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Technical analysis by ew-forecast about Symbol BTC: Sell recommendation (11/24/2025)

https://sahmeto.com/message/3939574

بیت‌کوین تا کجا سقوط می‌کند؟ راز موج‌های الیوت و شرط کلیدی 100 هزار دلار

Sell
Price at Publish Time:
$86,946.93
Sell،Technical،ew-forecast

A lot of traders are wondering when Bitcoin will complete the pullback from the highs, but if we are really in a higher-degree retracement then keep in mind that the big pullbacks on Bitcoin usually lasted around 12 months, and right now we are only one and a half months away from the recent highs. That’s the first thing. The second thing, and the most important for me, is always the Elliott wave structure itself. I simply cannot ignore it, because it helps me identify the key levels that must be broken before we can confidently look for a turning point. If you look closely at the price drop from the 116515 level, you can clearly see that this is a strong decline without a completed five-wave sequence yet. So even if we assume this is wave C rather than wave four, it still has to be structured by five waves. That means the current rebound from the 80k zone could easily be just a fourth wave, maybe stopping around 90k, which is an important swing level for this week. Based on Elliott waves and price action, this weakness can still resume. The key level for a bullish turn is very clear: a push back above 99k, or better said 100k, which is a strong psychological pivot. Below it we stay in bearish mode with risk for one more drop.Bitcoin is extending impulsively lower, which looks like wave 3 of an ongoing five-wave bearish cycle within higher degree wave C or III, so more weakness can be seen while the price is below 99k area. After the recent corrective pullback in wave 4 into the projected resistance area, it seems like it's now on the way lower within wave 5 of C/III towards 80k-74k area. Any early rally back above channel resistance line and 99k area would be a signal that temporary support is in place.

Source Message: TradingView
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