Technical analysis by HexaTrades about Symbol BTC: Sell recommendation (9/4/2025)

Bitcoin Bull Cycle Analysis: Historically, Bitcoin has moved in clearly defined market cycles, each lasting roughly 1,064–1,065 days (about 3 years) from bottom to peak, followed by a sharp correction. 2013–2017 Cycle 🔶Bitcoin bottomed in early 2015 and then entered a strong bull run. 🔶Over the next 1,064 days, Bitcoin surged by more than 12,000%, ultimately peaking in late 2017. 🔶After the peak, Bitcoin experienced an 84% decline over the following year, entering a prolonged bear market. 2017–2021 Cycle 🔶From the December 2018 bottom, Bitcoin again began a long bull phase. 🔶In the next 1,064 days, Bitcoin gained over 2,000%, reaching a new all-time high in late 2021. 🔶Similar to the previous cycle, the market corrected sharply, with Bitcoin losing around 76% of its value within a year. 2021–2025 Cycle (Current) 🔶The most recent bottom was recorded in late 2022. Since then, Bitcoin has been in a sustained uptrend. 🔶As of today, the cycle has lasted 1,000+ days, during which Bitcoin has appreciated by roughly 675%. 🔶If the historical pattern continues, this bull run may have about two months left before reaching a cycle peak. 🔶Afterward, the market could undergo a significant correction, potentially in the range of 60–70%, though smaller than previous drops. Conclusion : Bitcoin’s market history shows a repeating cycle of multi-year bull runs followed by sharp corrections. While past performance does not guarantee future results, the consistency in cycle length and the pattern of diminishing corrections suggest that Bitcoin may soon approach its next major peak. If the trend holds, a significant pullback of 60–70% could follow, offering both risks for late entrants and opportunities for long-term investors. This highlights the importance of caution, disciplined risk management, and strategic planning as we near the potential end of the 2021–2025 bull cycle.We shared this analysis when Bitcoin was trading at $16,700 (January 2nd, 2023), and BTC moved exactly as per our analysis. Now, we are approaching the end of this Bitcoin cycle. We could see a peak around the end of October 2025, followed by another year-long bear run.