Technical analysis by Crypto_Gym_Work about Symbol BTC on 9/15/2025

This Wednesday, September 17, we’re getting the most important event of recent (and upcoming) months — the one that will decide the direction not only for crypto but for all markets. Here’s how I see the possible outcomes: 💜 Pink scenario — the most likely We approach the meeting with positive price action → the Federal Reserve cuts rates → market spikes 1–2 candles up → then crashes hard. Bitcoin goes to retest the lows at $107,000. Why? Because this rate cut is already priced in — that’s exactly what fueled the entire rally of the past few months. Just like with the iShares Bitcoin Trust and Grayscale Ethereum Trust approvals — it’s the classic sell the news: everyone who wanted to buy has already bought, the catalyst plays out, and there’s nothing left to push price up. Also: historically, every bear market started right after the Fed cut rates. And this bull cycle is already one of the longest — almost 2 years. 💚 Green scenario — least likely We again approach with positive sentiment → the Fed cuts rates → market rallies → somehow new liquidity appears → and we go to retest the ATH. Personally, this “pink ponies” scenario seems unlikely — the market is extremely overheated, there’s been no fresh liquidity for months, and this entire rally has run on declining volume. It’s not that everyone suddenly wants crypto — it’s just that no one wants to sell. But at some point… they will. 💙 Blue scenario — plausible We approach with neutral/negative price action because insiders already know the decision and are positioning. The Fed keeps rates unchanged → the market nukes, because this was the main catalyst priced in for months. First target: $107,000, and if that breaks — $99,000 comes fast. This would likely mark the start of a new bear market. 📌 Drop a comment — which scenario do you think is coming?