Technical analysis by rainbow_sniper about Symbol BTC: Sell recommendation (10/17/2025)

⚠️ BTCUSDT (W–M–6M) — WILL IT REALLY GO TO $250,000? 📈 Macro View | 🧭 Cycle Analysis | 💰 Distribution Phase Ahead 🧠 1. The FOMO Trap If you still believe BTC will shoot straight to $180,000 or $250,000 from the current base, that belief itself is your biggest risk. Why? Because that mindset pushes traders to LONG around the ATH, or buy spot positions at exhaustion, only to get liquidated or trapped holding the top. Remember: The current bull wave began on October 1st 2023. It has already run two full years of continuous growth. From wave base to ATH, BTC has gained roughly +600%. That’s not an “early trend.” That’s a distribution zone in disguise. 🧩 2. The Structure: Monthly Distribution, Weekly Volatility Yes — BTCUSDT is in the Monthly distribution phase. But short-term, the Monthly (M) structure isn’t ready to roll over just yet. Throughout October and November 2025, we’ll likely see BTC revisit ATH levels again — but every retest of those highs will trigger heavy distribution waves. Expect sharp sell-offs toward: $97,000 $83,000 $73,000 These zones represent Weekly correction layers, where the market will stage temporary rebounds — not new macro uptrends. ⚔️ 3. How to Operate in This Zone This stage isn’t about SWING LONGS — the upside reward/risk ratio is shrinking fast. Instead, treat it as a segment-by-segment battlefield: If you Short, do it near ATH liquidity zones. If you Long, do it tactically at corrective supports only. Never chase green candles — every rally is someone else’s exit. For SPOT investors, patience is your strongest position: wait for $73k–$83k range reactions before considering re-entry. 🎯 4. The Long Game After the correction plays out, BTCUSDT will eventually earn the right to travel toward $200,000+ — but not from here, not yet, and not in one straight line. We’re nearing the top of the mountain, not the launch pad. 🧘 Summary Cycle: 2-year run complete Gain: +600% from wave base Current state: Monthly distribution Short-term: Sideways → Sell-off → Correction Mid-term opportunity: Spot re-entry near $73k–$83k Long-term potential: $200k+, once the next base is formed Trade what’s in front of you, not what you hope for. The mountain’s summit isn’t where new journeys begin — it’s where climbers rest and descend. 💬 Follow for macro cycle updates and deep-wave analyses from Rainbowsniper.ai — “The Market Brain.”