Technical analysis by Juliia about Symbol BTC: Sell recommendation (10/3/2025)

BTC daily has closed above 119k, keeping the probability of a breakout to a new high. I suggest possible scenarios: Failure to break above 124k from current levels and the formation of a Head & Shoulders right shoulder. Reasons: monthly timeframe divergence, overbought conditions, open interest imbalance, longs clearly outnumber shorts. Move to 130k from current levels. Reasons: crypto hype is still very strong, global recognition, government reserves, ETFs, strong pressure toward the 120k level, higher lows being formed. Breakout to a new high via a short squeeze, but sustained growth will be lacking. In this case, buyers will mostly be short-sellers being liquidated, with insufficient real demand to support price at higher levels. The move would wipe out the remaining weak shorts, after which a correction back to 108k–100k could follow. Reasons: monthly timeframe divergence, overbought conditions, open interest imbalance, excessive number of longs, too much hype and euphoria, political chaos in the US, overheated markets in general, especially the stock market. Crypto can surprise, but the technical picture still suggests a correction is approaching. This does not change my belief in Bitcoin’s long-term growth to seven-digit valuations — but not in a single rocket move, and not tomorrow.