Juliia

We’re seeing a clearly formed rising wedge on BTC — a continuation pattern — with a target around 80K. Rising Wedge in a Downtrend — Key Rules ▪️ Context: only valid when it forms after a decline. ▪️ Both trendlines slope upward, but the upper one rises more slowly → wedge narrows. ▪️ Volume decreases as price climbs. ▪️ The advance is weak and shallow — a “crawling” uptrend. ▪️ Breakouts occur downward most of the time, with volume expansion. ▪️ Target: the height of the wedge projected downward from the breakdown. ▪️ Strong confirmations: divergence + retest of the upper trendline. We also have strong local resistance at 93,500. According to Thomas Bulkowski’s statistics: Rising Wedge in a Downtrend — Performance — Downward breakouts: ~72–78% — Hitting the measured target: ~55–65% — False breakouts to the upside: ~20–25% A breakout above 93,500 would give a chance to invalidate the bearish structure and open the path toward 106K. For now, I’m maintaining a long-term bullish bias.

— A falling wedge (reversal pattern) has formed, supported by daily-timeframe bullish divergence and a retest of major global support. — Entry: $5.58 (market buy) — Stop: $5.28 (-5% price movement from entry; not percentage loss) — Target: $6.50 Risk per trade: 0.5% of total account (this is the actual potential loss) Position size: 10% of account, 10x leverage RR: 1:3.3

— Strong $2 support retested, higher-timeframe divergence in play, and a retest of the lower accumulation trendline. The rate-cut news has already been priced in. The cut itself means liquidity is coming. — Entry: $2.015 (market buy) — Stop: $1.98 (-1.65% price movement from entry; not percentage loss) — Target: $2.25 Risk per trade: 0.3% of total account (this is the actual potential loss) Position size: 15% of account, 10x leverage RR: 1:7

— Multiple resistance tests, decreasing volatility, price compression under the level — Entry: Conditional order (NOT market) Trigger: $2.356 Limit buy: $2.358 — Stop: $2.265 — 3.5% is the price movement from entry to stop, NOT the loss percentage — Target: $2.55 Risk per trade: 0.5% of the total account — this is the percentage of potential loss Position size: 15% of the total account, 10x leverage RR: 1:2.25

I’m assuming we’re seeing a reversal Head and Shoulders forming on BTC, with a potential retest of 106k. In that case, there’s a strong chance of seeing a new all-time high. I opened a few scout positions and still believe the bulls are in control. A retest of the local low (around the 80k zone) is possible, but I’m staying in long positions for now. The price action from here will be telling: if we can move up right away, the probability of a new high increases sharply. Stepping away from the hourly charts — now we wait.

— A falling wedge pattern is forming (a reversal technical formation), supported by bullish convergence on the 4D/3D timeframes. Price is sitting under resistance but right at the lower boundary of the range formed after the previous rally, which makes a consolidation before continuation of the broader trend quite possible. — Entry: $2.03 (market buy) — Stop: $1.91 — 5.5% is the price distance from entry to stop, NOT the percentage loss — Target: $2.55 Risk per trade: 0.8% of the total account — this is the actual percentage loss Position size: 15% of the total account, 10x leverage RR: 1:4.5

— Technical formation: wedge, supported by divergence on higher timeframes, dangerously close to the level, but the movement has not developed for almost a month. Strong short signal on Bitcoin has already played out. — Entry: $13.125 Market buy — Stop: $12.55 – 4.5% (this is the percentage of price movement from entry to stop, NOT percentage of loss) — Target: $16.5 Risk per trade: 1% of total deposit – this is the actual percentage of loss Position size: 20% of total deposit, leverage 10x RR 1:6

- Return into the range with a false breakout; potential move toward the next resistance level. — Entry: $6.10 (Market buy) — Stop: $5.92 — a 2.8% price move from entry to stop (NOT percentage loss) — Target: $6.75 Risk per trade: 1% of total account — this is the actual loss percentage. Position size: 35% of total account, 10x leverage. RR: 1:4

BTC is technically forming a double bottom on the daily timeframe (a trend-reversal pattern). The target sits around 100K. With the upcoming Fed meeting and a potential rate cut, we could break out toward 105K, and I wouldn’t rule out a move to 110K — a test of the 50/200-day MAs — as the market shifts into short-trend expectations.

— Multiple approaches to the resistance level, reclaim of the 50/200 MA on the daily timeframe, strong and prolonged accumulation that formed after the previous rally. High probability of breaking through the $560 resistance area. — Entry: $533 (Market buy) — Stop: $510 — 4.5% price movement from entry to stop (NOT percentage loss) — Target: $580 Risk per trade: 1% of total account — this is the percentage of potential loss. Position size: 10% of total account, 10x leverage RR: 1:2Stop moved to BE