Technical analysis by Mentor_Michael03 about Symbol BTC: Buy recommendation (10/10/2025)

Mentor_Michael03
سیکل پول هوشمند بیت کوین: از خرس تا فتح قلههای ۱۶۰ هزار دلاری!

Hello traders and investors, Today’s analysis on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) reveals one of the cleanest institutional market cycle structures we’ve seen in years. It’s not just a chart — it’s a masterclass in understanding how smart money transitions from accumulation to distribution. 📉 Phase 1 – The Bear Cycle (Distribution → Downtrend) During the 2021–2022 period, Bitcoin formed its 1st High, initiating a classic distribution phase. Each lower high confirmed a smart money exit from the market. Notice the repeated Break of Structure (BOS) events — each signaling liquidity being swept before price pushed lower. This phase was driven by fear, liquidity traps, and consistent stop-hunting under previous lows. Smart money was unloading while retail was still “buying the dip.” 📈 Phase 2 – The Bull Cycle (Accumulation → Expansion) Post-2023, we saw a significant Change of Character (CHOCH) followed by a bullish Break of Structure, marking the official transition from bearish control to bullish expansion. Each previous high transformed into fresh support — the perfect footprint of institutional reaccumulation. 2nd High confirmed new bullish momentum. Price began respecting the bullish channel, forming a pattern of higher highs and higher lows. The BOS after the 2nd High locked in the long-term bullish cycle. 🚀 Phase 3 – The Expansion Wave (Smart Money Continuation) Currently, Bitcoin is between its 3rd and 4th High, consolidating above the major support zone (109,000–101,000). This zone represents previous high turned support — historically, one of the most powerful continuation areas in institutional cycles. If price sustains above this zone, the probability of a move toward 153,000–160,000 remains extremely strong. This next rally would complete the 4th High, likely marking the distribution phase before the next macro rotation. 🎯 Key Technical Levels: Major Support: 109,000–101,000 (Institutional Demand Zone) Bullish Target: 153,000–160,000 Invalidation: Weekly close below 100,000 Macro Structure: Bull Cycle Continuation 🧠 Educational Insight: This chart is a perfect case study of Market Cycle Psychology blended with Smart Money Concepts: CHOCH → BOS → Support Flip → Expansion = The institutional roadmap. Retail sees chaos; smart money sees structure. Always watch for previous highs turning into supports — that’s where smart capital reloads. 📚 Summary: Bitcoin has completed its bear cycle, transitioned through accumulation, and is now in a mature bull phase heading into expansion. As long as support holds, the next leg may target six-figure levels, completing a full smart-money cycle from fear to euphoria. 💬 What do you think, traders? Is Bitcoin ready for the next phase toward 160K, or will it retest support one more time before the explosion? Drop your thoughts below 👇 and let’s learn together.