Technical analysis by DECRYPTERS about Symbol PAXG on 10/29/2025

Welcome to Trade with Decrypters! 📊 DETAILED & COMPLETE ANALYSIS (5 TRADE SETUPS) — Gold & Silver Outlook 1️⃣ Central Bank Buying * Q1–Q2 2025 net: 410t (+15% YoY) * August: +19t * BRICS hold 6,000t (21% of global reserves) * Top buyers: 🇵🇱 Poland +90t | 🇨🇳 China +35t * Motive: USD hedge + BRICS 2026 currency prep 📈 Outlook: Sustained demand supports 10–15% long-term gold upside 2️⃣ ETF Inflows & Sentiment * Q3 inflows: $26B | AUM $445B (+25% YoY) * Holdings: 3,200t * Asia: +37t | US: Neutral * Gold RSI: 68 (Support: $3,800 | Resistance: $4,000) * Silver RSI: 72 (Support: $32) 🎯 Projection: Gold → $4,000/oz (Q4, +1%) | Silver → $35/oz (+9%) 3️⃣ Macro & Geopolitical Events * Fed cuts: 75bps → 3.75% * USD: -8% | CPI: +3.2% * Tariffs add +0.5% global inflation (→ 4.2%) * BRICS trade pacts counterbalance USD weakness * Gold already +57% YTD on 20% risk premium 📊 Outlook: Trade wars + Fed easing = 5–7% metals gain H1 2026 4️⃣ Silver Deficit * 2025 deficit: 118M oz * Supply: 1.02 Boz | Demand: 1.20 Boz * Industrial share: 59% (EVs China +25%, Solar +30%) * Recycling: 20% 📈 Projection: 150M oz deficit (2026) → Silver +15% 5️⃣ Futures & Options Flow * CME Gold OI: 550k (+10% MoM) * Silver OI: 180k (+8%) * GVZ: 18% * Call/Put ratio: 2:1 | Net long: 65k gold calls 📊 Outlook: OI rise + call bias = 20–25% vol breakout Q1 2026 🔮 Fundamentals & Forecast * Gold: 450t CB buying + de-dollarization →
🎯 $4,200/oz (end-2025, +12%) | 🎯 $5,000 (2026) * Silver: 118M oz deficit + 59% industrial →
🎯 $38/oz (end-2025, +18%) | 🎯 $60 (2026) ⚡ Drivers: Fed easing, 4.2% inflation, US deficit, BRICS shift → strategic metals outperformance 🏦 FOMC Update (Oct 29, 2025) * Decision: 2:00 PM ET * 98%+ chance of 25bps cut → 3.75–4.00% * Powell press conference: 2:30 PM ET * Dot plot & QT update expected * Markets volatile → cut likely supportive for Gold, Silver, Stocks & Crypto Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.