Technical analysis by cryptodailyuk about Symbol BTC on 10/14/2025

cryptodailyuk
تحلیل روزانه بیت کوین: اصلاح قیمتی یا بازگشت به اوج؟ سطوح حیاتی امروز

• Bitcoin remains in a broad uptrend, but is currently seeing a correction following a strong breakout from around $109,000 → $124,000. • The daily candle shows a large decline from the upper level, which may suggest strong resistance and profit-taking. ⸻ 📈 Key technical levels 🟩 Resistances: • USD 117,828 – the nearest strong resistance, marked by previous local highs. • USD 120,000–124,000 – last peak zone and potential sales area. 🟥 Support: • USD 113,600 – first short-term support (price is currently testing it). • USD 108,968 – strong support aligned with EMA 50 and yellow trend line. • USD 104,366 – another strong support, consistent with the previous low and EMA 200 level. ⸻ 🧭 Trend and moving averages • EMA 50 (yellow) is trending upwards - the medium-term trend is still upwards. • EMA 200 (blue) is also climbing - long-term trend maintained. • Price above EMA 200, but above EMA 50 only slightly - the market is in the equilibrium zone (there may be a larger move in one direction). ⸻ 📊 Technical indicators 🔹 MACD: • The MACD line begins to approach the signal line from above → bearish crossover. • The histogram with red bars confirms the slowdown in momentum. ➡️ Suggests that there may be a continuation of correction to lower support levels. 🔹RSI: • RSI ~50, neutral but heading down. • There is no oversold yet, but the momentum is waning - the market is losing buyer power. ➡️ If the RSI drops below 45, it will confirm downward pressure. ⸻ 📉 Pricing scenarios ✅ Growth scenario (rebound) • Price remains above USD 109,000 (EMA 50 + trendline). • Breakout and closing of the daily candle above USD 117,800 → opens the way to USD 122-124,000. • Condition: MACD must turn upwards and RSI >55. ⚠️ Downside scenario (correction) • If price breaks above $109,000, we could see a test of $104,000-105,000 (EMA 200). • Loss of USD 104,000 → possible move towards USD 98,000–100,000 (previous consolidation zone).