereum. •ETH upgrades generally produce more sustainable trends. Market Impact •Positive pricing for 1–2 weeks before upgrade. •Volatility is high on the event day, but “sell the news” is generally low (depending on BTC macro). Critical Point ETH's upgrades also create liquidity spillovers in altcoins. Dominance may fall → Altcoin season preliminary signal. ----------------------------------------------- 1) ETH – Monthly (1M) Macro Trend Analysis Clearly in the image: There is a prolonged macro recovery following the decline from the 2021 ATH. ETH in the 2023–2025 period after the 2022 bottom: → Higher lows → Moved into a horizontal-positive expansion area 3000–3500 USD band large timeframe liquidity threshold 4000–4800 USD band “macro inefficiency + distribution region” 1M Result: ETH still maintains its bullish nature in the big time frame but: Entering Fusaka Upgrade major not above resistance → signal: high volatility + opportunity. 2) ETH – Weekly (1W) Trend Analysis Critical points on the weekly chart: 2900–3050 USD → weekly liquidity pool 3500–3700 USD → weekly supply zone 2600–2700 → a clean, strong demand zone Structure: Sideways-range and then an expanding structure through 2024. 1W Result: ETH is currently in the middle-upper region of the range. This marks the preparation area of the pump before the event. 3) ETH – Daily (1D) Trend Analysis On the daily chart: 3300–3500 region: strongest daily resistance 2950–3050 region: daily equilibrium 2650–2750 region: daily ideal long zone 2320–2450: “panic flush” zone → long-term accumulation opportunity 1D Result: ETH has been moving within the narrowing horizontal band for a while. As the Fusaka upgrade approaches, it's likely: → go down first (get liquid) → then push upward towards event 4) ETH – 4H Operational Setup Areas The 4H chart gives us the entry timing. Visible critical areas: 3140–3180: microsupply 3000–3050: flip zone 2850–2950 → 4H bullish OB clusters 2650–2750 → ideal entry zone (HTF + 4H compatible) 4H Result: There is a possible bottom formation in ETH before Fusaka and a rally pattern from there towards the event. NOW COMING TO THE MAIN PART ETH – SPOT PURCHASE STRATEGY According to Fusaka Upgrade (1M–1W–1D–4H analyzes + event effect blended) 1) Gradual Purchase Zones I proceed by accepting the total budget as 100% as an example. Zone 1 – Initial Purchase (Low Risk) 2950–3050 USD 35% → Both daily balance and weekly liquidity area. Zone 2 – Main Accumulation (Medium Risk, Most Productive Zone) 2650–2750 USD 45% → 1W demand zone → 4H bullish OB clusters → If there is a "liquidity sweep" before the event, the best buy is from here. Zone 3 – Deep Flush (High Risk, Maximum Opportunity) 2320–2450 USD 20% → Panic wick area → If there is an extreme liquidity hunt before Fusaka, ETH can pin it here. 2) Target Prices (TP) TP1 – Conservative 3450–3500 USD → 4H + 1D supply zone → 8–15% profit TP2 – Mid-term 3900–4100 USD → 1W major resistance → Most likely stop after the event TP3 – Aggressive 4500–4800 USD ATH region → Macro rally possibility still open for ETH → Sell here for only 20–25% profit 3) Stop-Loss (SL) Scenario In the spot, SL is more flexible, but the critical threshold is: Daily close below 250 → Macro trend weakens → The bottom of that region means “higher timeframe structure breakdown”. 4) Operational Plan for Event Calendar Upgrade Date: December 3, 2025 Before (10–15 days) There is a high probability of getting a down wick 45% of the budget (Region 2) is critical Event Week Pump + instant volatility TP1 has a high probability of explosion 1–4 Weeks After Event The probability of trend continuation is higher than altcoins TP2 and TP3 are targeted in this window 5) Overall Conclusion for ETH ETH macro is bullish, medium term squeeze + event catalyst + strong HTF structure → It is very suitable for spot strategy.