Technical analysis by w.savage11 about Symbol BTC: Buy recommendation (9/16/2025)

Bitcoin has topped on new moons, going back all the way to 2013 ... April 2013? New Moon. November 2013? New Moon. December 2017? New Moon. April 2021? New Moon. The most inaccurate measure for a new moon local top occurred in November 2021... New moon = Nov. 4th, 2021 The cycle top occurred 6 days later. Remaining new moon dates in 2025? October 20th - I give a 25% chance - this date also lines up with avg. total cycle duration (peak-to-trough) from previous 4 year cycles. November 20th - I give this a 65% chance. Since there was no 'double cycle' this cycle, (no early spring bubble) as with 2013, 2021 - this cycle could extend longer in duration, as with 2017. This phenomena has also been referred to as "right leaning" vs. "left leaning" cycles coined by other analysts. Also, bitcoin loves to repeat history. No top has ever occurred in October. December 20th - I give this a 10% chance. This would make it the longest cycle on record. Note: the (2014-2017) cycle was 55 days longer ~ 2 months ~ than the (2018-2021) cycle AND it had no spring-time bubble. Just a single impulse blow-off top.