Technical analysis by bbqgio about Symbol BTC: Sell recommendation (11/4/2025)

Bitcoin on the 1D is trending lower after the early-October peak near 125,000. Price sits beneath the 20/60/120 MAs, and a clear Descending Triangle has formed with a flat floor at 104,200 and lower highs pressing from above. The heavy resistance band at 113,400–114,500 and the short-term cap near 115,000 continue to attract selling. Volume has favored down days, keeping momentum on the bears’ side. Primary path: a daily close below 104,200 confirms breakdown and opens 100,000 first, then the 96,000 objective. Aggressive sellers can also look for a failed rally into 108,000–109,500 to fade the lower-high structure. If downside accelerates, a worst-case extension toward 90,000 is on the table within the pattern’s continuation. Alternative: if 104,200 holds and price reclaims 108,500 on a strong daily close, a squeeze toward the 113,400–114,500 cluster and 115,000 resistance is plausible. That would signal a failed breakdown but not a trend change unless buyers can establish acceptance above those overhead levels. Trigger/confirmation: daily close < 104,200 for continuation; secondary trigger is a rejection from 108,000–109,500. Targets: 100,000 and 96,000 (bearish), or 114,500–115,000 (contrarian bounce). Invalidation: for shorts, a daily close back above 108,500; for any tactical longs, a slip back under 103,500 negates. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations.