Technical analysis by HamadaMark about Symbol BTC on 10/5/2025

BTCUSD (3-Month Macro View) 📊 Discipline First: Chart timeframe = 3 M candles. This view focuses on the macro cycle and long-term structure rather than short-term noise. Key Levels & Plan Main Resistance: $128 K zone → key breakout or rejection level. If BTC fails to hold $128 K: a healthy pullback toward $99 K ± 2 K is expected. This aligns with Fibonacci 2.0 ≈ $107 K and 1.618 ≈ $90 K zones (major re-entry areas). If BTC holds and confirms breakout: next macro sell zone lies between $137 K–$141 K, close to Fib 2.618–3.0 levels. 🧭 Macro logic: BTC currently trades around $124 K after a parabolic leg. The market is testing the upper Fibonacci cluster (2.618–3.0). History shows similar behaviour near major cycle peaks → sideways consolidation → 30–35 % pullback → new impulse. That’s why the plan balances both outcomes (“Plan A: Breakout / Plan B: Pullback”). Cycle Outlook (2025 → 2027) ✅ If Breakout holds: target $137 K–$141 K, potential overshoot $153 K–$181 K (Fib 3.0–3.618). ⚠️ If rejection: retrace to $99 K range (≈ −31 %), then rebuild base for next leg. 🔄 Time horizon: the projection extends to Q4 2027, matching the next halving + liquidity wave period. Tools Used Fibonacci retracement (0.5 → 3.618 projection). 3 M EMA trend lines (15 MA / 30 MA). RSI macro divergence confirmation (lower panel shows hidden bullish continuation pattern). ⚓ Renzo Tip “When the wind blows strong, weak sails tear, but the wise captain knows where to unload the weight.” → Meaning: in volatile peaks, lighten exposure — strength lies in controlling load, not chasing wind. 🤲 Prayer Line May our trades stay disciplined, our minds patient, and our sails guided by wisdom, not fear.