Technical analysis by weslad about Symbol BTC on 9/13/2025

weslad

Buckle up. This isn't just another chart; it's the roadmap for the most critical phase of Bitcoin's current cycle. We're witnessing the final act of a masterpiece play out right now, and understanding this structure is the key to navigating what comes next. Here’s the brutal, beautiful truth laid out by the tape: The Setup: From Compression to Ignition Remember the agonizingly long consolidation? That was the massive Falling Wedge throughout 2022 and early 2023. It was a pressure cooker, squeezing out weak hands and building immense energy. The major breakout from that Falling Wedge was the spark. It wasn't just a rally; it was the official signal that the bull market was back on. That breakout launched us into the next, more powerful pattern the Rising Wedge. The Current Play: The Rising Wedge Journey We are now deep inside this ascending channel. Each higher high and each higher low is creating this converging pattern a classic Rising Wedge. This is the market's way of climbing a wall of worry on a wave of increasing optimism and liquidity. But make no mistake, this structure is inherently bullish yet exhausting. It's the final leg up, the last major push to suck in every last bit of momentum before the fuel runs out. The Target: The Cycle Peak The geometry of this wedge is pointing to a final, spectacular blow-off top. The most probable target for the peak of this wedge is $165,000. I wouldn't be surprised to see a slight extension in the euphoria that could tag $170,000, but that's the ceiling. Based on the rhythm of this move, the clock is ticking towards a November 2025 finale. Mark it. The Inevitable: The Great Bear & The Golden Accumulation Zone This is the most critical part. A Rising Wedge resolution is almost always the same: a violent breakdown. The fallout from this peak will be brutal a proper crypto winter. It will shake out every over leveraged dreamer. This bear market will find its ultimate bottom, its point of maximum financial opportunity, in the $54,000 - $60,000 zone. That is not a typo. That will be the generational buying opportunity. The mother of all dips. ACCUMULATE THERE. The Next Chapter: The $500K Horizon That 2027 bottom won't be the end. It will be the foundation for the next cycle. The recovery from that $60k zone will be the start of Bitcoin's next, truly historic run towards a target that seems crazy today $500,000. This isn't hopium; it's the logical progression of the four year cycle, adoption curves, and the patterns that have always governed this market. The Bottom Line: We are in the final, parabolic stage. Target $165K+ by Nov 2025. Then, prepare for the storm. The real-life changing wealth won't be made at the top; it will be made by those with the courage and dry powder to buy relentlessly in the $54k-$60k pit of despair in 2027. This is the plan. Trade accordingly.The price action is currently evolving as anticipated within the defined Rising Wedge pattern. We believe the move for the final leg up towards the $167,000 target is now in progress although it will not be a straight line move but this move is very possible. This move is typically characterized as an exhaustion rally, often presenting a bull trap before a significant reversal. Key Levels to Watch are: 1. Bullish Invalidation: A decisive break and close above the wedge's upper trendline would invalidate the bearish setup. 2. Bearish Confirmation: A rejection from the $167k area or the wedge's resistance, followed by a break below the wedge's lower support, confirms the pattern and signals the start of the projected major correction towards the accumulation zone.Based on my long-term analysis, the current bull market is projected to conclude around November - December 2025. It's crucial to be prepared for the potential market shift that follows.4hrs timeframe painting of Bullish iSHS formation with price above pattern neckline already, the immediate target is $119.900 zone. Immediate support is towards $114,900-$114,0008-hours analysis for your quick decision on Bitcoin direction has been provided, Hit like and let me know your view about the analysis.For a clearer analysis, follow the updated thread. It highlights the bullish wedge formation on the short-term chart, with the trendline support acting as the most critical level to watch. Bitcoin's overall outlook remains strongly bullish.