Technical analysis by cryptodailyuk about Symbol BTC on 8/29/2025

cryptodailyuk

1. Price Trend and Structure The BTC price has fallen below the yellow uptrend line – this indicates a break in the bullish structure and signals weakening buyers. Currently, the price is hovering around $107,950, which is local support (red zone ~108k). Next important supports: $104,500 – $103,900 $98,400 (recent stronger demand level + near the 200 SMA). Resistance to break: $113,500 (green line, previous support now acts as resistance). $118,000 (key level for a return to the uptrend). $124,500 (highs). 2. Moving Averages SMA 50 (green) and SMA 200 (blue) → classic trend analysis: The price is currently below the SMA 50, confirming short-term weakness. The SMA 200 (~$100,300) is still maintaining the long-term trend – only a break below would signal a more serious bear market. Possible scenario: If the SMA 50 begins to decline and approaches the SMA 200 → a Death Cross threatens. 3. MACD Negative histogram, signal line below zero → downward momentum continues. No signs of a reversal (no positive divergence yet). 4. RSI RSI ~47 – neutral zone, slightly below 50 → not oversold, but showing an oversold market. The RSI previously rebounded from the ~70 line (overheating) and is now heading down. 5. Key Levels Support: 108,000 (current) 104,500 98,400 (strategic) Resistance: 113,500 118,000 124,500 📊 Scenarios Bearish (more likely now): If 108,000 fails → a test of 104,500, and in the longer term, 98,400 USD. A break below 98,000 would signal a long-term downtrend. Bullish (less likely at this point): A return above 113,500 and a daily candle closing above this level → a signal for a reversal and a possible re-entry into the 118–124k range.